⚽ Eredivisie
ADO Den Haag vs Groningen Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for ADO Den Haag vs Groningen in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Sunday 16 August 2026, 10:15 UTC.
Result: ADO Den Haag 1-4 Groningen
ADO Den Haag vs Groningen finished 1-4. Groningen won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
ADO Den Haag face Groningen in the upcoming Eredivisie tips, kicking off Sunday 16 August 2026, 10:15 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Groningen win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.4-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for ADO Den Haag vs Groningen with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.7% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 9.3% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for ADO Den Haag vs Groningen comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Groningen with a +0.75 start at odds 1.33, with a 73% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Groningen win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (55%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
ADO Den Haag come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 11. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Twente.
- DADO Den Haag 1-1 CambuurEredivisie
- LTwente 2-0 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
- LADO Den Haag 2-3 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
- DFeyenoord 2-2 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
- LGo Ahead Eagles 3-1 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
Groningen come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 11. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to PEC Zwolle. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Fortuna Sittard.
- WGroningen 3-0 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
- DGo Ahead Eagles 1-1 GroningenEredivisie
- DGroningen 2-2 TwenteEredivisie
- LGroningen 2-3 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
- LPSV Eindhoven 5-1 GroningenEredivisie
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- D. BaranyKnee Injury
- J. HawkinsHamstring Injury
- C. PeupionKnee Injury
- M. JengLeg Injury
- T. MerceraInjury
- R. MetuInjury
- M. RenteInjury
- S. ResinkKnee Injury
- O. ZawadaKnock
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices ADO Den Haag at 30% to win and Groningen at 40%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Groningen win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Groningen Win | 40% | 40% | @ 2.35 |
| ADO Den Haag Win | 30% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
| Draw | 30% | 26% | @ 3.55 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Groningen or Draw at 1.42 (68% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Groningen or Draw | 68% | 66% | @ 1.42 |
| ADO Den Haag or Draw | 58% | 60% | @ 1.57 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 80% | @ 1.18 |
| Under 3.5 | 71% | 63% | @ 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 42% | @ 2.28 |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 37% | @ 2.55 |
| Under 1.5 | 25% | 20% | @ 4.60 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 62% | @ 1.49 |
| BTTS No | 45% | 38% | @ 2.43 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when ADO Den Haag or Groningen is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Groningen +1.75 | 89% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Groningen +1.5 | 87% | 82% | @ 1.16 |
| ADO Den Haag +1.75 | 83% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Groningen +1.25 | 82% | 80% | 1.18 |
| ADO Den Haag +1.5 | 80% | 79% | 1.20 |
| Groningen +1 | 78% | – | 1.21 |
| ADO Den Haag +1.25 | 74% | 76% | 1.23 |
| Groningen +0.75 | 73% | 72% | 1.33 |
| ADO Den Haag +1 | 69% | 74% | 1.28 |
| Groningen +0.5 | 68% | 64% | @ 1.48 |
| ADO Den Haag +0.75 | 64% | 67% | 1.43 |
| Groningen +0.25 | 62% | 60% | 1.59 |
| ADO Den Haag +0.5 | 58% | 60% | 1.58 |
| Groningen 0 | 55% | 53% | 1.80 |
| ADO Den Haag +0.25 | 51% | 55% | 1.75 |
| Groningen -0.25 | 49% | 45% | @ 2.11 |
| ADO Den Haag 0 | 45% | 47% | 2.03 |
| Groningen -0.5 | 42% | 40% | 2.34 |
| ADO Den Haag -0.25 | 38% | 40% | 2.41 |
| Groningen -0.75 | 36% | 33% | @ 2.84 |
| ADO Den Haag -0.5 | 32% | 36% | 2.66 |
| Groningen -1 | 31% | 26% | @ 3.71 |
| ADO Den Haag -0.75 | 27% | 28% | 3.38 |
| Groningen -1.25 | 26% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
| Groningen -1.5 | 20% | 21% | 4.40 |
| ADO Den Haag -1.25 | 18% | 20% | 4.65 |
| Groningen -1.75 | 17% | 16% | 5.90 |
| ADO Den Haag -1.5 | 13% | 18% | 5.25 |
| ADO Den Haag -1.75 | 11% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for ADO Den Haag vs Groningen?
Our model's main pick is Groningen with a +0.75 start at odds 1.33, with a 73% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.
Who is the favourite for ADO Den Haag vs Groningen?
Our model makes a Groningen win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.3 scoreline for ADO Den Haag vs Groningen.
What is the predicted score for ADO Den Haag vs Groningen?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.38 for ADO Den Haag and 1.32 for Groningen. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do ADO Den Haag and Groningen play?
Kick-off is Sunday 16 August 2026, 10:15 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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