⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

Ajax vs FC Sion Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Ajax vs FC Sion in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 27 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Ajax face FC Sion in the UEFA Europa Conference League, kicking off Thursday 27 August 2026, 18:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Ajax win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 2.1-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Ajax vs FC Sion with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.57

61%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.10 – 1.05 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.3%	4.5%	2.4%	0.8%	0.2%
1	9.0%	9.4%	5.0%	1.7%	0.5%
2	9.4%	9.9%	5.2%	1.8%	0.5%
3	6.6%	6.9%	3.6%	1.3%	0.3%
4	3.5%	3.6%	1.9%	0.7%	0.2%

Projected score: 2-1

Ajax winDrawFC Sion win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Ajax vs FC Sion is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.57, the selection our model is most confident in at 61%. On the match result, the model rates an Ajax win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points yes (57%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is FC Sion or Draw at odds 2.75 (+49.1% model value).

Best value

FC Sion or Draw at odds 2.75, 54% model probability, +49.1% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Ajax 46%Draw 25%FC Sion 29%

46%25%29%

46%

Ajax Win

61%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

BTTS yes

+49.1%

Best value: FC Sion or Draw

📈 Recent form

Ajax

Ajax come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at FC Sion. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WFC Sion 2-4 AjaxUEFA Europa Conference
DAjax 2-2 HeerenveenEredivisie
DShelbourne 2-2 AjaxUEFA Europa Conference
WPEC Zwolle 0-2 AjaxEredivisie
WAjax 3-1 ShelbourneUEFA Europa Conference

FC Sion

FC Sion come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 15 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 6-1 at Kerzers. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-4 at home to Ajax.

LFC Sion 2-4 AjaxUEFA Europa Conference
WKerzers 1-6 FC SionSchweizer Cup
WFC Sion 2-1 FC NoahUEFA Europa Conference
WFC Sion 3-2 FC VaduzSuper League
DFC Noah 2-2 FC SionUEFA Europa Conference

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Ajax at 46% to win and FC Sion at 29%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes an Ajax win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
FC Sion Win	29%	@ 6.25	+80.8%
Draw	25%	@ 4.90	+21.5%
Ajax Win	46%	@ 1.42	-34.3%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Sion or Draw at 2.75 (54% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
FC Sion or Draw	54%	@ 2.75	+49.1%
Ajax or Draw	72%	@ 1.11	-20.6%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 61% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 3.5	61%	@ 1.57	-3.6%
Over 1.5	82%	@ 1.17	-3.8%
Under 2.5	39%	@ 2.45	-4.3%
Over 2.5	61%	@ 1.53	-6.7%
Over 3.5	39%	@ 2.35	-9.2%
Under 1.5	18%	@ 5.00	-11.0%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	57%	@ 1.70	-3.0%
BTTS No	43%	@ 2.00	-14.1%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ajax vs FC Sion?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.57, with 61% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is FC Sion or Draw at 2.75 (+49.1% value).

Who is the favourite for Ajax vs FC Sion?

Our model makes an Ajax win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 2.1-1.1 scoreline for Ajax vs FC Sion.

What is the predicted score for Ajax vs FC Sion?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.10 for Ajax and 1.05 for FC Sion. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Ajax and FC Sion play?

Kick-off is Thursday 27 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.