Sat 22 Aug4-4Finished

⚽ Jupiler Pro League

Antwerp vs Genk Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Antwerp vs Genk in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Antwerp 4-4 Genk

Antwerp vs Genk finished 4-4. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Antwerp face Genk in the upcoming Jupiler Pro League tips, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:45 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Antwerp won 1, Genk won 1, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Genk win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.2-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Antwerp vs Genk with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Antwerp +1.25 @ 1.28

75%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.21 – 1.41 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.3%	10.3%	7.2%	3.4%	1.2%
1	8.8%	12.4%	8.8%	4.1%	1.5%
2	5.3%	7.5%	5.3%	2.5%	0.9%
3	2.1%	3.0%	2.1%	1.0%	0.4%
4	0.7%	0.9%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Antwerp winDrawGenk win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Antwerp vs Genk comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Antwerp with a +1.25 start at odds 1.28, with a 75% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Genk win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean under 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (53%).

📊 Key numbers

Antwerp 31%Draw 28%Genk 41%

31%28%41%

41%

Genk Win

51%

Under 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Antwerp and Genk. Wins shown from Antwerp’s perspective: Antwerp 1 · 3 drawn · Genk 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-22	Antwerp	4 – 4	Genk	D
2026-05-19	Genk	0 – 0	Antwerp	D
2026-04-03	Antwerp	1 – 2	Genk	L
2025-04-27	Genk	0 – 1	Antwerp	W
2025-04-23	Antwerp	1 – 1	Genk	D

📈 Recent form

Antwerp

Antwerp come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 14. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Union St. Gilloise.

LAntwerp 0-2 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
LClub Brugge KV 3-1 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
LStandard Liège 1-0 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
LAntwerp 1-4 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
DAntwerp 4-4 GenkJupiler Pro League

Genk

Genk come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to SK Beveren. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at Club Brugge KV.

LClub Brugge KV 3-0 GenkJupiler Pro League
DGenk 1-1 GentJupiler Pro League
DAnderlecht 0-0 GenkJupiler Pro League
WGenk 4-0 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
DAntwerp 4-4 GenkJupiler Pro League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Antwerp at 31% to win and Genk at 41%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Genk win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Genk Win	41%	43%	@ 2.18
Antwerp Win	31%	29%	@ 3.20
Draw	28%	28%	@ 3.30

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Genk or Draw at 1.33 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Genk or Draw	68%	71%	@ 1.33
Antwerp or Draw	58%	57%	@ 1.65

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.4 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	74%	75%	@ 1.25
Under 3.5	73%	70%	@ 1.35
Under 2.5	51%	49%	@ 1.92
Over 2.5	49%	51%	@ 1.83
Over 3.5	27%	30%	@ 3.10
Under 1.5	26%	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	53%	56%	@ 1.63
BTTS No	47%	44%	@ 2.10

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Antwerp or Genk is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Genk +1.5	87%	86%	1.10
Antwerp +1.75	83%	82%	1.16
Genk +1.25	82%	85%	1.12
Antwerp +1.5	80%	76%	1.22
Genk +1	77%	84%	1.13
Antwerp +1.25	75%	74%	1.28
Genk +0.75	73%	–	1.23
Antwerp +1	69%	70%	1.35
Genk +0.5	68%	–	1.33
Antwerp +0.75	64%	62%	1.53
Genk +0.25	61%	67%	1.43
Antwerp +0.5	58%	55%	1.70
Genk 0	55%	60%	1.57
Antwerp +0.25	52%	48%	@ 2.00
Genk -0.25	48%	52%	1.85
Antwerp 0	45%	40%	@ 2.38
Genk -0.5	42%	45%	2.11
Antwerp -0.25	39%	33%	@ 2.87
Genk -0.75	36%	38%	2.48
Genk -1	31%	30%	3.19
Genk -1.25	25%	26%	3.63
Antwerp -1	23%	16%	@ 5.90
Genk -1.5	20%	24%	3.90
Antwerp -1.25	18%	15%	@ 6.40
Genk -1.75	17%	18%	5.25
Antwerp -1.5	13%	14%	7.00

📈 How the market moved

Antwerp 29%Draw 27%Genk 43%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Antwerp vs Genk?

Our model's main pick is Antwerp with a +1.25 start at odds 1.28, with a 75% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for Antwerp vs Genk?

Our model makes a Genk win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.4 scoreline for Antwerp vs Genk.

What is the predicted score for Antwerp vs Genk?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.21 for Antwerp and 1.41 for Genk. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Antwerp and Genk play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.