⚽ Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs St. Truiden Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Antwerp vs St. Truiden in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Result: Antwerp 1-4 St. Truiden
Antwerp vs St. Truiden finished 1-4. St. Truiden won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Antwerp face St. Truiden in the upcoming Jupiler Pro League tips, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Antwerp have 3 wins from their last 5, while St. Truiden have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Antwerp won 2, St. Truiden won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Antwerp win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 1.8-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Antwerp vs St. Truiden with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| 2 | 5.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| 3 | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Antwerp vs St. Truiden comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Antwerp with a +0.75 start at odds 1.32, with a 73% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Antwerp win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 (66%), both teams to score points yes (66%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Antwerp and St. Truiden. Wins shown from Antwerp’s perspective: Antwerp 2 · 2 drawn · St. Truiden 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Antwerp | 1 – 4 | St. Truiden | L |
| 2025-01-24 | St. Truiden | 1 – 1 | Antwerp | D |
| 2024-08-11 | Antwerp | 6 – 1 | St. Truiden | W |
| 2024-03-03 | Antwerp | 3 – 0 | St. Truiden | W |
| 2023-11-24 | St. Truiden | 1 – 1 | Antwerp | D |
📈 Recent form
Antwerp come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 14. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Union St. Gilloise.
- LAntwerp 0-2 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
- LClub Brugge KV 3-1 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
- LStandard Liège 1-0 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
- LAntwerp 1-4 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
- DAntwerp 4-4 GenkJupiler Pro League
St. Truiden come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to RAAL La Louvière. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to KVC Westerlo.
- LSt. Truiden 0-2 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
- LSK Beveren 2-0 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
- WSt. Truiden 4-0 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
- LSt. Truiden 0-3 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
- WAntwerp 1-4 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Antwerp at 44% to win and St. Truiden at 33%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes an Antwerp win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp Win | 44% | 41% | @ 2.30 |
| St. Truiden Win | 33% | 32% | @ 2.95 |
| Draw | 23% | 28% | @ 3.40 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Antwerp or Draw at 1.38 (68% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp or Draw | 68% | 68% | @ 1.38 |
| St. Truiden or Draw | 58% | 59% | @ 1.58 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 66% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 76% | @ 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 | 66% | 53% | @ 1.77 |
| Under 3.5 | 56% | 68% | @ 1.38 |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 32% | @ 2.95 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 47% | @ 2.00 |
| Under 1.5 | 15% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 58% | @ 1.58 |
| BTTS No | 34% | 42% | @ 2.18 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Antwerp or St. Truiden is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp +1.5 | 87% | 83% | 1.15 |
| St. Truiden +1.75 | 83% | 84% | 1.12 |
| Antwerp +1.25 | 82% | 81% | 1.17 |
| St. Truiden +1.5 | 80% | – | 1.19 |
| Antwerp +1 | 78% | – | 1.19 |
| St. Truiden +1.25 | 74% | 78% | 1.23 |
| Antwerp +0.75 | 73% | 72% | 1.32 |
| St. Truiden +1 | 69% | 75% | 1.27 |
| Antwerp +0.5 | 68% | 66% | 1.42 |
| St. Truiden +0.75 | 63% | 67% | 1.43 |
| Antwerp +0.25 | 62% | 61% | 1.57 |
| St. Truiden +0.5 | 58% | 60% | 1.58 |
| Antwerp 0 | 55% | 54% | 1.78 |
| St. Truiden +0.25 | 51% | 54% | 1.76 |
| Antwerp -0.25 | 49% | 46% | @ 2.10 |
| St. Truiden 0 | 45% | 46% | 2.05 |
| Antwerp -0.5 | 42% | 40% | 2.33 |
| St. Truiden -0.25 | 38% | 39% | 2.42 |
| Antwerp -0.75 | 37% | 33% | @ 2.88 |
| St. Truiden -0.5 | 32% | 34% | 2.76 |
| Antwerp -1 | 31% | 25% | @ 3.78 |
| St. Truiden -0.75 | 27% | 28% | 3.42 |
| Antwerp -1.25 | 26% | 22% | @ 4.24 |
| St. Truiden -1.25 | 18% | 19% | 5.00 |
| Antwerp -1.75 | 17% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
| St. Truiden -1.5 | 13% | 17% | 5.50 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Antwerp vs St. Truiden?
Our model's main pick is Antwerp with a +0.75 start at odds 1.32, with a 73% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.
Who is the favourite for Antwerp vs St. Truiden?
Our model makes an Antwerp win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.6 scoreline for Antwerp vs St. Truiden.
What is the predicted score for Antwerp vs St. Truiden?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.82 for Antwerp and 1.57 for St. Truiden. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Antwerp and St. Truiden play?
Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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