⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

Apollon Limassol vs Brann Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Apollon Limassol vs Brann in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Tuesday 11 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers All markets FAQ

Apollon Limassol face Brann in the UEFA Europa Conference League, kicking off Tuesday 11 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Apollon Limassol win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 1.6-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Apollon Limassol vs Brann with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Apollon Limassol +0.75 @ 1.28

77%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.56 – 0.94 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.2%	7.7%	3.6%	1.1%	0.3%
1	12.8%	12.0%	5.7%	1.8%	0.4%
2	10.0%	9.4%	4.4%	1.4%	0.3%
3	5.2%	4.9%	2.3%	0.7%	0.2%
4	2.0%	1.9%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Apollon Limassol winDrawBrann win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Apollon Limassol vs Brann is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Apollon Limassol with a +0.75 start at odds 1.28, the selection our model is most confident in at 77%. On the match result, the model rates an Apollon Limassol win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points no (52%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Apollon Limassol to win by 0+ goals at odds 2.00 (+8.9% model value).

Best value

Apollon Limassol -0.25 at odds 2.00, 54% model probability, +8.9% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Apollon Limassol 48%Draw 26%Brann 26%

48%26%26%

48%

Apollon Limassol Win

54%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS no

+8.9%

Best value: Apollon Limassol -0.25

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Apollon Limassol at 48% to win and Brann at 26%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes an Apollon Limassol win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Apollon Limassol Win	48%	2.32	+10.2%
Draw	26%	3.19	-15.6%
Brann Win	26%	2.89	-24.6%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Apollon Limassol or Draw at 1.35 (74% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Apollon Limassol or Draw	74%	1.35	+0.1%
Brann or Draw	52%	1.53	-19.6%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 2.5	54%	1.83	-0.6%
Under 3.5	76%	1.31	-0.8%
Under 1.5	29%	3.38	-2.8%
Over 1.5	71%	1.28	-8.8%
Over 2.5	46%	1.92	-12.3%
Over 3.5	24%	3.23	-21.6%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	52%	2.01	+4.1%
BTTS Yes	48%	1.71	-17.8%

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Apollon Limassol or Brann is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Apollon Limassol -1	37%	3.63	+32.8%
Apollon Limassol -1.75	21%	6.00	+27.9%
Apollon Limassol -1.25	31%	4.15	+27.7%
Apollon Limassol -0.75	42%	2.78	+17.9%
Apollon Limassol -0.5	48%	2.32	+11.9%
Apollon Limassol -1.5	25%	4.45	+11.1%
Apollon Limassol -0.25	54%	2.00	+8.9%
Brann -1	19%	5.50	+2.6%
Apollon Limassol 0	61%	1.68	+1.8%
Apollon Limassol +0.5	73%	1.39	+1.7%
Apollon Limassol +0.25	67%	1.51	+1.1%
Apollon Limassol +1.5	90%	1.11	-0.2%
Apollon Limassol +0.75	77%	1.28	-0.7%
Apollon Limassol +1.25	85%	1.13	-3.5%
Apollon Limassol +1	81%	1.15	-6.4%
Brann +1.5	75%	1.18	-11.8%
Brann +1.75	79%	1.12	-11.9%
Brann -1.25	15%	5.90	-14.1%
Brann +1.25	69%	1.22	-15.6%
Brann 0	39%	2.12	-16.8%
Brann +0.25	46%	1.80	-17.8%
Brann +0.75	58%	1.42	-18.5%
Brann -0.25	33%	2.45	-19.0%
Brann +0.5	52%	1.56	-19.1%
Brann +1	63%	1.26	-19.8%
Brann -0.5	27%	2.80	-24.9%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	52%
GradientBoosting	Home	46%

Both models that could assess this match agree. Our Dixon-Coles model has no reliable team ratings for this competition and was left out, so this rests on two models rather than three.

Expected goals: 1.59 for the home side, 1.12 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (10%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Apollon Limassol vs Brann?

Our main pick is Apollon Limassol with a +0.75 start at odds 1.28, with 77% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Apollon Limassol to win by 0+ goals at 2.00 (+8.9% value).

Who is the favourite for Apollon Limassol vs Brann?

Our model makes an Apollon Limassol win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.6-0.9 scoreline for Apollon Limassol vs Brann.

What is the predicted score for Apollon Limassol vs Brann?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.56 for Apollon Limassol and 0.94 for Brann. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Apollon Limassol and Brann play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 11 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.