Ararat-Armenia
Universitatea Craiova⚽ UEFA Europa League
Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 27 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.
Result: Ararat-Armenia 1-0 Universitatea Craiova
Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova finished 1-0. Ararat-Armenia won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Ararat-Armenia face Universitatea Craiova in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 27 August 2026, 16:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Ararat-Armenia won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 64%, projecting a 1.6-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 8.1% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Ararat-Armenia with a +1.5 start at odds 1.26, with a 85% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 64%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (56%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Ararat-Armenia and Universitatea Craiova. Wins shown from Ararat-Armenia’s perspective: Ararat-Armenia 1 · 1 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Ararat-Armenia | 1 – 0 | Universitatea Craiova | W |
| 2026-08-20 | Universitatea Craiova | 1 – 1 | Ararat-Armenia | D |
📈 Recent form
Ararat-Armenia come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Syunik. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at home to Sparta Praha.
- WShirak 1-3 Ararat-ArmeniaPremier League
- LArarat-Armenia 1-4 Sparta PrahaUEFA Europa League
- WArarat-Armenia 3-0 SyunikPremier League
- WArarat 0-1 Ararat-ArmeniaPremier League
- LPyunik Yerevan 2-1 Ararat-ArmeniaPremier League
Universitatea Craiova come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to FCSB. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WUniversitatea Craiova 5-0 FCSBLiga I
- WCorvinul Hunedoara 0-1 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
- WUniversitatea Craiova 4-0 Universitatea ClujLiga I
- WFC Bacau 1-2 Universitatea CraiovaCupa României
- DRapid 1-1 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Ararat-Armenia at 20% to win and Universitatea Craiova at 16%, with the draw at 64%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 64% | 29% | @ 3.25 |
| Ararat-Armenia Win | 20% | 28% | @ 3.30 |
| Universitatea Craiova Win | 16% | 43% | @ 2.17 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Ararat-Armenia or Draw at 1.60 (65% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ararat-Armenia or Draw | 65% | 57% | @ 1.60 |
| Universitatea Craiova or Draw | 61% | 72% | @ 1.27 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 71% | @ 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 | 69% | 74% | @ 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 46% | @ 1.98 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 54% | @ 1.71 |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 26% | @ 3.50 |
| Under 1.5 | 23% | 29% | @ 3.15 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 52% | @ 1.76 |
| BTTS No | 44% | 48% | @ 1.91 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Ararat-Armenia or Universitatea Craiova is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ararat-Armenia +2 | 90% | 86% | 1.11 |
| Ararat-Armenia +1.75 | 87% | – | @ 1.20 |
| Ararat-Armenia +1.5 | 85% | 75% | @ 1.26 |
| Ararat-Armenia +1.25 | 80% | 75% | @ 1.26 |
| Universitatea Craiova +1.25 | 77% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Ararat-Armenia +1 | 75% | 71% | 1.33 |
| Universitatea Craiova +1 | 72% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Ararat-Armenia +0.75 | 70% | 63% | @ 1.51 |
| Universitatea Craiova +0.75 | 67% | – | 1.21 |
| Ararat-Armenia +0.5 | 65% | 56% | @ 1.68 |
| Universitatea Craiova +0.5 | 61% | – | 1.32 |
| Ararat-Armenia +0.25 | 58% | 48% | @ 1.98 |
| Universitatea Craiova +0.25 | 55% | 67% | 1.41 |
| Ararat-Armenia 0 | 52% | 39% | @ 2.44 |
| Universitatea Craiova 0 | 48% | 61% | 1.54 |
| Ararat-Armenia -0.25 | 45% | 33% | @ 2.91 |
| Universitatea Craiova -0.25 | 42% | 52% | 1.85 |
| Universitatea Craiova -0.5 | 35% | 44% | 2.12 |
| Universitatea Craiova -0.75 | 30% | 37% | 2.52 |
| Ararat-Armenia -1 | 28% | 15% | @ 6.25 |
| Universitatea Craiova -1 | 25% | 29% | 3.29 |
| Ararat-Armenia -1.25 | 23% | 14% | @ 6.80 |
| Universitatea Craiova -1.25 | 20% | 25% | 3.75 |
| Universitatea Craiova -1.5 | 15% | 25% | 3.73 |
| Universitatea Craiova -2 | 10% | 14% | 6.60 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova?
Our model's main pick is Ararat-Armenia with a +1.5 start at odds 1.26, with a 85% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova?
Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 64%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline for Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova.
What is the predicted score for Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.64 for Ararat-Armenia and 1.17 for Universitatea Craiova. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Ararat-Armenia and Universitatea Craiova play?
Kick-off is Thursday 27 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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