Mon 12 Oct16:30Upcoming

⚽ Serie A

Atalanta vs Venezia Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Atalanta vs Venezia in the Serie A. Kick-off Monday 12 October 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Atalanta face Venezia in the Serie A, kicking off Monday 12 October 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Atalanta have 2 wins from their last 5, while Venezia have no wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Atalanta won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Atalanta win the most likely result at 72%, projecting a 2.3-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Atalanta vs Venezia with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Atalanta Win @ 1.55

72%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.30 – 0.81 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.5%	3.6%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
1	10.3%	8.3%	3.4%	0.9%	0.2%
2	11.8%	9.6%	3.9%	1.0%	0.2%
3	9.0%	7.3%	3.0%	0.8%	0.2%
4	5.2%	4.2%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 2-0

Atalanta winDrawVenezia win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Atalanta vs Venezia comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is an Atalanta win at odds 1.55, with a 72% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Atalanta win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 72%. Goals lean over 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points yes (50%).

📊 Key numbers

Atalanta 72%Draw 20%Venezia 8%

72%20%

72%

Atalanta Win

60%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Atalanta and Venezia. Wins shown from Atalanta’s perspective: Atalanta 1 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2025-03-01	Atalanta	0 – 0	Venezia	D
2024-10-20	Venezia	0 – 2	Atalanta	W

📈 Recent form

Atalanta

Atalanta come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Bologna. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Juventus.

LJuventus 2-0 AtalantaSerie A
LAtalanta 1-2 CagliariSerie A
LAS Roma 2-1 AtalantaSerie A
WAtalanta 1-0 BolognaSerie A
WHapoel Tel Aviv 0-1 AtalantaUEFA Europa Conference

Venezia

Venezia come into this game with 5 defeats from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 13. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Lazio.

LVenezia 0-2 LazioSerie A
LVenezia 2-4 FiorentinaSerie A
LFrosinone 3-2 VeneziaSerie A
LUdinese 2-1 VeneziaCoppa Italia
LAC Milan 2-0 VeneziaSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Atalanta

K. SulemanaJumpers Knee
I. HienMuscle Bruise

Venezia

B. FranjićWound
A. AdoranteInguinal Hernia
T. BašićFoot Injury
M. ŠverkoHip Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Atalanta at 72% to win and Venezia at 8%, with the draw at 20%. Our model makes an Atalanta win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Atalanta Win	72%	60%	@ 1.55
Draw	20%	23%	@ 4.10
Venezia Win	8%	18%	@ 5.25

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Atalanta or Draw at 1.17 (90% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Atalanta or Draw	90%	82%	@ 1.17
Venezia or Draw	27%	40%	@ 2.38

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.3-0.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	82%	81%	@ 1.17
Under 3.5	62%	60%	@ 1.57
Over 2.5	60%	60%	@ 1.57
Under 2.5	40%	40%	@ 2.38
Over 3.5	38%	40%	@ 2.38
Under 1.5	18%	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 50%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	50%	58%	@ 1.62
BTTS No	50%	42%	@ 2.20

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atalanta vs Venezia?

Our model's main pick is an Atalanta win at odds 1.55, with a 72% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 60%.

Who is the favourite for Atalanta vs Venezia?

Our model makes an Atalanta win the most likely result at 72%. It projects an expected 2.3-0.8 scoreline for Atalanta vs Venezia.

What is the predicted score for Atalanta vs Venezia?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.30 for Atalanta and 0.81 for Venezia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Atalanta and Venezia play?

Kick-off is Monday 12 October 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.