⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

Austria Vienna vs Beitar Jerusalem Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Austria Vienna vs Beitar Jerusalem in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers All markets FAQ

Austria Vienna face Beitar Jerusalem in the UEFA Europa Conference League, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Austria Vienna win the most likely result at 52%, projecting a 1.8-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Austria Vienna vs Beitar Jerusalem with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Austria Vienna or Draw @ 1.40

75%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.80 – 1.25 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.7%	5.9%	3.7%	1.5%	0.5%
1	8.5%	10.7%	6.7%	2.8%	0.9%
2	7.7%	9.6%	6.0%	2.5%	0.8%
3	4.6%	5.8%	3.6%	1.5%	0.5%
4	2.1%	2.6%	1.6%	0.7%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Austria Vienna winDrawBeitar Jerusalem win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Austria Vienna vs Beitar Jerusalem is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Austria Vienna or Draw at odds 1.40, the selection our model is most confident in at 75%. On the match result, the model rates an Austria Vienna win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 52%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (58%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is an Austria Vienna win at odds 2.20 (+13.4% model value).

Best value

Austria Vienna Win at odds 2.20, 52% model probability, +13.4% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Austria Vienna 52%Draw 23%Beitar Jerusalem 26%

52%23%26%

52%

Austria Vienna Win

59%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

BTTS yes

+13.4%

Best value: Austria Vienna Win

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Austria Vienna at 52% to win and Beitar Jerusalem at 26%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes an Austria Vienna win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Austria Vienna Win	52%	2.20	+13.4%
Draw	23%	3.65	-16.5%
Beitar Jerusalem Win	26%	2.78	-28.9%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Austria Vienna or Draw at 1.40 (75% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Austria Vienna or Draw	75%	1.40	+5.6%
Beitar Jerusalem or Draw	50%	1.62	-19.9%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	36%	2.80	+1.9%
Over 2.5	59%	1.70	-0.1%
Over 1.5	81%	1.22	-1.4%
Under 3.5	64%	1.40	-11.0%
Under 2.5	41%	2.10	-13.5%
Under 1.5	19%	4.00	-23.3%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	58%	1.57	-8.5%
BTTS No	42%	2.15	-10.3%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	46%
Dixon-Coles	Home	54%
GradientBoosting	Home	53%

All three of our models point the same way. This is our strongest confidence signal.

Expected goals: 1.61 for the home side, 1.04 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Austria Vienna vs Beitar Jerusalem?

Our main pick is Austria Vienna or Draw at odds 1.40, with 75% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is an Austria Vienna win at 2.20 (+13.4% value).

Who is the favourite for Austria Vienna vs Beitar Jerusalem?

Our model makes an Austria Vienna win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.2 scoreline for Austria Vienna vs Beitar Jerusalem.

What is the predicted score for Austria Vienna vs Beitar Jerusalem?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.80 for Austria Vienna and 1.25 for Beitar Jerusalem. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Austria Vienna and Beitar Jerusalem play?

Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.