⚽ Ligue 1

Auxerre vs Angers Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Auxerre vs Angers in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Auxerre face Angers in the Ligue 1, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Auxerre have 3 wins from their last 5, while Angers have 0 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Auxerre won 2, Angers won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Auxerre win the most likely result at 47%, projecting a 1.3-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Auxerre vs Angers with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.30

84%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.30 – 0.81 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.1%	9.8%	4.0%	1.1%	0.2%
1	15.8%	12.8%	5.2%	1.4%	0.3%
2	10.2%	8.3%	3.4%	0.9%	0.2%
3	4.4%	3.6%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
4	1.4%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Auxerre winDrawAngers win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Auxerre vs Angers is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, the selection our model is most confident in at 84%. On the match result, the model rates an Auxerre win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 47%. Goals lean under 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points no (59%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.80 (+16.4% model value).

Best value

Under 2.5 at odds 1.80, 65% model probability, +16.4% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Auxerre 47%Draw 29%Angers 24%

47%29%24%

47%

Auxerre Win

65%

Under 2.5 goals

59%

BTTS no

+16.4%

Best value: Under 2.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Auxerre and Angers. Wins shown from Auxerre’s perspective: Auxerre 2 · Angers 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-05-03	Auxerre	3 – 1	Angers	W
2025-11-09	Angers	2 – 0	Auxerre	L
2025-01-19	Angers	2 – 0	Auxerre	L
2024-11-24	Auxerre	1 – 0	Angers	W

📈 Recent form

Auxerre

Auxerre come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Werder Bremen. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-5 at Lens.

LLens 5-2 AuxerreLigue 1
WWerder Bremen 0-1 AuxerreFriendlies Clubs
DAuxerre 1-1 Estac TroyesFriendlies Clubs
DSochaux 1-1 AuxerreFriendlies Clubs
LAuxerre 1-2 OrleansFriendlies Clubs

Angers

Angers come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Les Herbiers. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at home to Le Mans.

WAngers 3-2 Paris FCFriendlies Clubs
WAngers 2-1 LorientFriendlies Clubs
LAngers 2-3 Le MansFriendlies Clubs
WAngers 2-1 CreteilFriendlies Clubs
WAngers 3-1 Les HerbiersFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Auxerre at 47% to win and Angers at 24%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes an Auxerre win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	29%	@ 3.50	+2.6%
Angers Win	24%	@ 4.20	-0.1%
Auxerre Win	47%	@ 1.84	-13.7%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Angers or Draw at 1.91 (51% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Angers or Draw	51%	@ 1.91	-2.5%
Auxerre or Draw	74%	@ 1.22	-9.6%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 65% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	38%	@ 3.30	+24.4%
Under 2.5	65%	@ 1.80	+16.4%
Under 3.5	84%	@ 1.30	+8.8%
Over 1.5	62%	@ 1.33	-17.1%
Over 2.5	35%	@ 2.00	-29.4%
Over 3.5	16%	@ 3.45	-43.7%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 59%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	59%	@ 1.90	+12.2%
BTTS Yes	41%	@ 1.80	-26.3%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Auxerre vs Angers?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with 84% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 2.5 goals at 1.80 (+16.4% value).

Who is the favourite for Auxerre vs Angers?

Our model makes an Auxerre win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 1.3-0.8 scoreline for Auxerre vs Angers.

What is the predicted score for Auxerre vs Angers?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.30 for Auxerre and 0.81 for Angers. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Auxerre and Angers play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.