⚽ Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead Eagles Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead Eagles in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

AZ Alkmaar face GO Ahead Eagles in the Eredivisie, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:45 UTC. Recent form: AZ Alkmaar have 3 wins from their last 5, while GO Ahead Eagles have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, AZ Alkmaar won 2, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an AZ Alkmaar win the most likely result at 54%, projecting a 2.0-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead Eagles with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

BTTS Yes @ 1.55

62%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.97 – 1.28 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.9%	5.0%	3.2%	1.4%	0.4%
1	7.6%	9.8%	6.3%	2.7%	0.9%
2	7.5%	9.6%	6.2%	2.6%	0.8%
3	4.9%	6.3%	4.0%	1.7%	0.6%
4	2.4%	3.1%	2.0%	0.9%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

AZ Alkmaar winDrawGO Ahead Eagles win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead Eagles is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is both teams to score at odds 1.55, the selection our model is most confident in at 62%. On the match result, the model rates an AZ Alkmaar win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 54%. Goals lean over 2.5 (63%), both teams to score points yes (62%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.80 (+6.5% model value).

Best value

Under 3.5 at odds 1.80, 59% model probability, +6.5% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

AZ Alkmaar 54%Draw 25%GO Ahead Eagles 21%

54%25%21%

54%

AZ Alkmaar Win

63%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS yes

+6.5%

Best value: Under 3.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between AZ Alkmaar and GO Ahead Eagles. Wins shown from AZ Alkmaar’s perspective: AZ Alkmaar 2 · 3 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-04-23	GO Ahead Eagles	0 – 0	AZ Alkmaar	D
2025-12-07	AZ Alkmaar	2 – 2	GO Ahead Eagles	D
2025-05-04	GO Ahead Eagles	0 – 3	AZ Alkmaar	W
2024-10-27	AZ Alkmaar	2 – 2	GO Ahead Eagles	D
2024-05-12	GO Ahead Eagles	0 – 3	AZ Alkmaar	W

📈 Recent form

AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 15 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at PSV Eindhoven. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WFortuna Sittard 0-2 AZ AlkmaarEredivisie
WUtrecht 1-4 AZ AlkmaarEredivisie
WAZ Alkmaar 2-0 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
WPSV Eindhoven 0-4 AZ AlkmaarSuper Cup
WAZ Alkmaar 3-2 Olympiakos PiraeusFriendlies Clubs

GO Ahead Eagles

GO Ahead Eagles come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to OFI. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Lommel United.

WGO Ahead Eagles 3-1 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
DFeyenoord 2-2 GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
WLuton 0-1 GO Ahead EaglesFriendlies Clubs
WGO Ahead Eagles 4-0 OFIFriendlies Clubs
LLommel United 2-1 GO Ahead EaglesFriendlies Clubs

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

AZ Alkmaar

D. KasiusGroin Injury
S. ResinkKnee Injury
M. de WitInjury
E. DijkstraInjury

GO Ahead Eagles

G. NauberBroken Leg
P. SaathofKnee Injury
R. WeijenbergKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices AZ Alkmaar at 54% to win and GO Ahead Eagles at 21%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes an AZ Alkmaar win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
GO Ahead Eagles Win	21%	@ 6.40	+32.7%
Draw	25%	@ 5.10	+28.6%
AZ Alkmaar Win	54%	@ 1.39	-24.9%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is GO Ahead Eagles or Draw at 2.88 (45% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
GO Ahead Eagles or Draw	45%	@ 2.88	+30.5%
AZ Alkmaar or Draw	78%	@ 1.11	-12.8%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 63% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 2.5	37%	@ 2.95	+9.0%
Under 3.5	59%	@ 1.80	+6.5%
Under 1.5	16%	@ 6.25	+3.0%
Over 1.5	84%	@ 1.11	-7.3%
Over 2.5	63%	@ 1.38	-13.0%
Over 3.5	41%	@ 2.00	-18.3%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	62%	@ 1.55	-3.0%
BTTS No	38%	@ 2.30	-13.9%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	58%
Dixon-Coles	Home	48%
GradientBoosting	Home	55%

All three of our models point the same way. This is our strongest confidence signal.

Expected goals: 1.72 for the home side, 0.98 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead Eagles?

Our main pick is both teams to score at odds 1.55, with 62% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 3.5 goals at 1.80 (+6.5% value).

Who is the favourite for AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead Eagles?

Our model makes an AZ Alkmaar win the most likely result at 54%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.3 scoreline for AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead Eagles.

What is the predicted score for AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead Eagles?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.97 for AZ Alkmaar and 1.28 for GO Ahead Eagles. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do AZ Alkmaar and GO Ahead Eagles play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.