Sun 18 Oct21:30Upcoming

⚽ Brazilian Série A

Bahia vs Flamengo Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Bahia vs Flamengo in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Sunday 18 October 2026, 21:30 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Bahia face Flamengo in the Brazilian Série A, kicking off Sunday 18 October 2026, 21:30 UTC. Recent form: Bahia have 3 wins from their last 5, while Flamengo have 4 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Flamengo won 5. The bookmaker market makes a Flamengo win the most likely result at 46%, implying a 1.2-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Bahia vs Flamengo with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Bahia win	28%
Draw	27%
Flamengo win	46%
Over 2.5 goals	55%
Both teams to score	58%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.25 – 1.65 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.5%	9.1%	7.5%	4.1%	1.7%
1	6.9%	11.3%	9.4%	5.1%	2.1%
2	4.3%	7.1%	5.9%	3.2%	1.3%
3	1.8%	3.0%	2.4%	1.3%	0.6%
4	0.6%	0.9%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Bahia winDrawFlamengo win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Bahia vs Flamengo. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Flamengo win is the most likely result at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 55%. Both teams to score: yes at 58%.

📊 Key numbers

Bahia 28%Draw 27%Flamengo 46%

28%27%46%

46%

Flamengo Win

55%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Bahia and Flamengo. Wins shown from Bahia’s perspective: Flamengo 5.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-04-19	Flamengo	2 – 0	Bahia	L
2024-10-05	Bahia	0 – 2	Flamengo	L
2024-06-20	Flamengo	2 – 1	Bahia	L
2023-09-30	Flamengo	1 – 0	Bahia	L
2023-05-13	Bahia	2 – 3	Flamengo	L

📈 Recent form

Bahia

Bahia come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Mirassol. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Palmeiras.

WBahia 1-0 MirassolBrazilian Série A
LPalmeiras 1-0 BahiaBrazilian Série A
LAthletico Paranaense 2-1 BahiaBrazilian Série A
WBahia 2-1 RemoBrazilian Série A
WRB Bragantino 2-3 BahiaBrazilian Série A

Flamengo

Flamengo come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Fluminense. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WFlamengo 1-0 FluminenseBrazilian Série A
DSantos 2-2 FlamengoBrazilian Série A
WFlamengo 2-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
DFlamengo 1-1 Independiente del ValleCONMEBOL Libertadores
WFlamengo 2-1 CorinthiansBrazilian Série A

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Bahia at 28% to win and Flamengo at 46%, with the draw at 27%. The bookmaker market makes a Flamengo win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Flamengo Win	46%	@ 2.05
Bahia Win	28%	@ 3.40
Draw	27%	@ 3.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Flamengo or Draw at 1.30 (72% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Flamengo or Draw	72%	@ 1.30
Bahia or Draw	54%	@ 1.73

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.2-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	78%	@ 1.22
Under 3.5	66%	@ 1.44
Over 2.5	55%	@ 1.73
Under 2.5	45%	@ 2.08
Over 3.5	34%	@ 2.75
Under 1.5	22%	@ 4.33

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 58%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	58%	@ 1.62
BTTS No	42%	@ 2.20

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bahia vs Flamengo?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Flamengo win is the most likely result at 46%.

Who is the favourite for Bahia vs Flamengo?

Our model makes a Flamengo win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.6 scoreline for Bahia vs Flamengo.

What is the predicted score for Bahia vs Flamengo?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.25 for Bahia and 1.65 for Flamengo. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Bahia and Flamengo play?

Kick-off is Sunday 18 October 2026, 21:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.