What is the predicted score for Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 3-1, based on expected goals of 3.01 for Bayern München and 1.23 for RB Leipzig. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

Bayern Munich

Sat 17 Oct16:30Upcoming

RB Leipzig

⚽ Bundesliga

Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig Prediction

Q: Who is the favourite for Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?

Our model makes a Bayern München win the most likely result at 71%. It projects an expected 3.0-1.2 scoreline for Bayern München vs RB Leipzig.

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 17 October 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Bayern Munich face RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 17 October 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Bayern Munich have 3 wins from their last 5, while RB Leipzig have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Bayern Munich won 4, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bayern Munich win the most likely result at 71%, projecting a 3.0-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

BTTS Yes @ 1.40

67%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 3.01 – 1.23 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	1.4%	1.8%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%
1	4.3%	5.3%	3.3%	1.3%	0.4%
2	6.5%	8.0%	4.9%	2.0%	0.6%
3	6.5%	8.1%	5.0%	2.0%	0.6%
4	4.9%	6.1%	3.7%	1.5%	0.5%

Projected score: 3-1

Bayern Munich winDrawRB Leipzig win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is both teams to score at odds 1.40, with a 67% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Bayern Munich win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 71%. Goals lean over 2.5 (79%), both teams to score points yes (67%).

📊 Key numbers

Bayern Munich 71%Draw 14%RB Leipzig 15%

71%14%15%

71%

Bayern Munich Win

79%

Over 2.5 goals

67%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig. Wins shown from Bayern Munich’s perspective: Bayern Munich 4 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-15	Bayern Munich	3 – 1	RB Leipzig	W
2026-01-17	RB Leipzig	1 – 5	Bayern Munich	W
2025-08-22	Bayern Munich	6 – 0	RB Leipzig	W
2025-05-03	RB Leipzig	3 – 3	Bayern Munich	D
2024-12-20	Bayern Munich	5 – 1	RB Leipzig	W

📈 Recent form

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 16 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 7-0 at home to Union Berlin.

DFC Augsburg 2-2 Bayern MunichBundesliga
WBayern Munich 7-0 Union BerlinBundesliga
WSV Elversberg 1-2 Bayern MunichBundesliga
WBayern Munich 5-0 Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League
DFC Schalke 04 0-0 Bayern MunichBundesliga

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 6-0 at home to Eintracht Frankfurt. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Bayer Leverkusen.

WRB Leipzig 6-0 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
LBayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB LeipzigBundesliga
WRB Leipzig 5-0 Hamburger SVBundesliga
LComo 4-1 RB LeipzigUEFA Champions League
LWerder Bremen 3-1 RB LeipzigBundesliga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Bayern Munich at 71% to win and RB Leipzig at 15%, with the draw at 14%. Our model makes a Bayern Munich win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bayern Munich Win	71%	77%	@ 1.22
RB Leipzig Win	15%	10%	@ 9.50
Draw	14%	13%	@ 7.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bayern Munich or Draw at 1.07 (87% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bayern Munich or Draw	87%	90%	@ 1.07
RB Leipzig or Draw	32%	23%	@ 4.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 3.0-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 79% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	92%	93%	@ 1.04
Over 2.5	79%	83%	@ 1.14
Over 3.5	61%	68%	@ 1.40
Under 3.5	39%	32%	@ 3.00
Under 2.5	21%	17%	@ 5.50
Under 1.5	8%	7%	@ 13.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 67%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	67%	66%	@ 1.40
BTTS No	33%	34%	@ 2.75

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig?

Our model's pick is both teams to score at odds 1.40, with a 67% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 66%.

Who is the favourite for Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig?

Our model makes a Bayern Munich win the most likely result at 71%. It projects an expected 3.0-1.2 scoreline for Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig.

What is the predicted score for Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 3-1, based on expected goals of 3.01 for Bayern Munich and 1.23 for RB Leipzig. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig play?

Kick-off is Saturday 17 October 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.