vs
⚽ Bundesliga
Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Friday 28 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.
Bayern München face VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga, kicking off Friday 28 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Bayern München won 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bayern München win the most likely result at 67%, projecting a 3.0-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| 4 | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.25, the selection our model is most confident in at 83%. On the match result, the model rates a Bayern München win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 67%. Goals lean over 2.5 (83%), both teams to score points yes (74%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 3.5 goals at odds 1.62 (+6.9% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Bayern München and VfB Stuttgart. Wins shown from Bayern München’s perspective: Bayern München 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Bayern München | 3 – 0 | VfB Stuttgart | W |
| 2026-04-19 | Bayern München | 4 – 2 | VfB Stuttgart | W |
| 2025-12-06 | VfB Stuttgart | 0 – 5 | Bayern München | W |
| 2025-02-28 | VfB Stuttgart | 1 – 3 | Bayern München | W |
| 2024-10-19 | Bayern München | 4 – 0 | VfB Stuttgart | W |
📈 Recent form
Bayern München come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at 1. FC Heidenheim. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WBorussia Dortmund 1-2 Bayern MünchenSuper Cup
- W1. FC Heidenheim 2-4 Bayern MünchenFriendlies Clubs
- WBayern München 3-1 RB LeipzigFriendlies Clubs
- WBayern München 2-1 Aston VillaFriendlies Clubs
- WJeju United FC 1-2 Bayern MünchenFriendlies Clubs
VfB Stuttgart come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 17 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 8-1 at Kickers Offenbach. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Fulham.
- WHansa Rostock 0-4 VfB StuttgartDFB Pokal
- LFulham 1-0 VfB StuttgartFriendlies Clubs
- WVfB Stuttgart 3-1 EvertonFriendlies Clubs
- DVfB Stuttgart 2-2 Paris FCFriendlies Clubs
- WKickers Offenbach 1-8 VfB StuttgartFriendlies Clubs
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Bayern München at 67% to win and VfB Stuttgart at 15%, with the draw at 19%. Our model makes a Bayern München win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart Win | 15% | @ 8.10 | +18.7% |
| Draw | 19% | @ 6.00 | +11.8% |
| Bayern München Win | 67% | @ 1.28 | -14.6% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is VfB Stuttgart or Draw at 3.50 (34% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart or Draw | 34% | @ 3.50 | +19.4% |
| Bayern München or Draw | 86% | @ 1.07 | -8.1% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 3.0-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 83% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 66% | @ 1.62 | +6.9% |
| Over 2.5 | 83% | @ 1.25 | +3.4% |
| Over 1.5 | 94% | @ 1.06 | -0.5% |
| Under 3.5 | 34% | @ 2.25 | -23.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 17% | @ 3.95 | -31.9% |
| Under 1.5 | 6% | @ 8.50 | -47.9% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 74%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 74% | @ 1.45 | +6.9% |
| BTTS No | 26% | @ 2.60 | -31.7% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart?
Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.25, with 83% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 3.5 goals at 1.62 (+6.9% value).
Who is the favourite for Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart?
Our model makes a Bayern München win the most likely result at 67%. It projects an expected 3.0-1.5 scoreline for Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart.
What is the predicted score for Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 3-1, based on expected goals of 3.02 for Bayern München and 1.50 for VfB Stuttgart. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Bayern München and VfB Stuttgart play?
Kick-off is Friday 28 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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AnnecyAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.