Mon 24 Aug0-1Finished

⚽ Serie A

Bologna vs Lazio Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Bologna vs Lazio in the Serie A. Kick-off Monday 24 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Bologna 0-1 Lazio

Bologna vs Lazio finished 0-1. Lazio won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Bologna face Lazio in the upcoming Serie A tips, kicking off Monday 24 August 2026, 16:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Bologna won 1, Lazio won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bologna win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.3-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Bologna vs Lazio with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Lazio +1.25 @ 1.25

75%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.29 – 1.12 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.0%	10.1%	5.6%	2.1%	0.6%
1	11.6%	13.0%	7.3%	2.7%	0.8%
2	7.5%	8.4%	4.7%	1.7%	0.5%
3	3.2%	3.6%	2.0%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.0%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Bologna winDrawLazio win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Bologna vs Lazio comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Lazio with a +1.25 start at odds 1.25, with a 75% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Bologna win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean under 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points no (51%).

📊 Key numbers

Bologna 40%Draw 28%Lazio 31%

40%28%31%

40%

Bologna Win

57%

Under 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Bologna and Lazio. Wins shown from Bologna’s perspective: Bologna 1 · 1 drawn · Lazio 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-24	Bologna	0 – 1	Lazio	L
2026-03-22	Bologna	0 – 2	Lazio	L
2025-12-07	Lazio	1 – 1	Bologna	D
2025-03-16	Bologna	5 – 0	Lazio	W
2024-11-24	Lazio	3 – 0	Bologna	L

📈 Recent form

Bologna

Bologna come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 6. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Napoli.

DBologna 1-1 TorinoSerie A
LNapoli 1-0 BolognaSerie A
DBologna 2-2 SassuoloSerie A
LAtalanta 1-0 BolognaSerie A
LBologna 0-1 LazioSerie A

Lazio

Lazio come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Venezia. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WVenezia 0-2 LazioSerie A
DLazio 2-2 AC MilanSerie A
WUdinese 1-2 LazioSerie A
WLazio 1-0 GenoaSerie A
WBologna 0-1 LazioSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Bologna

N. CasaleMuscle Injury

Lazio

D. CataldiGroin Injury
A. FurlanettoKnee Injury
S. GigotNot in squad
PatricAnkle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Bologna at 40% to win and Lazio at 31%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Bologna win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bologna Win	40%	43%	@ 2.17
Lazio Win	31%	27%	@ 3.45
Draw	28%	30%	@ 3.10

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bologna or Draw at 1.29 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bologna or Draw	68%	73%	@ 1.29
Lazio or Draw	59%	57%	@ 1.65

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	78%	77%	@ 1.22
Over 1.5	69%	68%	@ 1.38
Under 2.5	57%	57%	@ 1.65
Over 2.5	43%	43%	@ 2.20
Under 1.5	31%	32%	@ 3.00
Over 3.5	22%	23%	@ 4.20

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	51%	51%	@ 1.85
BTTS Yes	49%	49%	@ 1.89

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Bologna or Lazio is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bologna +1.5	86%	87%	1.07
Lazio +1.75	84%	83%	1.14
Lazio +1.5	80%	78%	1.21
Bologna +1	77%	86%	1.10
Lazio +1.25	75%	–	1.25
Bologna +0.75	72%	79%	1.21
Lazio +1	70%	73%	1.30
Bologna +0.5	68%	72%	1.31
Lazio +0.75	64%	64%	1.49
Bologna +0.25	61%	68%	1.41
Lazio +0.5	59%	56%	1.68
Bologna 0	54%	61%	1.55
Lazio +0.25	52%	49%	@ 1.98
Bologna -0.25	48%	51%	1.91
Lazio 0	46%	39%	@ 2.46
Bologna -0.5	41%	44%	2.18
Lazio -0.25	39%	32%	@ 3.02
Bologna -0.75	36%	36%	2.67
Lazio -0.5	32%	28%	@ 3.41
Bologna -1	30%	27%	@ 3.57
Lazio -0.75	28%	21%	@ 4.53
Lazio -1	23%	14%	@ 6.80
Bologna -1.5	20%	22%	4.22
Bologna -1.75	16%	17%	5.75
Lazio -1.5	14%	13%	7.00

📈 How the market moved

Bologna 43%Draw 30%Lazio 27%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bologna vs Lazio?

Our model's main pick is Lazio with a +1.25 start at odds 1.25, with a 75% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 80%.

Who is the favourite for Bologna vs Lazio?

Our model makes a Bologna win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.1 scoreline for Bologna vs Lazio.

What is the predicted score for Bologna vs Lazio?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.29 for Bologna and 1.12 for Lazio. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Bologna and Lazio play?

Kick-off is Monday 24 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.