Brann
PAOK⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League
Brann vs PAOK Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Brann vs PAOK in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Result: Brann 3-2 PAOK
Brann vs PAOK finished 3-2. Brann won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Brann face PAOK in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. In their last 3 meetings, Brann won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Brann win the most likely result at 35%, projecting a 1.6-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Brann vs PAOK with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 9.3% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 7.3% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Brann vs PAOK comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 77% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Brann win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 35%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (57%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 3 meetings between Brann and PAOK. Wins shown from Brann’s perspective: Brann 1 · 2 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Brann | 3 – 2 | PAOK | W |
| 2026-08-20 | PAOK | 1 – 1 | Brann | D |
| 2025-11-27 | PAOK | 1 – 1 | Brann | D |
📈 Recent form
Brann come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Bodo/Glimt. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Start.
- WBrann 2-1 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
- WOs 1-2 BrannNM Cupen
- LStart 2-0 BrannEliteserien
- LBrann 1-2 LillestromEliteserien
- DSandefjord 0-0 BrannEliteserien
PAOK come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Panetolikos. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Panathinaikos.
- WPanetolikos 1-3 PAOKSuper League 1
- WAtromitos 0-1 PAOKCup
- WPAOK 2-0 Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1
- LPanathinaikos 3-1 PAOKSuper League 1
- DPAOK 0-0 OFICup
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Brann at 35% to win and PAOK at 34%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Brann win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brann Win | 35% | 35% | @ 2.65 |
| PAOK Win | 34% | 37% | @ 2.55 |
| Draw | 31% | 28% | @ 3.35 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Brann or Draw at 1.44 (64% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brann or Draw | 64% | 63% | @ 1.44 |
| PAOK or Draw | 63% | 65% | @ 1.41 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 74% | @ 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 | 68% | 72% | @ 1.29 |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 49% | @ 1.86 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 51% | @ 1.81 |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 28% | @ 3.25 |
| Under 1.5 | 23% | 26% | @ 3.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 55% | @ 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 43% | 45% | @ 2.02 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Brann or PAOK is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brann +1.75 | 86% | 85% | 1.12 |
| PAOK +1.75 | 86% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Brann +1.5 | 84% | 80% | 1.18 |
| PAOK +1.5 | 84% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Brann +1.25 | 79% | 79% | 1.20 |
| PAOK +1.25 | 78% | 81% | 1.17 |
| Brann +1 | 74% | – | 1.26 |
| PAOK +1 | 73% | 79% | 1.19 |
| Brann +0.75 | 69% | 69% | 1.37 |
| PAOK +0.75 | 68% | 71% | 1.33 |
| Brann +0.5 | 64% | 62% | 1.50 |
| PAOK +0.5 | 63% | 64% | 1.46 |
| Brann +0.25 | 57% | 56% | 1.68 |
| PAOK +0.25 | 56% | 59% | 1.61 |
| Brann 0 | 50% | 48% | 1.96 |
| PAOK 0 | 50% | 52% | 1.84 |
| Brann -0.25 | 44% | 41% | @ 2.30 |
| PAOK -0.25 | 43% | 44% | 2.17 |
| Brann -0.5 | 37% | 36% | 2.58 |
| PAOK -0.5 | 36% | 38% | 2.45 |
| Brann -0.75 | 32% | 29% | @ 3.21 |
| PAOK -0.75 | 31% | 31% | 3.04 |
| Brann -1 | 27% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
| Brann -1.25 | 22% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
| PAOK -1.25 | 21% | 21% | 4.40 |
| Brann -1.5 | 16% | 17% | 5.75 |
| PAOK -1.5 | 16% | 20% | 4.80 |
| Brann -1.75 | 14% | 14% | 7.00 |
| PAOK -1.75 | 14% | 15% | 6.40 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Brann vs PAOK?
Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.
Who is the favourite for Brann vs PAOK?
Our model makes a Brann win the most likely result at 35%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.3 scoreline for Brann vs PAOK.
What is the predicted score for Brann vs PAOK?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.57 for Brann and 1.26 for PAOK. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Brann and PAOK play?
Kick-off is Thursday 27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
