⚽ Serie A

Cagliari vs Inter Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Cagliari vs Inter in the Serie A. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Cagliari face Inter in the Serie A, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Cagliari have 3 wins from their last 5, while Inter have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Inter won 4, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Inter win the most likely result at 65%, projecting a 0.9-2.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Cagliari vs Inter with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.30

84%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.92 – 2.41 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.6%	8.6%	10.4%	8.4%	5.0%
1	3.3%	7.9%	9.6%	7.7%	4.6%
2	1.5%	3.7%	4.4%	3.5%	2.1%
3	0.5%	1.1%	1.3%	1.1%	0.7%
4	0.1%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.2%

Projected score: 0-2

Cagliari winDrawInter win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Cagliari vs Inter is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, the selection our model is most confident in at 84%. On the match result, the model rates an Inter win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 65%. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points yes (55%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.95 (+26.0% model value).

Best value

Over 2.5 at odds 1.95, 65% model probability, +26.0% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Cagliari 12%Draw 23%Inter 65%

12%23%65%

65%

Inter Win

65%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS yes

+26.0%

Best value: Over 2.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Cagliari and Inter. Wins shown from Cagliari’s perspective: 1 drawn · Inter 4.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-04-17	Inter	3 – 0	Cagliari	L
2025-09-27	Cagliari	0 – 2	Inter	L
2025-04-12	Inter	3 – 1	Cagliari	L
2024-12-28	Cagliari	0 – 3	Inter	L
2024-04-14	Inter	2 – 2	Cagliari	D

📈 Recent form

Cagliari

Cagliari come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Parma.

WParma 0-1 CagliariSerie A
WCagliari 1-0 ArezzoCoppa Italia
DUnion Berlin 2-2 CagliariFriendlies Clubs
WCagliari 1-0 ModenaFriendlies Clubs
DSampdoria 0-0 CagliariFriendlies Clubs

Inter

Inter come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Monza. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WInter 4-1 MonzaSerie A
WInter 4-1 Inca ArubaPrimera Division
WInter 1-0 Real BetisFriendlies Clubs
WMunicipal Limeño 0-1 InterPrimera Division
WInter 2-0 AlianzaPrimera Division

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Cagliari at 12% to win and Inter at 65%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes an Inter win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Cagliari Win	12%	@ 8.40	-2.1%
Draw	23%	@ 4.00	-7.0%
Inter Win	65%	@ 1.42	-7.6%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Inter or Draw at 1.07 (87% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Inter or Draw	87%	@ 1.07	-7.4%
Cagliari or Draw	33%	@ 2.75	-9.0%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-2.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	43%	@ 3.35	+42.7%
Over 2.5	65%	@ 1.95	+26.0%
Over 1.5	84%	@ 1.30	+9.8%
Under 3.5	57%	@ 1.30	-25.4%
Under 2.5	35%	@ 1.83	-35.3%
Under 1.5	16%	@ 3.35	-48.0%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	55%	@ 2.15	+17.4%
BTTS No	45%	@ 1.67	-24.2%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cagliari vs Inter?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, with 84% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 2.5 goals at 1.95 (+26.0% value).

Who is the favourite for Cagliari vs Inter?

Our model makes an Inter win the most likely result at 65%. It projects an expected 0.9-2.4 scoreline for Cagliari vs Inter.

What is the predicted score for Cagliari vs Inter?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-2, based on expected goals of 0.92 for Cagliari and 2.41 for Inter. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Cagliari and Inter play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.