Sun 30 Aug0-1Finished

⚽ Serie A

Cagliari vs Inter Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Cagliari vs Inter in the Serie A. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Cagliari 0-1 Inter

Cagliari vs Inter finished 0-1. Inter won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Cagliari face Inter in the upcoming Serie A tips, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Cagliari have 3 wins from their last 5, while Inter have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Inter won 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Inter win the most likely result at 65%, projecting a 0.9-2.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Cagliari vs Inter with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.25

85%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.93 – 2.41 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.5%	8.5%	10.3%	8.3%	5.0%
1	3.3%	7.9%	9.6%	7.7%	4.6%
2	1.5%	3.7%	4.5%	3.6%	2.2%
3	0.5%	1.1%	1.4%	1.1%	0.7%
4	0.1%	0.3%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%

Projected score: 0-2

Cagliari winDrawInter win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Cagliari vs Inter comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 85% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Inter win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 65%. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points yes (55%).

📊 Key numbers

Cagliari 12%Draw 23%Inter 65%

12%23%65%

65%

Inter Win

65%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Cagliari and Inter. Wins shown from Cagliari’s perspective: Inter 5.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-30	Cagliari	0 – 1	Inter	L
2026-04-17	Inter	3 – 0	Cagliari	L
2025-09-27	Cagliari	0 – 2	Inter	L
2025-04-12	Inter	3 – 1	Cagliari	L
2024-12-28	Cagliari	0 – 3	Inter	L

📈 Recent form

Cagliari

Cagliari come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Udinese. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Hellas Verona.

WUdinese 0-1 CagliariSerie A
WAtalanta 1-2 CagliariSerie A
WCagliari 1-0 LecceSerie A
LCagliari 1-2 Hellas VeronaCoppa Italia
LCagliari 0-1 InterSerie A

Inter

Inter come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 5-3 at home to Udinese. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Real Madrid.

DAS Roma 2-2 InterSerie A
WInter 5-3 UdineseSerie A
LReal Madrid 2-1 InterUEFA Champions League
WInter 3-2 NapoliSerie A
WCagliari 0-1 InterSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Cagliari

R. IdrissiKnee Injury
Y. TrepyInjury

Inter

D. SpenceInjury
M. SpinacceInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Cagliari at 12% to win and Inter at 65%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes an Inter win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Inter Win	65%	68%	@ 1.38
Draw	23%	21%	@ 4.50
Cagliari Win	12%	12%	@ 8.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Inter or Draw at 1.07 (86% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Inter or Draw	86%	88%	@ 1.07
Cagliari or Draw	33%	32%	@ 2.88

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-2.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	85%	75%	@ 1.25
Over 2.5	65%	51%	@ 1.84
Under 3.5	57%	70%	@ 1.34
Over 3.5	43%	30%	@ 3.15
Under 2.5	35%	49%	@ 1.92
Under 1.5	15%	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	55%	44%	@ 2.10
BTTS No	45%	56%	@ 1.68

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Cagliari or Inter is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Inter +0.5	86%	86%	1.09
Inter +0.25	82%	86%	1.11
Inter 0	77%	84%	1.13
Inter -0.25	72%	75%	1.27
Cagliari +2	68%	72%	1.33
Inter -0.5	67%	67%	1.40
Cagliari +1.75	63%	64%	1.50
Inter -0.75	61%	63%	1.51
Cagliari +1.5	58%	57%	1.67
Inter -1	55%	57%	1.65
Cagliari +1.25	52%	51%	1.90
Inter -1.25	48%	49%	1.99
Cagliari +1	45%	43%	@ 2.22
Inter -1.5	42%	43%	2.17
Cagliari +0.75	39%	37%	@ 2.57
Inter -1.75	37%	36%	2.63
Cagliari +0.5	33%	33%	2.91
Inter -2	32%	28%	@ 3.36
Cagliari +0.25	28%	25%	@ 3.80
Cagliari 0	23%	16%	@ 5.90
Cagliari -0.25	18%	14%	@ 6.60
Cagliari -0.5	14%	14%	6.88

📈 How the market moved

Cagliari 12%Draw 20%Inter 68%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cagliari vs Inter?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 85% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for Cagliari vs Inter?

Our model makes an Inter win the most likely result at 65%. It projects an expected 0.9-2.4 scoreline for Cagliari vs Inter.

What is the predicted score for Cagliari vs Inter?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-2, based on expected goals of 0.93 for Cagliari and 2.41 for Inter. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Cagliari and Inter play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.