Fri 7 Aug0-4Finished

⚽ Eredivisie

Cambuur vs Excelsior Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Cambuur vs Excelsior in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Friday 07 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Cambuur 0-4 Excelsior

Cambuur vs Excelsior finished 0-4. Excelsior won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, Cambuur Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at 1.35, did not land.

Cambuur face Excelsior in the upcoming Eredivisie tips, kicking off Friday 07 August 2026, 18:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Cambuur vs Excelsior with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Cambuur Asian Handicap +0.75 @ 1.35

75%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.33 – 1.45 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.3%	3.3%	2.4%	1.2%	0.4%
1	5.3%	7.7%	5.6%	2.7%	1.0%
2	6.2%	9.0%	6.5%	3.1%	1.1%
3	4.8%	7.0%	5.1%	2.4%	0.9%
4	2.8%	4.1%	2.9%	1.4%	0.5%

Projected score: 2-1

Cambuur winDrawExcelsior win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Cambuur vs Excelsior comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Cambuur Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at odds 1.35, with a 75% model probability. Goals lean over 2.5 (73%), both teams to score points yes (69%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

73%

Over 2.5 goals

69%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Cambuur

Cambuur come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 12. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to NEC Nijmegen. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at home to Twente.

DADO Den Haag 1-1 CambuurEredivisie
WCambuur 3-0 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
DTelstar 2-2 CambuurEredivisie
LCambuur 1-4 TwenteEredivisie
LCambuur 2-5 FeyenoordEredivisie

Excelsior

Excelsior come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Willem II. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Utrecht.

DAjax 2-2 ExcelsiorEredivisie
LExcelsior 1-2 UtrechtEredivisie
WWillem II 0-3 ExcelsiorEredivisie
WExcelsior 2-1 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
DNEC Nijmegen 2-2 ExcelsiorEredivisie

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Cambuur

W. KooistraInjury
D. VisserKnee Injury

Excelsior

K. BosShoulder Injury

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Cambuur or Draw at 1.49 (71% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Cambuur or Draw	71%	63%	@ 1.49
Excelsior or Draw	52%	63%	@ 1.49

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.3-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 73% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	89%	80%	@ 1.17
Over 2.5	73%	58%	@ 1.63
Over 3.5	52%	37%	@ 2.55
Under 3.5	48%	63%	@ 1.50
Under 2.5	27%	42%	@ 2.28
Under 1.5	11%	20%	@ 4.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 69%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	69%	62%	@ 1.49
BTTS No	31%	38%	@ 2.45

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Cambuur or Excelsior is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Cambuur +1.75	89%	86%	1.11
Cambuur +1.5	87%	81%	1.17
Cambuur +1.25	83%	79%	1.19
Cambuur +1	79%	78%	1.23
Excelsior +1.75	78%	85%	1.12
Cambuur +0.75	75%	70%	1.35
Excelsior +1.5	74%	80%	1.18
Cambuur +0.5	71%	63%	1.49
Excelsior +1.25	69%	78%	1.21
Cambuur +0.25	65%	58%	1.63
Excelsior +1	63%	76%	1.25
Cambuur 0	59%	51%	1.86
Excelsior +0.75	58%	68%	1.39
Cambuur -0.25	53%	44%	2.17
Excelsior +0.5	52%	62%	1.52
Cambuur -0.5	48%	38%	2.45
Excelsior +0.25	47%	56%	1.70
Cambuur -0.75	42%	32%	3.00
Excelsior 0	41%	49%	1.93
Cambuur -1	37%	24%	3.94
Excelsior -0.25	35%	42%	2.29
Cambuur -1.25	31%	22%	4.25
Excelsior -0.5	29%	37%	2.56
Cambuur -1.5	26%	20%	4.65
Excelsior -0.75	25%	30%	3.17
Cambuur -1.75	22%	15%	6.25
Excelsior -1	21%	22%	4.25
Excelsior -1.25	17%	21%	4.50
Excelsior -1.5	13%	19%	5.00
Excelsior -1.75	11%	14%	6.60

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cambuur vs Excelsior?

Our model's main pick is Cambuur Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at odds 1.35, with a 75% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

What is the predicted score for Cambuur vs Excelsior?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.33 for Cambuur and 1.45 for Excelsior. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Cambuur and Excelsior play?

Kick-off is Friday 07 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.