vs
⚽ Eredivisie
Cambuur vs Excelsior Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Cambuur vs Excelsior in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Friday 07 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.
Result: Cambuur 0-4 Excelsior
Cambuur vs Excelsior finished 0-4. Excelsior won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Cambuur Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at 1.35, did not land.
Cambuur face Excelsior in the upcoming Eredivisie tips, kicking off Friday 07 August 2026, 18:00 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Cambuur won 2, Excelsior won 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Cambuur win the most likely result at 57%, projecting a 2.3-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Cambuur vs Excelsior with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 6.2% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| 3 | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| 4 | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
Our prediction for Cambuur vs Excelsior is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Cambuur Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at odds 1.35, the selection our model is most confident in at 75%. On the match result, the model rates a Cambuur win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 57%. Goals lean over 2.5 (73%), both teams to score points yes (69%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is a Cambuur win at odds 2.52 (+44.4% model value).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Cambuur at 57% to win and Excelsior at 23%, with the draw at 20%. Our model makes a Cambuur win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cambuur Win | 57% | 2.52 | +44.4% |
| Draw | 20% | 3.55 | -30.7% |
| Excelsior Win | 23% | 2.59 | -39.7% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Cambuur or Draw at 1.48 (77% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cambuur or Draw | 77% | 1.48 | +13.4% |
| Excelsior or Draw | 43% | 1.50 | -35.8% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.3-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 73% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 52% | 2.48 | +29.8% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 1.62 | +17.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 1.18 | +5.3% |
| Under 3.5 | 48% | 1.52 | -27.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 27% | 2.29 | -37.5% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 69%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 69% | 1.49 | +3.2% |
| BTTS No | 31% | 2.45 | -24.4% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Cambuur or Excelsior is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cambuur -1 | 37% | 3.94 | +44.4% |
| Cambuur -1.75 | 22% | 6.25 | +38.2% |
| Cambuur -1.25 | 31% | 4.25 | +32.5% |
| Cambuur -0.75 | 42% | 3.00 | +26.5% |
| Cambuur -1.5 | 26% | 4.65 | +19.6% |
| Cambuur -0.5 | 48% | 2.45 | +16.4% |
| Cambuur -0.25 | 53% | 2.17 | +16.1% |
| Cambuur 0 | 59% | 1.86 | +10.1% |
| Cambuur +0.25 | 65% | 1.63 | +6.0% |
| Cambuur +0.5 | 71% | 1.49 | +5.6% |
| Cambuur +1.5 | 87% | 1.17 | +2.2% |
| Cambuur +0.75 | 75% | 1.35 | +1.6% |
| Cambuur +1.75 | 89% | 1.11 | -0.7% |
| Cambuur +1.25 | 83% | 1.19 | -0.9% |
| Cambuur +1 | 79% | 1.23 | -3.1% |
| Excelsior -1 | 21% | 4.25 | -11.3% |
| Excelsior +1.5 | 74% | 1.18 | -12.3% |
| Excelsior +1.75 | 78% | 1.12 | -12.8% |
| Excelsior +1.25 | 69% | 1.21 | -16.7% |
| Excelsior +0.75 | 58% | 1.39 | -19.5% |
| Excelsior -0.25 | 35% | 2.29 | -20.0% |
| Excelsior +0.5 | 52% | 1.52 | -20.4% |
| Excelsior +1 | 63% | 1.25 | -20.8% |
| Excelsior -0.75 | 25% | 3.17 | -20.9% |
| Excelsior +0.25 | 47% | 1.70 | -21.0% |
| Excelsior 0 | 41% | 1.93 | -21.3% |
| Excelsior -1.25 | 17% | 4.50 | -24.7% |
| Excelsior -0.5 | 29% | 2.56 | -25.5% |
| Excelsior -1.75 | 11% | 6.60 | -30.3% |
| Excelsior -1.5 | 13% | 5.00 | -36.9% |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Cambuur vs Excelsior?
Our main pick is Cambuur Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at odds 1.35, with 75% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is a Cambuur win at 2.52 (+44.4% value).
Who is the favourite for Cambuur vs Excelsior?
Our model makes a Cambuur win the most likely result at 57%. It projects an expected 2.3-1.4 scoreline for Cambuur vs Excelsior.
What is the predicted score for Cambuur vs Excelsior?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.33 for Cambuur and 1.45 for Excelsior. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Cambuur and Excelsior play?
Kick-off is Friday 07 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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AnnecyAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.