Celta Vigo vs Alavés Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Celta Vigo vs Alavés in the La Liga. Kick-off Sunday 18 October 2026, 14:15 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Celta Vigo face Alavés in the La Liga, kicking off Sunday 18 October 2026, 14:15 UTC. Recent form: Celta Vigo have 1 win from their last 5, while Alavés have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Celta Vigo won 2, Alavés won 2, 1 drawn. The bookmaker market makes a Celta Vigo win the most likely result at 47%, implying a 1.4-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Celta Vigo vs Alavés with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Celta Vigo win	47%
Draw	28%
Alavés win	25%
Over 2.5 goals	44%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.45 – 1.00 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.6%	8.6%	4.3%	1.4%	0.4%
1	12.5%	12.5%	6.3%	2.1%	0.5%
2	9.1%	9.1%	4.5%	1.5%	0.4%
3	4.4%	4.4%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.6%	1.6%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Celta Vigo winDrawAlavés win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Celta Vigo vs Alavés. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Celta Vigo win is the most likely result at 47%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 56%.

📊 Key numbers

Celta Vigo 47%Draw 28%Alavés 25%

47%28%25%

47%

Celta Vigo Win

56%

Under 2.5 goals

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Celta Vigo and Alavés. Wins shown from Celta Vigo’s perspective: Celta Vigo 2 · 1 drawn · Alavés 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-03-22	Celta Vigo	3 – 4	Alavés	L
2025-11-22	Alavés	0 – 1	Celta Vigo	W
2025-01-27	Alavés	1 – 1	Celta Vigo	D
2024-08-16	Celta Vigo	2 – 1	Alavés	W
2024-04-27	Alavés	3 – 0	Celta Vigo	L

📈 Recent form

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Racing Santander. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Omonia Nicosia.

DElche 0-0 Celta VigoLa Liga
WCelta Vigo 5-0 Racing SantanderLa Liga
LOmonia Nicosia 1-0 Celta VigoUEFA Europa League
DCelta Vigo 1-1 MálagaLa Liga
DGetafe 1-1 Celta VigoLa Liga

Alavés

Alavés come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at home to Osasuna. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Atlético Madrid.

LAlavés 1-2 Atlético MadridLa Liga
DAthletic Club 0-0 AlavésLa Liga
LAlavés 0-1 ValenciaLa Liga
LRacing Santander 2-1 AlavésLa Liga
WAlavés 5-2 OsasunaLa Liga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Celta Vigo at 47% to win and Alavés at 25%, with the draw at 28%. The bookmaker market makes a Celta Vigo win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Celta Vigo Win	47%	@ 2.05
Draw	28%	@ 3.43
Alavés Win	25%	@ 3.93

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.4-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	70%	@ 1.37
Under 2.5	55%	@ 1.74
Over 2.5	45%	@ 2.17
Under 1.5	30%	@ 3.21

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Celta Vigo vs Alavés?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Celta Vigo win is the most likely result at 47%.

Who is the favourite for Celta Vigo vs Alavés?

Our model makes a Celta Vigo win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.0 scoreline for Celta Vigo vs Alavés.

What is the predicted score for Celta Vigo vs Alavés?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.45 for Celta Vigo and 1.00 for Alavés. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Celta Vigo and Alavés play?

Kick-off is Sunday 18 October 2026, 14:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.