⚽ La Liga
Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club in the La Liga. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 19:30 UTC.
Result: Celta Vigo 0-2 Athletic Club
Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club finished 0-2. Athletic Club won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Celta Vigo face Athletic Club in the upcoming La Liga tips, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 19:30 UTC. Recent form: Celta Vigo have 2 wins from their last 5, while Athletic Club have no wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Celta Vigo won 1, Athletic Club won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Celta Vigo win the most likely result at 49%, projecting a 1.5-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.9% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 7.7% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Celta Vigo with a +0.75 start at odds 1.26, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Celta Vigo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 49%. Goals lean under 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points yes (53%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Celta Vigo and Athletic Club. Wins shown from Celta Vigo’s perspective: Celta Vigo 1 · 1 drawn · Athletic Club 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Celta Vigo | 0 – 2 | Athletic Club | L |
| 2026-05-17 | Athletic Club | 1 – 1 | Celta Vigo | D |
| 2025-12-14 | Celta Vigo | 2 – 0 | Athletic Club | W |
| 2025-01-19 | Celta Vigo | 1 – 2 | Athletic Club | L |
| 2024-09-22 | Athletic Club | 3 – 1 | Celta Vigo | L |
📈 Recent form
Celta Vigo come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Racing Santander. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Omonia Nicosia.
- WCelta Vigo 5-0 Racing SantanderLa Liga
- LOmonia Nicosia 1-0 Celta VigoUEFA Europa League
- DCelta Vigo 1-1 MálagaLa Liga
- DGetafe 1-1 Celta VigoLa Liga
- DReal Sociedad 0-0 Celta VigoLa Liga
Athletic Club come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Atlético Madrid. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Barcelona.
- DAthletic Club 0-0 AlavésLa Liga
- DAthletic Club 1-1 ElcheLa Liga
- WAthletic Club 3-0 Atlético MadridLa Liga
- WCelta Vigo 0-2 Athletic ClubLa Liga
- LBarcelona 2-0 Athletic ClubLa Liga
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- M. AlonsoSuspended (red card)
- B. IglesiasMuscle Injury
- U. EgiluzKnee Injury
- A. GorosabelTransfer negotiations
- B. Prados DiazThigh Injury
- N. SerranoCoach's decision
- D. VivianHamstring Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Celta Vigo at 49% to win and Athletic Club at 25%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Celta Vigo win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo Win | 49% | 39% | @ 2.43 |
| Draw | 26% | 29% | @ 3.25 |
| Athletic Club Win | 25% | 32% | @ 2.95 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Celta Vigo or Draw at 1.38 (75% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo or Draw | 75% | 68% | @ 1.38 |
| Athletic Club or Draw | 50% | 61% | @ 1.54 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 50% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 70% | @ 1.34 |
| Under 3.5 | 72% | 76% | @ 1.24 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 55% | @ 1.72 |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 45% | @ 2.10 |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 24% | @ 3.85 |
| Under 1.5 | 25% | 30% | @ 3.15 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 51% | @ 1.81 |
| BTTS No | 47% | 49% | @ 1.91 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Celta Vigo or Athletic Club is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo +1.5 | 90% | 85% | 1.08 |
| Celta Vigo +1.25 | 86% | 84% | 1.12 |
| Celta Vigo +1 | 82% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Celta Vigo +0.75 | 78% | 76% | 1.26 |
| Athletic Club +1.75 | 78% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Celta Vigo +0.5 | 75% | 68% | @ 1.39 |
| Athletic Club +1.5 | 74% | 80% | 1.16 |
| Athletic Club +1.25 | 68% | 79% | 1.22 |
| Celta Vigo +0.25 | 68% | 64% | @ 1.50 |
| Athletic Club +1 | 62% | 76% | 1.25 |
| Celta Vigo 0 | 62% | 56% | @ 1.68 |
| Athletic Club +0.75 | 56% | 67% | 1.43 |
| Celta Vigo -0.25 | 56% | 47% | @ 2.08 |
| Athletic Club +0.5 | 50% | 60% | 1.57 |
| Celta Vigo -0.5 | 50% | 40% | @ 2.35 |
| Athletic Club +0.25 | 44% | 53% | 1.81 |
| Celta Vigo -0.75 | 44% | 33% | @ 2.87 |
| Athletic Club 0 | 38% | 44% | 2.17 |
| Celta Vigo -1 | 38% | 24% | @ 3.95 |
| Celta Vigo -1.25 | 32% | 21% | @ 4.45 |
| Athletic Club -0.25 | 32% | 36% | 2.64 |
| Celta Vigo -1.5 | 26% | 20% | @ 4.67 |
| Athletic Club -0.5 | 25% | 32% | 2.97 |
| Celta Vigo -1.75 | 22% | 15% | @ 6.40 |
| Athletic Club -0.75 | 21% | 24% | 3.90 |
| Athletic Club -1 | 18% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| Athletic Club -1.25 | 14% | 16% | 6.00 |
| Athletic Club -1.5 | 10% | 15% | 6.10 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club?
Our model's main pick is Celta Vigo with a +0.75 start at odds 1.26, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.
Who is the favourite for Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club?
Our model makes a Celta Vigo win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.2 scoreline for Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club.
What is the predicted score for Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.49 for Celta Vigo and 1.18 for Athletic Club. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Celta Vigo and Athletic Club play?
Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 19:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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