⚽ Jupiler Pro League

Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Friday 14 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers All markets FAQ

Cercle Brugge face St. Truiden in the Jupiler Pro League, kicking off Friday 14 August 2026, 18:45 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Cercle Brugge won 2, St. Truiden won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Cercle Brugge win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 1.7-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

St. Truiden +1.25 @ 1.25

76%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.68 – 1.50 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.2%	6.2%	4.7%	2.3%	0.9%
1	7.0%	10.5%	7.9%	3.9%	1.5%
2	5.9%	8.8%	6.6%	3.3%	1.2%
3	3.3%	4.9%	3.7%	1.8%	0.7%
4	1.4%	2.1%	1.6%	0.8%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Cercle Brugge winDrawSt. Truiden win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is St. Truiden with a +1.25 start at odds 1.25, the selection our model is most confident in at 76%. On the match result, the model rates a Cercle Brugge win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (62%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.73 (+6.2% model value).

Best value

Over 2.5 at odds 1.73, 62% model probability, +6.2% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Cercle Brugge 42%Draw 24%St. Truiden 34%

42%24%34%

42%

Cercle Brugge Win

62%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS yes

+6.2%

Best value: Over 2.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Cercle Brugge and St. Truiden. Wins shown from Cercle Brugge’s perspective: Cercle Brugge 2 · 2 drawn · St. Truiden 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2025-04-26	Cercle Brugge	3 – 1	St. Truiden	W
2025-04-12	St. Truiden	3 – 1	Cercle Brugge	L
2024-12-27	St. Truiden	1 – 1	Cercle Brugge	D
2024-09-29	Cercle Brugge	1 – 1	St. Truiden	D
2024-02-04	Cercle Brugge	4 – 1	St. Truiden	W

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Cercle Brugge at 42% to win and St. Truiden at 34%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Cercle Brugge win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
St. Truiden Win	34%	2.92	-1.2%
Cercle Brugge Win	42%	2.29	-4.4%
Draw	24%	3.47	-15.5%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is St. Truiden or Draw at 1.59 (59% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
St. Truiden or Draw	59%	1.59	-5.7%
Cercle Brugge or Draw	67%	1.38	-7.4%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	39%	2.77	+8.9%
Over 2.5	62%	1.73	+6.2%
Over 1.5	83%	1.22	+0.6%
Under 3.5	61%	1.43	-13.2%
Under 2.5	38%	2.10	-19.1%
Under 1.5	17%	4.20	-27.1%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	62%	1.58	-1.4%
BTTS No	38%	2.22	-16.5%

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Cercle Brugge or St. Truiden is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
St. Truiden -1	23%	5.00	+16.7%
Cercle Brugge -1	30%	3.56	+6.5%
St. Truiden -1.25	19%	5.50	+2.2%
St. Truiden -0.75	28%	3.61	+1.5%
St. Truiden -0.25	40%	2.54	+0.0%
St. Truiden 0	46%	2.16	-0.4%
St. Truiden +1.5	81%	1.21	-2.5%
Cercle Brugge -1.25	24%	3.95	-3.2%
St. Truiden +1.75	84%	1.15	-3.5%
Cercle Brugge +1.5	86%	1.12	-3.5%
Cercle Brugge -0.25	47%	2.02	-4.0%
St. Truiden +0.25	53%	1.82	-4.2%
Cercle Brugge -0.75	35%	2.70	-4.5%
St. Truiden +0.5	59%	1.61	-4.5%
St. Truiden +0.75	65%	1.48	-4.7%
St. Truiden +1.25	76%	1.25	-5.3%
Cercle Brugge +0.5	67%	1.40	-6.0%
St. Truiden -0.5	33%	2.85	-6.4%
Cercle Brugge +1.25	81%	1.15	-6.4%
Cercle Brugge -0.5	41%	2.26	-7.6%
Cercle Brugge +0.75	72%	1.28	-7.6%
Cercle Brugge +0.25	60%	1.52	-8.0%
Cercle Brugge 0	54%	1.69	-8.8%
St. Truiden +1	70%	1.30	-8.9%
Cercle Brugge +1	77%	1.17	-10.3%
Cercle Brugge -1.75	16%	5.50	-11.6%
Cercle Brugge -1.5	19%	4.08	-22.2%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	54%
Dixon-Coles	Away	44%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.38 for the home side, 1.21 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden?

Our main pick is St. Truiden with a +1.25 start at odds 1.25, with 76% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 2.5 goals at 1.73 (+6.2% value).

Who is the favourite for Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden?

Our model makes a Cercle Brugge win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.5 scoreline for Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden.

What is the predicted score for Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.68 for Cercle Brugge and 1.50 for St. Truiden. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Cercle Brugge and St. Truiden play?

Kick-off is Friday 14 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.