⚽ Jupiler Pro League
Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Friday 14 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Result: Cercle Brugge 3-3 St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden finished 3-3. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Cercle Brugge face St. Truiden in the upcoming Jupiler Pro League tips, kicking off Friday 14 August 2026, 18:45 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Cercle Brugge won 1, St. Truiden won 1, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Cercle Brugge win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 1.7-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| 2 | 5.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| 3 | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is St. Truiden with a +1.25 start at odds 1.25, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Cercle Brugge win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (62%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Cercle Brugge and St. Truiden. Wins shown from Cercle Brugge’s perspective: Cercle Brugge 1 · 3 drawn · St. Truiden 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Cercle Brugge | 3 – 3 | St. Truiden | D |
| 2025-04-26 | Cercle Brugge | 3 – 1 | St. Truiden | W |
| 2025-04-12 | St. Truiden | 3 – 1 | Cercle Brugge | L |
| 2024-12-27 | St. Truiden | 1 – 1 | Cercle Brugge | D |
| 2024-09-29 | Cercle Brugge | 1 – 1 | St. Truiden | D |
📈 Recent form
Cercle Brugge come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 9. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Charleroi.
- LCharleroi 3-2 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
- DOH Leuven 1-1 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
- LCercle Brugge 0-3 GentJupiler Pro League
- LCercle Brugge 0-1 Lommel UnitedJupiler Pro League
- LClub Brugge KV 1-0 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
St. Truiden come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to RAAL La Louvière. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to KVC Westerlo.
- LSt. Truiden 0-2 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
- LSK Beveren 2-0 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
- WSt. Truiden 4-0 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
- LSt. Truiden 0-3 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
- WAntwerp 1-4 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Cercle Brugge at 42% to win and St. Truiden at 34%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Cercle Brugge win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cercle Brugge Win | 42% | 41% | @ 2.28 |
| St. Truiden Win | 34% | 32% | @ 2.95 |
| Draw | 24% | 27% | @ 3.40 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Cercle Brugge or Draw at 1.38 (67% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cercle Brugge or Draw | 67% | 68% | @ 1.38 |
| St. Truiden or Draw | 59% | 59% | @ 1.58 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 77% | @ 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 54% | @ 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 | 61% | 67% | @ 1.40 |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | 33% | @ 2.88 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 46% | @ 2.06 |
| Under 1.5 | 17% | 23% | @ 4.10 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 59% | @ 1.56 |
| BTTS No | 38% | 41% | @ 2.23 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Cercle Brugge or St. Truiden is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cercle Brugge +1.5 | 86% | – | 1.12 |
| St. Truiden +1.75 | 84% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Cercle Brugge +1.25 | 81% | 83% | 1.15 |
| St. Truiden +1.5 | 81% | 77% | 1.21 |
| Cercle Brugge +1 | 77% | 81% | 1.17 |
| St. Truiden +1.25 | 76% | 76% | 1.25 |
| Cercle Brugge +0.75 | 72% | 74% | 1.28 |
| St. Truiden +1 | 70% | 73% | 1.30 |
| Cercle Brugge +0.5 | 67% | 67% | 1.40 |
| St. Truiden +0.75 | 65% | 65% | 1.48 |
| Cercle Brugge +0.25 | 60% | 63% | 1.52 |
| St. Truiden +0.5 | 59% | 58% | 1.61 |
| Cercle Brugge 0 | 54% | 56% | 1.69 |
| St. Truiden +0.25 | 53% | 53% | 1.82 |
| Cercle Brugge -0.25 | 47% | 47% | 2.02 |
| St. Truiden 0 | 46% | 44% | 2.16 |
| Cercle Brugge -0.5 | 41% | 42% | 2.26 |
| St. Truiden -0.25 | 40% | 37% | 2.54 |
| Cercle Brugge -0.75 | 35% | 35% | 2.70 |
| St. Truiden -0.5 | 33% | 33% | 2.85 |
| Cercle Brugge -1 | 30% | 27% | @ 3.56 |
| St. Truiden -0.75 | 28% | 26% | @ 3.61 |
| Cercle Brugge -1.25 | 24% | 24% | 3.95 |
| St. Truiden -1 | 23% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
| Cercle Brugge -1.5 | 19% | 23% | 4.08 |
| St. Truiden -1.25 | 19% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| Cercle Brugge -1.75 | 16% | 17% | 5.50 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden?
Our model's main pick is St. Truiden with a +1.25 start at odds 1.25, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.
Who is the favourite for Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden?
Our model makes a Cercle Brugge win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.5 scoreline for Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden.
What is the predicted score for Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.68 for Cercle Brugge and 1.50 for St. Truiden. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Cercle Brugge and St. Truiden play?
Kick-off is Friday 14 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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