⚽ Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 16 August 2026, 22:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers All markets FAQ

Result: Chicago Fire 2-1 Portland Timbers

Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers finished 2-1. Chicago Fire won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, Portland Timbers Asian Handicap with a +2 start at 1.36, landed.

Chicago Fire face Portland Timbers in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 16 August 2026, 22:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Chicago Fire won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Chicago Fire win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.9-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Portland Timbers Asian Handicap +2.0 @ 1.36

87%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.86 – 1.66 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.0%	4.9%	4.1%	2.3%	0.9%
1	5.5%	9.1%	7.6%	4.2%	1.7%
2	5.1%	8.5%	7.1%	3.9%	1.6%
3	3.2%	5.3%	4.4%	2.4%	1.0%
4	1.5%	2.5%	2.0%	1.1%	0.5%

Projected score: 1-1

Chicago Fire winDrawPortland Timbers win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Portland Timbers Asian Handicap with a +2 start at odds 1.36, the selection our model is most confident in at 87%. On the match result, the model rates a Chicago Fire win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points yes (68%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Portland Timbers with a +0.75 start at odds 2.43 (+56.8% model value).

Best value

Portland Timbers +0.75 at odds 2.43, 64% model probability, +56.8% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Chicago Fire 40%Draw 28%Portland Timbers 32%

40%28%32%

40%

Chicago Fire Win

68%

Over 2.5 goals

68%

BTTS yes

+56.8%

Best value: Portland Timbers +0.75

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Chicago Fire and Portland Timbers. Wins shown from Chicago Fire’s perspective: Chicago Fire 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-16	Chicago Fire	2 – 1	Portland Timbers	W
2023-06-22	Portland Timbers	1 – 2	Chicago Fire	W

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Chicago Fire at 40% to win and Portland Timbers at 32%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Chicago Fire win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Portland Timbers Win	32%	@ 4.90	+57.2%
Draw	28%	@ 4.65	+28.6%
Chicago Fire Win	40%	@ 1.54	-38.0%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Portland Timbers or Draw at 2.40 (59% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Portland Timbers or Draw	59%	@ 2.40	+41.8%
Chicago Fire or Draw	67%	@ 1.17	-21.4%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 68% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 3.5	53%	@ 1.90	+1.1%
Under 2.5	32%	@ 3.10	-1.7%
Over 1.5	87%	@ 1.10	-4.7%
Over 2.5	68%	@ 1.35	-7.8%
Under 1.5	13%	@ 6.50	-13.0%
Over 3.5	47%	@ 1.85	-13.5%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 68%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	68%	@ 1.42	-3.6%
BTTS No	32%	@ 2.65	-14.9%

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Chicago Fire or Portland Timbers is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Portland Timbers -0.75	28%	@ 7.00	+96.3%
Portland Timbers 0	46%	@ 4.12	+89.3%
Portland Timbers -0.25	39%	@ 4.80	+89.0%
Portland Timbers +0.25	52%	@ 3.21	+68.3%
Portland Timbers +0.75	64%	@ 2.43	+56.8%
Portland Timbers +0.5	59%	@ 2.53	+49.6%
Portland Timbers +1	70%	@ 2.05	+43.4%
Portland Timbers +1.25	75%	@ 1.84	+39.1%
Portland Timbers +1.5	81%	@ 1.65	+33.2%
Portland Timbers +1.75	84%	@ 1.52	+27.9%
Portland Timbers +2	87%	@ 1.36	+18.6%
Chicago Fire +0.75	72%	1.10	-20.8%
Chicago Fire +0.5	67%	1.15	-22.7%
Chicago Fire +0.25	61%	1.18	-28.5%
Chicago Fire 0	54%	1.23	-33.5%
Chicago Fire -0.25	48%	1.35	-35.9%
Chicago Fire -0.5	41%	1.49	-39.0%
Chicago Fire -0.75	36%	1.60	-43.2%
Chicago Fire -1	30%	1.77	-46.8%
Chicago Fire -1.25	25%	2.00	-50.8%
Chicago Fire -1.5	19%	2.20	-57.9%
Chicago Fire -2	13%	3.13	-59.0%
Chicago Fire -1.75	16%	2.54	-59.1%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers?

Our main pick is Portland Timbers Asian Handicap with a +2 start at odds 1.36, with 87% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Portland Timbers with a +0.75 start at 2.43 (+56.8% value).

Who is the favourite for Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers?

Our model makes a Chicago Fire win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.7 scoreline for Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers.

What is the predicted score for Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.86 for Chicago Fire and 1.66 for Portland Timbers. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Chicago Fire and Portland Timbers play?

Kick-off is Sunday 16 August 2026, 22:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.