⚽ Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Wednesday 07 October 2026, 00:30 UTC.
Result: Chicago Fire 3-1 Vancouver Whitecaps
Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps finished 3-1. Chicago Fire won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, Vancouver Whitecaps with a +1 start at 1.25, did not land.
Chicago Fire face Vancouver Whitecaps in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Wednesday 07 October 2026, 00:30 UTC. Recent form: Chicago Fire have 1 win from their last 5, while Vancouver Whitecaps have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Chicago Fire won 1, Vancouver Whitecaps won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely result at 43%, projecting a 1.5-2.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| 2 | 3.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| 3 | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Vancouver Whitecaps with a +1 start at odds 1.25, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 43%. Goals lean over 2.5 (67%), both teams to score points yes (66%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Chicago Fire and Vancouver Whitecaps. Wins shown from Chicago Fire’s perspective: Chicago Fire 1 · Vancouver Whitecaps 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Chicago Fire | 3 – 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | W |
| 2023-08-31 | Chicago Fire | 0 – 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | L |
📈 Recent form
Chicago Fire come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Vancouver Whitecaps. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Nashville SC.
- WChicago Fire 3-1 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- WCharlotte 0-1 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- LNashville SC 3-0 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- LChicago Fire 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- DChicago Fire 1-1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
Vancouver Whitecaps come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Real Salt Lake. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Chicago Fire.
- LChicago Fire 3-1 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- DVancouver Whitecaps 3-3 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
- WReal Salt Lake 0-3 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- LCF Montreal 2-1 Vancouver WhitecapsCanadian Championship
- LVancouver Whitecaps 1-2 AustinMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 13 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- N. AllenInternational duty
- C. BradyInternational duty
- A. FrancoKnee Injury
- R. LodInternational duty
- A. MekvabishviliInternational duty
- R. TurdeanNot in squad
- J. BadwalInjury
- K. G. Cabrera NakamuraFoot Injury
- A. CubasRest
- M. GherasimencovInternational duty
- B. HalbouniKnee Injury
- E. OcampoInternational duty
- R. PrisoInternational duty
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Chicago Fire at 31% to win and Vancouver Whitecaps at 43%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Whitecaps Win | 43% | 38% | @ 2.48 |
| Chicago Fire Win | 31% | 35% | @ 2.65 |
| Draw | 26% | 27% | @ 3.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw at 1.46 (69% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw | 69% | 65% | @ 1.46 |
| Chicago Fire or Draw | 57% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-2.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 83% | @ 1.13 |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 64% | @ 1.47 |
| Under 3.5 | 55% | 57% | @ 1.65 |
| Over 3.5 | 45% | 43% | @ 2.18 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 36% | @ 2.60 |
| Under 1.5 | 14% | 17% | @ 5.60 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 66% | @ 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 34% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Chicago Fire or Vancouver Whitecaps is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Whitecaps +1.75 | 89% | 86% | @ 1.13 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps +1.75 | 89% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps +1.5 | 87% | 83% | @ 1.17 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps +1.5 | 87% | 83% | @ 1.15 |
| Chicago Fire +2 | 86% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Chicago Fire +1.75 | 83% | 79% | 1.13 |
| Chicago Fire +1.75 | 83% | 79% | 1.19 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps +1.25 | 83% | 81% | @ 1.22 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps +1.25 | 83% | 81% | 1.17 |
| Chicago Fire +1.5 | 80% | 74% | 1.18 |
| Chicago Fire +1.5 | 80% | 74% | @ 1.27 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps +1 | 78% | 79% | 1.25 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps +1 | 78% | 79% | 1.19 |
| Chicago Fire +1.25 | 74% | 72% | 1.26 |
| Chicago Fire +1.25 | 74% | 72% | 1.32 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps +0.75 | 73% | 73% | @ 1.39 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps +0.75 | 73% | 73% | 1.30 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps +0.5 | 69% | 68% | @ 1.52 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps +0.5 | 69% | 68% | 1.41 |
| Chicago Fire +1 | 68% | 69% | 1.26 |
| Chicago Fire +1 | 68% | 69% | 1.38 |
| Chicago Fire +0.75 | 63% | 62% | 1.40 |
| Chicago Fire +0.75 | 63% | 62% | 1.53 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps +0.25 | 62% | 63% | @ 1.68 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps +0.25 | 62% | 63% | 1.51 |
| Chicago Fire +0.5 | 57% | 56% | 1.55 |
| Chicago Fire +0.5 | 57% | 56% | 1.71 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps 0 | 56% | 57% | @ 1.92 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps 0 | 56% | 57% | 1.67 |
| Chicago Fire +0.25 | 51% | 50% | 1.68 |
| Chicago Fire +0.25 | 51% | 50% | 1.91 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps -0.25 | 49% | 50% | @ 2.23 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps -0.25 | 49% | 50% | 1.94 |
| Chicago Fire 0 | 44% | 43% | 1.89 |
| Chicago Fire 0 | 44% | 43% | 2.25 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps -0.5 | 43% | 44% | @ 2.38 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps -0.5 | 43% | 44% | 2.17 |
| Chicago Fire -0.25 | 38% | 37% | 2.23 |
| Chicago Fire -0.25 | 38% | 37% | 2.58 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps -0.75 | 37% | 38% | @ 3.02 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps -0.75 | 37% | 38% | 2.50 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps -1 | 32% | 31% | @ 3.88 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps -1 | 32% | 31% | 3.10 |
| Chicago Fire -0.5 | 31% | 32% | 2.46 |
| Chicago Fire -0.5 | 31% | 32% | 2.94 |
| Chicago Fire -0.75 | 27% | 27% | 3.04 |
| Chicago Fire -0.75 | 27% | 27% | 3.59 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps -1.25 | 26% | 28% | @ 3.96 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps -1.25 | 26% | 28% | 3.44 |
| Chicago Fire -1 | 22% | 21% | 3.95 |
| Chicago Fire -1 | 22% | 21% | 4.50 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps -1.5 | 20% | 26% | 4.40 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps -1.5 | 20% | 26% | 3.55 |
| Chicago Fire -1.25 | 17% | 19% | 4.15 |
| Chicago Fire -1.25 | 17% | 19% | 5.00 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps -1.75 | 17% | 21% | @ 5.90 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps -1.75 | 17% | 21% | 4.50 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps -2 | 14% | 15% | 6.40 |
| Chicago Fire -1.5 | 13% | 17% | 4.50 |
| Chicago Fire -1.5 | 13% | 17% | 5.50 |
| Chicago Fire -1.75 | 11% | 14% | 5.90 |
| Chicago Fire -1.75 | 11% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
Our model's pick is Vancouver Whitecaps with a +1 start at odds 1.25, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 79%.
Who is the favourite for Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
Our model makes a Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely result at 43%. It projects an expected 1.5-2.0 scoreline for Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps.
What is the predicted score for Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.46 for Chicago Fire and 1.98 for Vancouver Whitecaps. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Chicago Fire and Vancouver Whitecaps play?
Kick-off is Wednesday 07 October 2026, 00:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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