⚽ Jupiler Pro League
Club Brugge KV vs Cercle Brugge Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Club Brugge KV vs Cercle Brugge in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.
Result: Club Brugge KV 1-0 Cercle Brugge
Club Brugge KV vs Cercle Brugge finished 1-0. Club Brugge KV won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Club Brugge KV face Cercle Brugge in the upcoming Jupiler Pro League tips, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 16:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Club Brugge KV won 3, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Club Brugge KV win the most likely result at 75%, projecting a 3.0-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Club Brugge KV vs Cercle Brugge with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 7.7% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 7.8% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Club Brugge KV vs Cercle Brugge comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.32, with a 77% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Club Brugge KV win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 75%. Goals lean over 2.5 (77%), both teams to score points yes (62%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Club Brugge KV and Cercle Brugge. Wins shown from Club Brugge KV’s perspective: Club Brugge KV 3 · 2 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Club Brugge KV | 1 – 0 | Cercle Brugge | W |
| 2025-03-09 | Cercle Brugge | 1 – 3 | Club Brugge KV | W |
| 2024-09-01 | Club Brugge KV | 3 – 0 | Cercle Brugge | W |
| 2024-05-26 | Club Brugge KV | 0 – 0 | Cercle Brugge | D |
| 2024-04-01 | Cercle Brugge | 1 – 1 | Club Brugge KV | D |
📈 Recent form
Club Brugge KV come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Genk. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Aston Villa.
- WClub Brugge KV 3-0 GenkJupiler Pro League
- WClub Brugge KV 3-1 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
- LClub Brugge KV 2-3 Aston VillaUEFA Champions League
- WLommel United 0-1 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
- LGent 2-1 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
Cercle Brugge come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 9. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Charleroi.
- LCharleroi 3-2 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
- DOH Leuven 1-1 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
- LCercle Brugge 0-3 GentJupiler Pro League
- LCercle Brugge 0-1 Lommel UnitedJupiler Pro League
- LClub Brugge KV 1-0 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Club Brugge KV at 75% to win and Cercle Brugge at 11%, with the draw at 14%. Our model makes a Club Brugge KV win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge KV Win | 75% | 75% | @ 1.24 |
| Draw | 14% | 15% | @ 6.10 |
| Cercle Brugge Win | 11% | 9% | @ 10.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Club Brugge KV or Draw at 1.04 (90% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge KV or Draw | 90% | 91% | @ 1.04 |
| Cercle Brugge or Draw | 27% | 25% | @ 3.85 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 3.0-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 77% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 87% | @ 1.08 |
| Over 2.5 | 77% | 71% | @ 1.32 |
| Over 3.5 | 58% | 51% | @ 1.84 |
| Under 3.5 | 42% | 49% | @ 1.93 |
| Under 2.5 | 23% | 29% | @ 3.25 |
| Under 1.5 | 9% | 13% | @ 7.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 56% | @ 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 38% | 44% | @ 2.08 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Club Brugge KV or Cercle Brugge is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge KV 0 | 82% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Club Brugge KV -0.25 | 78% | 80% | 1.18 |
| Club Brugge KV -0.5 | 73% | 74% | 1.25 |
| Club Brugge KV -0.75 | 68% | 72% | 1.31 |
| Club Brugge KV -1 | 62% | 69% | 1.38 |
| Cercle Brugge +2 | 61% | 56% | @ 1.70 |
| Club Brugge KV -1.25 | 56% | 61% | 1.55 |
| Cercle Brugge +1.75 | 55% | 50% | @ 1.93 |
| Club Brugge KV -1.5 | 50% | 56% | 1.69 |
| Cercle Brugge +1.5 | 50% | 44% | @ 2.13 |
| Club Brugge KV -1.75 | 45% | 50% | 1.91 |
| Cercle Brugge +1.25 | 44% | 39% | @ 2.45 |
| Club Brugge KV -2 | 39% | 44% | 2.17 |
| Cercle Brugge +1 | 38% | 31% | @ 3.08 |
| Cercle Brugge +0.75 | 32% | 28% | @ 3.42 |
| Cercle Brugge +0.5 | 27% | 26% | 3.62 |
| Cercle Brugge +0.25 | 22% | 20% | @ 4.65 |
| Cercle Brugge 0 | 18% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Club Brugge KV vs Cercle Brugge?
Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.32, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.
Who is the favourite for Club Brugge KV vs Cercle Brugge?
Our model makes a Club Brugge KV win the most likely result at 75%. It projects an expected 3.0-1.1 scoreline for Club Brugge KV vs Cercle Brugge.
What is the predicted score for Club Brugge KV vs Cercle Brugge?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 3-1, based on expected goals of 3.03 for Club Brugge KV and 1.06 for Cercle Brugge. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Club Brugge KV and Cercle Brugge play?
Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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