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⚽ Major League Soccer

Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 11 October 2026, 01:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Colorado Rapids face San Jose Earthquakes in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Sunday 11 October 2026, 01:30 UTC. Recent form: Colorado Rapids have 1 win from their last 5, while San Jose Earthquakes have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Colorado Rapids won 2, San Jose Earthquakes won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Colorado Rapids win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.7-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Colorado Rapids or Draw @ 1.28

66%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.67 – 1.69 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.5%	5.9%	5.0%	2.8%	1.2%
1	5.8%	9.8%	8.3%	4.7%	2.0%
2	4.8%	8.2%	6.9%	3.9%	1.6%
3	2.7%	4.6%	3.9%	2.2%	0.9%
4	1.1%	1.9%	1.6%	0.9%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-1

Colorado Rapids winDrawSan Jose Earthquakes win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Colorado Rapids or Draw at odds 1.28, with a 66% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Colorado Rapids win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points yes (65%).

📊 Key numbers

Colorado Rapids 39%Draw 28%San Jose Earthquakes 32%

39%28%32%

39%

Colorado Rapids Win

65%

Over 2.5 goals

65%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Colorado Rapids and San Jose Earthquakes. Wins shown from Colorado Rapids’s perspective: Colorado Rapids 2 · 1 drawn · San Jose Earthquakes 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-05-21	Colorado Rapids	2 – 0	San Jose Earthquakes	W
2024-05-12	Colorado Rapids	2 – 3	San Jose Earthquakes	L
2024-04-14	San Jose Earthquakes	0 – 3	Colorado Rapids	W
2023-06-04	Colorado Rapids	0 – 0	San Jose Earthquakes	D
2023-03-12	San Jose Earthquakes	1 – 0	Colorado Rapids	L

📈 Recent form

Colorado Rapids

Colorado Rapids come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to CF Montreal. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Los Angeles Galaxy.

LLos Angeles Galaxy 3-2 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
DColorado Rapids 3-3 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
LColorado Rapids 0-3 St. Louis CityUS Open Cup
WColorado Rapids 1-0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
DAustin 1-1 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes

San Jose Earthquakes come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Portland Timbers. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WSan Jose Earthquakes 3-1 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
DSan Jose Earthquakes 2-2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
WSan Jose Earthquakes 1-0 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
WSan Diego 2-3 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
DAustin 1-1 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Colorado Rapids at 39% to win and San Jose Earthquakes at 32%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Colorado Rapids win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Colorado Rapids Win	39%	49%	@ 1.90
San Jose Earthquakes Win	32%	26%	@ 3.60
Draw	28%	25%	@ 3.70

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Colorado Rapids or Draw at 1.28 (66% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Colorado Rapids or Draw	66%	74%	@ 1.28
San Jose Earthquakes or Draw	60%	51%	@ 1.91

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	85%	81%	@ 1.17
Over 2.5	65%	60%	@ 1.57
Under 3.5	57%	61%	@ 1.53
Over 3.5	43%	39%	@ 2.38
Under 2.5	35%	40%	@ 2.35
Under 1.5	15%	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	65%	61%	@ 1.53
BTTS No	35%	39%	@ 2.38

📈 How the market moved

Colorado Rapids 49%Draw 25%San Jose Earthquakes 26%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Our model's main pick is Colorado Rapids or Draw at odds 1.28, with a 66% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Our model makes a Colorado Rapids win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.7 scoreline for Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes.

What is the predicted score for Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.67 for Colorado Rapids and 1.69 for San Jose Earthquakes. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Colorado Rapids and San Jose Earthquakes play?

Kick-off is Sunday 11 October 2026, 01:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.