⚽ Major League Soccer
Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 16 August 2026, 01:30 UTC.
Result: Colorado Rapids 2-0 Sporting Kansas City
Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City finished 2-0. Colorado Rapids won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Sporting Kansas City Asian Handicap with a +2 start at 1.35, was void (stake returned).
Colorado Rapids face Sporting Kansas City in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 16 August 2026, 01:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Colorado Rapids won 3, Sporting Kansas City won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Colorado Rapids win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 2.2-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| 2 | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Sporting Kansas City Asian Handicap with a +2 start at odds 1.35, with a 86% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Colorado Rapids win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean over 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points yes (65%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Colorado Rapids and Sporting Kansas City. Wins shown from Colorado Rapids’s perspective: Colorado Rapids 3 · 1 drawn · Sporting Kansas City 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Colorado Rapids | 2 – 0 | Sporting Kansas City | W |
| 2024-09-19 | Sporting Kansas City | 4 – 1 | Colorado Rapids | L |
| 2024-07-05 | Colorado Rapids | 2 – 1 | Sporting Kansas City | W |
| 2023-04-09 | Sporting Kansas City | 0 – 1 | Colorado Rapids | W |
| 2023-03-05 | Colorado Rapids | 0 – 0 | Sporting Kansas City | D |
📈 Recent form
Colorado Rapids come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to CF Montreal. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to St. Louis City.
- DColorado Rapids 3-3 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
- LColorado Rapids 0-3 St. Louis CityUS Open Cup
- WColorado Rapids 1-0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
- DAustin 1-1 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- LColumbus Crew 3-0 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
Sporting Kansas City come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 14. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Los Angeles FC. Their most recent defeat was 3-4 at home to Philadelphia Union.
- LSporting Kansas City 3-4 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
- WSporting Kansas City 3-1 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- LFC Dallas 4-3 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- LSporting Kansas City 0-3 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- LAtlanta United FC 2-1 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- M. DiopKnee Injury
- T. Ku-DiPietroShoulder Injury
- Z. SteffenShoulder Injury
- K. Stewart-BaynesLeg Injury
- J. TravisAnkle Injury
- L. JohnsenSuspended (red card)
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Colorado Rapids at 42% to win and Sporting Kansas City at 33%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Colorado Rapids win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids Win | 42% | 63% | @ 1.47 |
| Sporting Kansas City Win | 33% | 16% | @ 5.75 |
| Draw | 25% | 20% | @ 4.60 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Colorado Rapids or Draw at 1.13 (68% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids or Draw | 68% | 84% | @ 1.13 |
| Sporting Kansas City or Draw | 58% | 37% | @ 2.60 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.2-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 68% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 84% | @ 1.11 |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 66% | @ 1.43 |
| Under 3.5 | 53% | 55% | @ 1.70 |
| Over 3.5 | 47% | 45% | @ 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 | 32% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
| Under 1.5 | 13% | 16% | @ 5.80 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 60% | @ 1.54 |
| BTTS No | 35% | 40% | @ 2.32 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Colorado Rapids or Sporting Kansas City is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City +2 | 86% | 71% | @ 1.35 |
| Sporting Kansas City +1.75 | 83% | 63% | @ 1.51 |
| Sporting Kansas City +1.5 | 80% | 57% | @ 1.64 |
| Sporting Kansas City +1.25 | 75% | 52% | @ 1.86 |
| Sporting Kansas City +1 | 69% | 46% | @ 2.08 |
| Colorado Rapids +0.5 | 68% | – | 1.12 |
| Sporting Kansas City +0.75 | 64% | 39% | @ 2.44 |
| Colorado Rapids +0.25 | 61% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Sporting Kansas City +0.5 | 58% | 35% | @ 2.68 |
| Colorado Rapids 0 | 55% | 81% | 1.17 |
| Sporting Kansas City +0.25 | 52% | 28% | @ 3.42 |
| Colorado Rapids -0.25 | 48% | 72% | 1.32 |
| Sporting Kansas City 0 | 45% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
| Colorado Rapids -0.5 | 42% | 65% | 1.45 |
| Sporting Kansas City -0.25 | 39% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| Colorado Rapids -0.75 | 36% | 61% | 1.56 |
| Colorado Rapids -1 | 31% | 54% | 1.74 |
| Colorado Rapids -1.25 | 25% | 48% | 2.00 |
| Colorado Rapids -1.5 | 20% | 43% | 2.21 |
| Colorado Rapids -1.75 | 17% | 37% | 2.60 |
| Colorado Rapids -2 | 14% | 29% | 3.25 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our model's main pick is Sporting Kansas City Asian Handicap with a +2 start at odds 1.35, with a 86% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.
Who is the favourite for Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our model makes a Colorado Rapids win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 2.2-1.4 scoreline for Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City.
What is the predicted score for Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.16 for Colorado Rapids and 1.37 for Sporting Kansas City. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Colorado Rapids and Sporting Kansas City play?
Kick-off is Sunday 16 August 2026, 01:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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