Sun 11 Oct10:30Upcoming

⚽ Serie A

Como vs AS Roma Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Como vs AS Roma in the Serie A. Kick-off Sunday 11 October 2026, 10:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Como face AS Roma in the Serie A, kicking off Sunday 11 October 2026, 10:30 UTC. Recent form: Como have 3 wins from their last 5, while AS Roma have 4 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Como won 2, AS Roma won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an AS Roma win the most likely result at 43%, projecting a 1.3-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Como vs AS Roma with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.50

72%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.31 – 1.34 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.1%	9.5%	6.3%	2.8%	0.9%
1	9.3%	12.4%	8.3%	3.7%	1.2%
2	6.1%	8.1%	5.4%	2.4%	0.8%
3	2.6%	3.5%	2.4%	1.1%	0.4%
4	0.9%	1.2%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Como winDrawAS Roma win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Como vs AS Roma comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.50, with a 72% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an AS Roma win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 43%. Goals lean under 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (53%).

📊 Key numbers

Como 34%Draw 23%AS Roma 43%

34%23%43%

43%

AS Roma Win

51%

Under 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Como and AS Roma. Wins shown from Como’s perspective: Como 2 · AS Roma 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-03-15	Como	2 – 1	AS Roma	W
2025-12-15	AS Roma	1 – 0	Como	L
2025-03-02	AS Roma	2 – 1	Como	L
2024-12-15	Como	2 – 0	AS Roma	W

📈 Recent form

Como

Como come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to RB Leipzig. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Frosinone.

LFrosinone 2-0 ComoSerie A
WComo 2-1 ParmaSerie A
WComo 4-1 RB LeipzigUEFA Champions League
WGenoa 1-4 ComoSerie A
WNapoli 1-2 ComoSerie A

AS Roma

AS Roma come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Lecce. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

DAS Roma 2-2 InterSerie A
WTorino 0-2 AS RomaSerie A
DFenerbahçe 1-1 AS RomaUEFA Champions League
WAS Roma 2-1 AtalantaSerie A
WLecce 0-4 AS RomaSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 1 player listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Como

No absentees reported.

AS Roma

M. BahJumpers Knee

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Como at 34% to win and AS Roma at 43%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes an AS Roma win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
AS Roma Win	43%	36%	@ 2.60
Como Win	34%	37%	@ 2.50
Draw	23%	27%	@ 3.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is AS Roma or Draw at 1.50 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
AS Roma or Draw	68%	63%	@ 1.50
Como or Draw	59%	64%	@ 1.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	74%	79%	@ 1.20
Under 3.5	72%	64%	@ 1.50
Under 2.5	51%	41%	@ 2.30
Over 2.5	49%	59%	@ 1.62
Over 3.5	28%	36%	@ 2.62
Under 1.5	26%	21%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	53%	61%	@ 1.53
BTTS No	47%	39%	@ 2.38

📈 How the market moved

Como 38%Draw 27%AS Roma 36%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Como vs AS Roma?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.50, with a 72% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 64%.

Who is the favourite for Como vs AS Roma?

Our model makes an AS Roma win the most likely result at 43%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.3 scoreline for Como vs AS Roma.

What is the predicted score for Como vs AS Roma?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.31 for Como and 1.34 for AS Roma. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Como and AS Roma play?

Kick-off is Sunday 11 October 2026, 10:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.