⚽ UEFA Europa League

CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers All markets FAQ

CSKA Sofia face Maccabi Tel Aviv in the UEFA Europa League, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 18:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a CSKA Sofia win the most likely result at 63%, projecting a 1.7-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

CSKA Sofia +0.75 @ 1.26

86%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.66 – 1.42 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.6%	6.5%	4.6%	2.2%	0.8%
1	7.6%	10.8%	7.7%	3.6%	1.3%
2	6.3%	9.0%	6.4%	3.0%	1.1%
3	3.5%	5.0%	3.5%	1.7%	0.6%
4	1.5%	2.1%	1.5%	0.7%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

CSKA Sofia winDrawMaccabi Tel Aviv win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is CSKA Sofia with a +0.75 start at odds 1.26, the selection our model is most confident in at 86%. On the match result, the model rates a CSKA Sofia win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 63%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (61%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is CSKA Sofia to win by 1+ goals at odds 2.79 (+52.8% model value).

Best value

CSKA Sofia -0.75 at odds 2.79, 55% model probability, +52.8% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

CSKA Sofia 63%Draw 18%Maccabi Tel Aviv 19%

63%18%19%

63%

CSKA Sofia Win

59%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS yes

+52.8%

Best value: CSKA Sofia -0.75

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices CSKA Sofia at 63% to win and Maccabi Tel Aviv at 19%, with the draw at 18%. Our model makes a CSKA Sofia win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
CSKA Sofia Win	63%	2.30	+44.2%
Draw	18%	3.19	-41.0%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Win	19%	2.99	-43.8%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is CSKA Sofia or Draw at 1.35 (83% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
CSKA Sofia or Draw	83%	1.35	+12.3%
Maccabi Tel Aviv or Draw	39%	1.57	-38.8%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	37%	3.72	+37.8%
Over 2.5	59%	2.07	+23.1%
Over 1.5	81%	1.34	+8.7%
Under 3.5	63%	1.25	-21.3%
Under 2.5	41%	1.72	-30.3%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	61%	1.82	+11.9%
BTTS No	39%	1.86	-28.3%

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when CSKA Sofia or Maccabi Tel Aviv is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
CSKA Sofia -1.75	32%	6.25	+96.7%
CSKA Sofia -1	49%	3.73	+81.4%
CSKA Sofia -1.25	42%	4.19	+77.6%
CSKA Sofia -1.5	36%	4.35	+57.4%
CSKA Sofia -0.75	55%	2.79	+52.8%
CSKA Sofia -0.5	61%	2.29	+39.6%
CSKA Sofia -0.25	66%	2.03	+34.9%
CSKA Sofia 0	72%	1.67	+20.3%
CSKA Sofia +0.25	77%	1.50	+16.4%
CSKA Sofia +0.5	83%	1.37	+13.5%
CSKA Sofia +0.75	86%	1.26	+8.5%
CSKA Sofia +1.5	94%	1.10	+3.9%
CSKA Sofia +1.25	92%	1.13	+3.5%
CSKA Sofia +1	89%	1.16	+2.4%
Maccabi Tel Aviv +1.75	68%	1.12	-23.2%
Maccabi Tel Aviv +1.5	64%	1.18	-24.7%
Maccabi Tel Aviv +1.25	58%	1.22	-29.7%
Maccabi Tel Aviv +1	51%	1.26	-34.9%
Maccabi Tel Aviv +0.75	45%	1.43	-35.5%
Maccabi Tel Aviv +0.5	39%	1.59	-38.0%
Maccabi Tel Aviv 0	28%	2.15	-39.5%
Maccabi Tel Aviv +0.25	34%	1.79	-39.7%
Maccabi Tel Aviv -0.25	23%	2.54	-42.6%
Maccabi Tel Aviv -0.75	14%	3.73	-46.8%
Maccabi Tel Aviv -0.5	17%	2.95	-49.4%
Maccabi Tel Aviv -1.25	8%	5.90	-50.1%
Maccabi Tel Aviv -1.5	6%	6.17	-65.7%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	43%
GradientBoosting	Home	69%

Both models that could assess this match agree. Our Dixon-Coles model has no reliable team ratings for this competition and was left out, so this rests on two models rather than three.

Expected goals: 1.89 for the home side, 0.89 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

Our main pick is CSKA Sofia with a +0.75 start at odds 1.26, with 86% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is CSKA Sofia to win by 1+ goals at 2.79 (+52.8% value).

Who is the favourite for CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

Our model makes a CSKA Sofia win the most likely result at 63%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.4 scoreline for CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv.

What is the predicted score for CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.66 for CSKA Sofia and 1.42 for Maccabi Tel Aviv. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do CSKA Sofia and Maccabi Tel Aviv play?

Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.