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⚽ Major League Soccer

DC United vs New York Red Bulls Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for DC United vs New York Red Bulls in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Wednesday 14 October 2026, 23:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

DC United face New York Red Bulls in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Wednesday 14 October 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: DC United have 1 win from their last 5, while New York Red Bulls have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, New York Red Bulls won 3, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a New York Red Bulls win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.6-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for DC United vs New York Red Bulls with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

New York Red Bulls or Draw @ 1.91

68%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.57 – 1.55 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.4%	6.8%	5.3%	2.7%	1.1%
1	6.9%	10.7%	8.3%	4.3%	1.7%
2	5.4%	8.4%	6.5%	3.4%	1.3%
3	2.8%	4.4%	3.4%	1.8%	0.7%
4	1.1%	1.7%	1.3%	0.7%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

DC United winDrawNew York Red Bulls win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for DC United vs New York Red Bulls comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is New York Red Bulls or Draw at odds 1.91, with a 68% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a New York Red Bulls win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points yes (62%).

📊 Key numbers

DC United 31%Draw 30%New York Red Bulls 39%

31%30%39%

39%

New York Red Bulls Win

60%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between DC United and New York Red Bulls. Wins shown from DC United’s perspective: 2 drawn · New York Red Bulls 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-04-22	New York Red Bulls	4 – 4	DC United	D
2024-06-29	New York Red Bulls	2 – 2	DC United	D
2024-05-15	DC United	1 – 4	New York Red Bulls	L
2023-09-23	DC United	3 – 5	New York Red Bulls	L
2023-08-20	New York Red Bulls	1 – 0	DC United	L

📈 Recent form

DC United

DC United come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 10. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at Inter Miami.

LInter Miami 4-0 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
LDC United 0-1 SC Paderborn 07Friendlies Clubs
DVancouver Whitecaps 3-3 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
LDC United 1-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
DDC United 0-0 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer

New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to San Diego. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to St. Louis City.

WNew York Red Bulls 4-1 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
LNew York Red Bulls 0-3 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
WNew York City FC 0-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
WColumbus Crew 0-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
LLos Angeles FC 2-0 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

DC United

L. MunteanuLeg Injury
G. SegalLeg Injury

New York Red Bulls

A. MarcucciKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices DC United at 31% to win and New York Red Bulls at 39%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a New York Red Bulls win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
New York Red Bulls Win	39%	25%	@ 3.70
DC United Win	31%	51%	@ 1.85
Draw	30%	24%	@ 3.90

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is New York Red Bulls or Draw at 1.91 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
New York Red Bulls or Draw	68%	49%	@ 1.91
DC United or Draw	59%	75%	@ 1.28

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	82%	83%	@ 1.14
Under 3.5	62%	56%	@ 1.67
Over 2.5	60%	64%	@ 1.48
Under 2.5	40%	36%	@ 2.60
Over 3.5	38%	44%	@ 2.10
Under 1.5	18%	17%	@ 5.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	62%	65%	@ 1.44
BTTS No	38%	35%	@ 2.62

📈 How the market moved

DC United 51%Draw 24%New York Red Bulls 26%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for DC United vs New York Red Bulls?

Our model's pick is New York Red Bulls or Draw at odds 1.91, with a 68% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 49%.

Who is the favourite for DC United vs New York Red Bulls?

Our model makes a New York Red Bulls win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.6 scoreline for DC United vs New York Red Bulls.

What is the predicted score for DC United vs New York Red Bulls?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.57 for DC United and 1.55 for New York Red Bulls. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do DC United and New York Red Bulls play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 14 October 2026, 23:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.