⚽ La Liga

Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia in the La Liga. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 17:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Deportivo La Coruna face Valencia in the La Liga, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 17:30 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.7-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.42

77%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.72 – 1.08 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	6.6%	3.5%	1.3%	0.3%
1	10.5%	11.3%	6.1%	2.2%	0.6%
2	9.0%	9.7%	5.2%	1.9%	0.5%
3	5.2%	5.6%	3.0%	1.1%	0.3%
4	2.2%	2.4%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Deportivo La Coruna winDrawValencia win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.42, the selection our model is most confident in at 77%. On the match result, the model rates a Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (54%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 2.5 goals at odds 2.25 (+19.4% model value).

Best value

Over 2.5 at odds 2.25, 53% model probability, +19.4% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Deportivo La Coruna 40%Draw 39%Valencia 22%

40%39%22%

40%

Deportivo La Coruna Win

53%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

+19.4%

Best value: Over 2.5

📈 Recent form

Deportivo La Coruna

Deportivo La Coruna come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Genoa. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Real Madrid.

DMalaga 1-1 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
DDeportivo La Coruna 1-1 ElcheLa Liga
LDeportivo La Coruna 0-1 Real MadridFriendlies Clubs
WGenoa 0-1 Deportivo La CorunaFriendlies Clubs
DFiorentina 1-1 Deportivo La CorunaFriendlies Clubs

Valencia

Valencia come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Derby. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Real Betis.

LValencia 0-1 Real BetisLa Liga
DValencia 0-0 Celta VigoLa Liga
LValencia 1-2 NewcastleFriendlies Clubs
DStoke City 1-1 ValenciaFriendlies Clubs
WDerby 1-2 ValenciaFriendlies Clubs

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Deportivo La Coruna

N. CarrilloInjury
A. TraoreMuscle Injury

Valencia

S. CanosKnee Injury
J. CopeteAnkle Injury
J. De HaasAnkle Injury
D. FoulquierKnee Injury
D. LopezKnee Injury
P. MaffeoMuscle Injury
G. RodriguezMuscle Injury
A. AlmeidaInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Deportivo La Coruna at 40% to win and Valencia at 22%, with the draw at 39%. Our model makes a Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	39%	@ 3.15	+22.3%
Deportivo La Coruna Win	40%	@ 2.56	+1.0%
Valencia Win	22%	@ 2.76	-40.1%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Deportivo La Coruna or Draw at 1.42 (72% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Deportivo La Coruna or Draw	72%	@ 1.42	+1.8%
Valencia or Draw	54%	@ 1.48	-20.1%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	31%	@ 4.33	+33.4%
Over 2.5	53%	@ 2.25	+19.4%
Over 1.5	77%	@ 1.42	+9.2%
Under 3.5	69%	@ 1.20	-17.0%
Under 2.5	47%	@ 1.62	-23.9%
Under 1.5	23%	@ 2.80	-35.3%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	54%	@ 1.93	+4.5%
BTTS No	46%	@ 1.80	-17.5%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	52%
GradientBoosting	Draw	44%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.50 for the home side, 1.12 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.42, with 77% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 2.5 goals at 2.25 (+19.4% value).

Who is the favourite for Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia?

Our model makes a Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.1 scoreline for Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.72 for Deportivo La Coruna and 1.08 for Valencia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Deportivo La Coruna and Valencia play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 17:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.