⚽ La Liga
Deportivo La Coruña vs Valencia Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Deportivo La Coruña vs Valencia in the La Liga. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 17:30 UTC.
Result: Deportivo La Coruña 3-1 Valencia
Deportivo La Coruña vs Valencia finished 3-1. Deportivo La Coruña won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Deportivo La Coruña face Valencia in the upcoming La Liga tips, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 17:30 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Deportivo La Coruña win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.7-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Deportivo La Coruña vs Valencia with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.1% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.5% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 9.0% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Deportivo La Coruña vs Valencia comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.41, with a 77% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Deportivo La Coruña win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (54%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Deportivo La Coruña come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Valencia. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Sevilla.
- DDeportivo La Coruña 1-1 Real BetisLa Liga
- LDeportivo La Coruña 0-1 SevillaLa Liga
- DGetafe 1-1 Deportivo La CoruñaLa Liga
- WVillarreal 2-3 Deportivo La CoruñaLa Liga
- WDeportivo La Coruña 3-1 ValenciaLa Liga
Valencia come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Alavés. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Real Sociedad.
- LValencia 2-3 Real SociedadLa Liga
- WAlavés 0-1 ValenciaLa Liga
- LSevilla 1-0 ValenciaLa Liga
- LValencia 0-5 BarcelonaLa Liga
- LDeportivo La Coruña 3-1 ValenciaLa Liga
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- N. CarrilloInjury
- A. TraoreMuscle Injury
- S. CanosKnee Injury
- J. CopeteAnkle Injury
- D. LopezKnee Injury
- P. MaffeoMuscle Injury
- G. RodriguezMuscle Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Deportivo La Coruña at 40% to win and Valencia at 22%, with the draw at 39%. Our model makes a Deportivo La Coruña win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña Win | 40% | 37% | @ 2.55 |
| Draw | 39% | 31% | @ 3.05 |
| Valencia Win | 22% | 32% | @ 2.95 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Deportivo La Coruña or Draw at 1.38 (72% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña or Draw | 72% | 68% | @ 1.38 |
| Valencia or Draw | 54% | 63% | @ 1.50 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 67% | @ 1.41 |
| Under 3.5 | 69% | 79% | @ 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 41% | @ 2.32 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 59% | @ 1.58 |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 21% | @ 4.40 |
| Under 1.5 | 23% | 33% | @ 2.80 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 49% | @ 1.91 |
| BTTS No | 46% | 51% | @ 1.82 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Deportivo La Coruña or Valencia is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña +1.5 | 89% | 85% | 1.09 |
| Deportivo La Coruña +1.25 | 85% | 84% | 1.12 |
| Valencia +1.75 | 80% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Deportivo La Coruña +1 | 80% | – | 1.14 |
| Valencia +1.5 | 77% | – | 1.14 |
| Deportivo La Coruña +0.75 | 76% | 76% | 1.26 |
| Deportivo La Coruña +0.5 | 72% | 68% | 1.39 |
| Valencia +1.25 | 71% | 81% | 1.18 |
| Valencia +1 | 66% | 79% | 1.21 |
| Deportivo La Coruña +0.25 | 65% | 63% | 1.52 |
| Valencia +0.75 | 60% | 70% | 1.36 |
| Deportivo La Coruña 0 | 59% | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Valencia +0.5 | 54% | 62% | 1.52 |
| Deportivo La Coruña -0.25 | 52% | 44% | @ 2.16 |
| Valencia +0.25 | 48% | 56% | 1.72 |
| Deportivo La Coruña -0.5 | 46% | 38% | @ 2.48 |
| Valencia 0 | 41% | 45% | 2.11 |
| Deportivo La Coruña -0.75 | 40% | 30% | @ 3.15 |
| Valencia -0.25 | 35% | 37% | 2.55 |
| Deportivo La Coruña -1 | 34% | 21% | @ 4.52 |
| Deportivo La Coruña -1.25 | 29% | 19% | @ 5.08 |
| Valencia -0.5 | 28% | 32% | 2.94 |
| Valencia -0.75 | 24% | 24% | 3.90 |
| Deportivo La Coruña -1.75 | 20% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Valencia -1.25 | 15% | 16% | 6.00 |
| Valencia -1.5 | 11% | 15% | 6.42 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Coruña vs Valencia?
Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.41, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 67%.
Who is the favourite for Deportivo La Coruña vs Valencia?
Our model makes a Deportivo La Coruña win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.1 scoreline for Deportivo La Coruña vs Valencia.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo La Coruña vs Valencia?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.72 for Deportivo La Coruña and 1.08 for Valencia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Deportivo La Coruña and Valencia play?
Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 17:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Sabah FAvs
Slavia PrahaUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct16:45
Lensvs
Sporting CPUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct16:45
Arsenalvs
LilleUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct19:00
Villarrealvs
NapoliUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct19:00
Vikingvs
Bayern MünchenUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct19:00
RB Leipzigvs
PSV EindhovenUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct19:00Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.