⚽ UEFA Europa League

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers All markets FAQ

Egnatia Rrogozhinë face Shamrock Rovers in the UEFA Europa League, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Egnatia Rrogozhinë win the most likely result at 55%, projecting a 1.6-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Egnatia Rrogozhinë or Draw @ 1.35

81%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.63 – 1.17 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	7.1%	4.2%	1.6%	0.5%
1	9.9%	11.6%	6.8%	2.6%	0.8%
2	8.1%	9.5%	5.5%	2.2%	0.6%
3	4.4%	5.1%	3.0%	1.2%	0.3%
4	1.8%	2.1%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Egnatia Rrogozhinë winDrawShamrock Rovers win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Egnatia Rrogozhinë or Draw at odds 1.35, the selection our model is most confident in at 81%. On the match result, the model rates an Egnatia Rrogozhinë win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 55%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (55%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win by 1+ goals at odds 2.37 (+23.3% model value).

Best value

Egnatia Rrogozhinë -0.75 at odds 2.37, 52% model probability, +23.3% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Egnatia Rrogozhinë 55%Draw 30%Shamrock Rovers 16%

55%30%16%

55%

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Win

53%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS yes

+23.3%

Best value: Egnatia Rrogozhinë -0.75

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Egnatia Rrogozhinë at 55% to win and Shamrock Rovers at 16%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes an Egnatia Rrogozhinë win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Win	55%	2.12	+16.3%
Draw	30%	3.65	+8.4%
Shamrock Rovers Win	16%	3.10	-52.0%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Egnatia Rrogozhinë or Draw at 1.35 (81% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Egnatia Rrogozhinë or Draw	81%	1.35	+9.4%
Shamrock Rovers or Draw	42%	1.67	-30.2%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 1.5	77%	1.25	-3.9%
Over 2.5	53%	1.80	-4.5%
Under 3.5	69%	1.38	-4.5%
Under 2.5	47%	2.00	-6.1%
Over 3.5	31%	3.00	-7.6%
Under 1.5	23%	3.85	-11.0%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	55%	1.65	-8.5%
BTTS No	45%	2.05	-8.6%

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Egnatia Rrogozhinë or Shamrock Rovers is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Egnatia Rrogozhinë -2	24%	6.80	+66.7%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë -1	46%	2.98	+36.7%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë -1.75	29%	4.65	+34.9%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë -1.25	40%	3.32	+31.7%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë -0.75	52%	2.37	+23.3%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë -1.5	34%	3.62	+21.4%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë -0.5	58%	2.04	+18.9%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë -0.25	64%	1.80	+15.4%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0	70%	1.55	+7.7%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë +0.5	81%	1.32	+7.0%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë +0.25	75%	1.42	+6.6%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë +0.75	84%	1.24	+4.0%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë +1.5	94%	1.09	+2.1%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë +1	87%	1.17	+1.8%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë +1.25	90%	1.12	+1.3%
Shamrock Rovers +1.75	71%	1.18	-16.2%
Shamrock Rovers +1.5	66%	1.25	-16.7%
Shamrock Rovers +2	76%	1.10	-17.0%
Shamrock Rovers +1.25	60%	1.32	-20.4%
Shamrock Rovers +0.75	48%	1.57	-24.7%
Shamrock Rovers +1	54%	1.39	-25.0%
Shamrock Rovers +0.25	36%	2.02	-27.1%
Shamrock Rovers 0	30%	2.40	-27.2%
Shamrock Rovers +0.5	42%	1.73	-27.7%
Shamrock Rovers -0.25	25%	2.85	-29.7%
Shamrock Rovers -0.75	16%	4.06	-35.8%
Shamrock Rovers -1.25	10%	6.40	-39.1%
Shamrock Rovers -0.5	19%	3.18	-39.6%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	48%
GradientBoosting	Home	57%

Both models that could assess this match agree. Our Dixon-Coles model has no reliable team ratings for this competition and was left out, so this rests on two models rather than three.

Expected goals: 1.81 for the home side, 0.93 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers?

Our main pick is Egnatia Rrogozhinë or Draw at odds 1.35, with 81% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win by 1+ goals at 2.37 (+23.3% value).

Who is the favourite for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers?

Our model makes an Egnatia Rrogozhinë win the most likely result at 55%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers.

What is the predicted score for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.63 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë and 1.17 for Shamrock Rovers. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Shamrock Rovers play?

Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.