vs
⚽ La Liga
Espanyol vs Levante Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Espanyol vs Levante in the La Liga. Kick-off Sunday 16 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Espanyol face Levante in the La Liga, kicking off Sunday 16 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Espanyol win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.5-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Espanyol vs Levante with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 7.0% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Espanyol vs Levante is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.40, the selection our model is most confident in at 76%. On the match result, the model rates an Espanyol win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean over 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (55%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 2.5 goals at odds 2.20 (+13.5% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Espanyol and Levante. Wins shown from Espanyol’s perspective: 2 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-27 | Espanyol | 0 – 0 | Levante | D |
| 2026-01-11 | Levante | 1 – 1 | Espanyol | D |
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Espanyol at 38% to win and Levante at 34%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes an Espanyol win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levante Win | 34% | @ 3.70 | +24.4% |
| Draw | 28% | @ 3.30 | -8.0% |
| Espanyol Win | 38% | @ 2.00 | -23.0% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Levante or Draw at 1.75 (61% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levante or Draw | 61% | @ 1.75 | +6.3% |
| Espanyol or Draw | 66% | @ 1.25 | -17.9% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 52% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 30% | @ 4.20 | +23.8% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | @ 2.20 | +13.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | @ 1.40 | +6.2% |
| Under 3.5 | 70% | @ 1.22 | -14.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | @ 1.65 | -20.2% |
| Under 1.5 | 24% | @ 2.90 | -30.0% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 55% | @ 1.95 | +7.5% |
| BTTS No | 45% | @ 1.80 | -19.2% |
🔬 How our AI model reached this pick
| Model | Match result | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Poisson | Home | 44% |
| Dixon-Coles | Home | 40% |
| GradientBoosting | Home | 36% |
All three of our models point the same way. This is our strongest confidence signal.
Expected goals: 1.35 for the home side, 1.25 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%).
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Espanyol vs Levante?
Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.40, with 76% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 2.5 goals at 2.20 (+13.5% value).
Who is the favourite for Espanyol vs Levante?
Our model makes an Espanyol win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline for Espanyol vs Levante.
What is the predicted score for Espanyol vs Levante?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.47 for Espanyol and 1.27 for Levante. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Espanyol and Levante play?
Kick-off is Sunday 16 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.