Sat 10 Oct13:30Upcoming

⚽ Bundesliga

FC Augsburg vs Bayern Munich Prediction

Q: Who is the favourite for FC Augsburg vs Bayern München?

Our model makes a Bayern München win the most likely result at 73%. It projects an expected 1.2-3.0 scoreline for FC Augsburg vs Bayern München.

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Augsburg vs Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 10 October 2026, 13:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

FC Augsburg face Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 10 October 2026, 13:30 UTC. Recent form: FC Augsburg have 2 wins from their last 4, while Bayern Munich have 3 wins from their last 4. In their last 5 meetings, FC Augsburg won 1, Bayern Munich won 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bayern Munich win the most likely result at 73%, projecting a 1.2-3.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Augsburg vs Bayern Munich with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

BTTS Yes @ 1.44

64%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.16 – 2.95 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	1.6%	4.8%	7.1%	7.0%	5.2%
1	1.9%	5.6%	8.3%	8.1%	6.0%
2	1.1%	3.3%	4.8%	4.7%	3.5%
3	0.4%	1.3%	1.9%	1.8%	1.3%
4	0.1%	0.4%	0.5%	0.5%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-2

FC Augsburg winDrawBayern Munich win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC Augsburg vs Bayern Munich comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is both teams to score at odds 1.44, with a 64% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Bayern Munich win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 73%. Goals lean over 2.5 (78%), both teams to score points yes (64%).

📊 Key numbers

FC Augsburg 12%Draw 14%Bayern Munich 73%

12%14%73%

73%

Bayern Munich Win

78%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between FC Augsburg and Bayern Munich. Wins shown from FC Augsburg’s perspective: FC Augsburg 1 · Bayern Munich 4.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-01-24	Bayern Munich	1 – 2	FC Augsburg	W
2025-08-30	FC Augsburg	2 – 3	Bayern Munich	L
2025-04-04	FC Augsburg	1 – 3	Bayern Munich	L
2024-11-22	Bayern Munich	3 – 0	FC Augsburg	L
2024-01-27	FC Augsburg	2 – 3	Bayern Munich	L

📈 Recent form

FC Augsburg

FC Augsburg come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at Eintracht Frankfurt. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Werder Bremen.

DFC Augsburg 2-2 Hertha BSCFriendlies Clubs
LWerder Bremen 3-2 FC AugsburgBundesliga
DFC Augsburg 2-2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
WEintracht Frankfurt 1-4 FC AugsburgBundesliga
WFC Augsburg 3-0 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 18 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 7-0 at home to Union Berlin.

WBayern Munich 7-0 Union BerlinBundesliga
WSV Elversberg 1-2 Bayern MunichBundesliga
WBayern Munich 5-0 Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League
DFC Schalke 04 0-0 Bayern MunichBundesliga
WVfL Osnabrück 1-4 Bayern MunichDFB Pokal

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

FC Augsburg

S. SusoMuscle Injury
T. BreithauptToe Injury
A. KadeCalf Injury
S. MounieInjury
U. OgunduAbdominal strain

Bayern Munich

T. BuchmannKnee Injury
J. MusialaMuscle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC Augsburg at 12% to win and Bayern Munich at 73%, with the draw at 14%. Our model makes a Bayern Munich win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bayern Munich Win	73%	81%	@ 1.18
Draw	14%	12%	@ 8.00
FC Augsburg Win	12%	7%	@ 13.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bayern Munich or Draw at 1.05 (89% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bayern Munich or Draw	89%	93%	@ 1.05
FC Augsburg or Draw	28%	19%	@ 4.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-3.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 78% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	92%	93%	@ 1.04
Over 2.5	78%	83%	@ 1.14
Over 3.5	59%	68%	@ 1.40
Under 3.5	41%	32%	@ 3.00
Under 2.5	22%	17%	@ 5.50
Under 1.5	8%	7%	@ 13.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	64%	65%	@ 1.44
BTTS No	36%	35%	@ 2.62

📈 How the market moved

FC Augsburg 8%Draw 11%Bayern Munich 80%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Augsburg vs Bayern Munich?

Our model's main pick is both teams to score at odds 1.44, with a 64% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 65%.

Who is the favourite for FC Augsburg vs Bayern Munich?

Our model makes a Bayern Munich win the most likely result at 73%. It projects an expected 1.2-3.0 scoreline for FC Augsburg vs Bayern Munich.

What is the predicted score for FC Augsburg vs Bayern Munich?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.16 for FC Augsburg and 2.95 for Bayern Munich. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC Augsburg and Bayern Munich play?

Kick-off is Saturday 10 October 2026, 13:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.