⚽ Bundesliga

FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 15:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

FC Augsburg face FC Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 15:30 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.5-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.50

66%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.47 – 1.45 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.4%	7.8%	5.7%	2.7%	1.0%
1	7.9%	11.5%	8.3%	4.0%	1.5%
2	5.8%	8.4%	6.1%	3.0%	1.1%
3	2.9%	4.1%	3.0%	1.5%	0.5%
4	1.0%	1.5%	1.1%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

FC Augsburg winDrawFC Schalke 04 win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.50, the selection our model is most confident in at 66%. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (59%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is FC Schalke 04 or Draw at odds 1.65 (+5.8% model value).

Best value

FC Schalke 04 or Draw at odds 1.65, 64% model probability, +5.8% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

FC Augsburg 30%Draw 37%FC Schalke 04 32%

30%37%32%

37%

Draw

56%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

BTTS yes

+5.8%

Best value: FC Schalke 04 or Draw

📈 Recent form

FC Augsburg

FC Augsburg come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 22 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 15-0 at Schwaz. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at Leeds.

WEnergie Cottbus 0-2 FC AugsburgDFB Pokal
LLeeds 4-0 FC AugsburgFriendlies Clubs
WFC Augsburg 3-2 SassuoloFriendlies Clubs
WSchwaz 0-15 FC AugsburgFriendlies Clubs
LFC Augsburg 2-5 BournemouthFriendlies Clubs

FC Schalke 04

FC Schalke 04 come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at Hessen Kassel. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Real Madrid.

DHallescher FC 2-2 FC Schalke 04DFB Pokal
LFC Schalke 04 0-3 Real MadridFriendlies Clubs
LFC Schalke 04 0-3 AtalantaFriendlies Clubs
WHessen Kassel 0-5 FC Schalke 04Friendlies Clubs
WFC Schalke 04 3-1 Fagiano OkayamaFriendlies Clubs

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

FC Augsburg

T. BreithauptInjury
S. MounieInjury

FC Schalke 04

E. HojlundHeel Injury
T. KalasLacking Match Fitness
K. KaramanHip Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC Augsburg at 30% to win and FC Schalke 04 at 32%, with the draw at 37%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	37%	@ 3.65	+35.5%
FC Schalke 04 Win	32%	@ 2.98	-3.7%
FC Augsburg Win	30%	@ 2.16	-34.0%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Schalke 04 or Draw at 1.65 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
FC Schalke 04 or Draw	64%	@ 1.65	+5.8%
FC Augsburg or Draw	62%	@ 1.38	-14.0%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 3.5	66%	@ 1.50	-0.2%
Under 2.5	44%	@ 2.25	-0.7%
Over 1.5	79%	@ 1.20	-5.4%
Under 1.5	21%	@ 4.33	-8.5%
Over 2.5	56%	@ 1.62	-9.5%
Over 3.5	34%	@ 2.55	-14.6%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 59%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	41%	@ 2.40	-1.5%
BTTS Yes	59%	@ 1.53	-9.8%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	38%
GradientBoosting	Draw	41%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.28 for the home side, 1.31 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.50, with 66% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is FC Schalke 04 or Draw at 1.65 (+5.8% value).

Who is the favourite for FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04?

Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.4 scoreline for FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04.

What is the predicted score for FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.47 for FC Augsburg and 1.45 for FC Schalke 04. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC Augsburg and FC Schalke 04 play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 15:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.