FC Lugano

Thu 20 Aug2-1Finished

Maccabi Tel Aviv

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 20 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: FC Lugano 2-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv

FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv finished 2-1. FC Lugano won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

FC Lugano face Maccabi Tel Aviv in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 20 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, FC Lugano won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Maccabi Tel Aviv win the most likely result at 53%, projecting a 1.4-2.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Maccabi Tel Aviv or Draw @ 1.68

75%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.35 – 1.98 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.6%	7.1%	7.0%	4.6%	2.3%
1	4.8%	9.6%	9.5%	6.3%	3.1%
2	3.3%	6.5%	6.4%	4.2%	2.1%
3	1.5%	2.9%	2.9%	1.9%	0.9%
4	0.5%	1.0%	1.0%	0.6%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

FC Lugano winDrawMaccabi Tel Aviv win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Maccabi Tel Aviv or Draw at odds 1.68, with a 75% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Maccabi Tel Aviv win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 53%. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points yes (62%).

📊 Key numbers

FC Lugano 28%Draw 19%Maccabi Tel Aviv 53%

28%19%53%

53%

Maccabi Tel Aviv Win

65%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between FC Lugano and Maccabi Tel Aviv. Wins shown from FC Lugano’s perspective: FC Lugano 1 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-27	Maccabi Tel Aviv	1 – 1	FC Lugano	D
2026-08-20	FC Lugano	2 – 1	Maccabi Tel Aviv	W

📈 Recent form

FC Lugano

FC Lugano come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Lausanne. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WLausanne 0-4 FC LuganoSuper League
WFC Lugano 4-1 FC St. GallenSuper League
DFC Lugano 2-2 BSC Young BoysSuper League
WFC Basel 1893 1-3 FC LuganoSuper League
WFC Lugano 1-0 Servette FCSuper League

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Maccabi Tel Aviv come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Hapoel Tel Aviv. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WMaccabi Netanya 1-2 Maccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'al
WMaccabi Tel Aviv 4-1 Hapoel Tel AvivLigat Ha'al
WHapoel Beer Sheva 1-4 Maccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'al
WMaccabi Tel Aviv 3-1 Maccabi HaifaLigat Ha'al
DMaccabi Tel Aviv 1-1 FC LuganoUEFA Europa Conference

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC Lugano at 28% to win and Maccabi Tel Aviv at 53%, with the draw at 19%. Our model makes a Maccabi Tel Aviv win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Maccabi Tel Aviv Win	53%	28%	@ 3.30
FC Lugano Win	28%	46%	@ 2.00
Draw	19%	26%	@ 3.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Maccabi Tel Aviv or Draw at 1.68 (75% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Maccabi Tel Aviv or Draw	75%	54%	@ 1.68
FC Lugano or Draw	50%	72%	@ 1.27

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-2.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	84%	74%	@ 1.24
Over 2.5	65%	52%	@ 1.77
Under 3.5	57%	68%	@ 1.34
Over 3.5	43%	32%	@ 2.90
Under 2.5	35%	48%	@ 1.90
Under 1.5	16%	26%	@ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	62%	55%	@ 1.66
BTTS No	38%	45%	@ 2.05

📈 How the market moved

FC Lugano 47%Draw 26%Maccabi Tel Aviv 27%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

Our model's main pick is Maccabi Tel Aviv or Draw at odds 1.68, with a 75% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 54%.

Who is the favourite for FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

Our model makes a Maccabi Tel Aviv win the most likely result at 53%. It projects an expected 1.4-2.0 scoreline for FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv.

What is the predicted score for FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.35 for FC Lugano and 1.98 for Maccabi Tel Aviv. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC Lugano and Maccabi Tel Aviv play?

Kick-off is Thursday 20 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.