FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland
Thu 13 Aug3-2Finished
BohemiansBohemians

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Midtjylland vs Bohemians Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Midtjylland vs Bohemians in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Result: FC Midtjylland 3-2 Bohemians

FC Midtjylland vs Bohemians finished 3-2. FC Midtjylland won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

FC Midtjylland face Bohemians in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, FC Midtjylland won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Midtjylland win the most likely result at 56%, projecting a 2.9-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Midtjylland vs Bohemians with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 2.5 @ 1.43
78%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.86 – 1.29 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 1.6% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
1 4.5% 5.8% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
2 6.4% 8.3% 5.4% 2.3% 0.7%
3 6.1% 7.9% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7%
4 4.4% 5.7% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5%
Projected score: 2-1
FC Midtjylland winDrawBohemians win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC Midtjylland vs Bohemians comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.43, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FC Midtjylland win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 56%. Goals lean over 2.5 (78%), both teams to score points yes (68%).

📊 Key numbers

FC Midtjylland 56%Draw 24%Bohemians 20%
56%24%20%
56%
FC Midtjylland Win
78%
Over 2.5 goals
68%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between FC Midtjylland and Bohemians. Wins shown from FC Midtjylland’s perspective: FC Midtjylland 2.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-08-13 FC Midtjylland 3 – 2 Bohemians W
2026-08-06 Bohemians 0 – 2 FC Midtjylland W

📈 Recent form

FC Midtjylland

FC Midtjylland come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 16 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 7-0 at Sundby. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • DOdense 1-1 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
  • WFC Midtjylland 4-1 BrondbySuperliga
  • WSundby 0-7 FC MidtjyllandDBU Pokalen
  • DFC Midtjylland 2-2 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
  • WAarhus 0-2 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
Bohemians

Bohemians come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Sligo Rovers.

  • WBohemians 2-1 Drogheda UnitedPremier Division
  • WGalway United 2-3 BohemiansPremier Division
  • DSt Patrick's Athl. 0-0 BohemiansFAI Cup
  • WBohemians 3-0 Sligo RoversPremier Division
  • WBohemians 5-3 Derry CityPremier Division

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC Midtjylland at 56% to win and Bohemians at 20%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a FC Midtjylland win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
FC Midtjylland Win 56% 80% @ 1.17
Draw 24% 14% @ 6.75
Bohemians Win 20% 7% @ 14.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Midtjylland or Draw at 1.01 (79% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
FC Midtjylland or Draw 79% 93% @ 1.01
Bohemians or Draw 44% 20% @ 3.65

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.9-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 78% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 92% 82% @ 1.12
Over 2.5 78% 64% @ 1.43
Over 3.5 59% 44% @ 2.08
Under 3.5 41% 56% @ 1.64
Under 2.5 22% 36% @ 2.55
Under 1.5 8% 18% @ 5.10

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 68%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 68% 44% @ 2.08
BTTS No 32% 56% @ 1.63

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when FC Midtjylland or Bohemians is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
FC Midtjylland +0.5 79% 86% 1.10
Bohemians +2 77% 51% @ 1.84
FC Midtjylland +0.25 74% 86% 1.11
Bohemians +1.75 73% 45% @ 2.08
Bohemians +1.5 69% 41% @ 2.28
FC Midtjylland 0 68% 84% 1.12
Bohemians +1.25 63% 34% @ 2.72
FC Midtjylland -0.25 62% 83% 1.15
Bohemians +1 56% 29% @ 3.30
FC Midtjylland -0.5 56% – 1.19
Bohemians +0.75 50% 26% @ 3.55
FC Midtjylland -0.75 50% 74% 1.27
FC Midtjylland -1 44% 71% 1.32
Bohemians +0.25 38% 17% @ 5.50
FC Midtjylland -1.25 37% 66% 1.43
Bohemians 0 32% 16% @ 6.00
FC Midtjylland -1.5 31% 59% 1.57
FC Midtjylland -1.75 27% 55% 1.72
Bohemians -0.25 26% 14% @ 6.60
FC Midtjylland -2 23% 49% 1.91
Bohemians -0.5 21% 14% @ 7.00

📈 How the market moved

4%43%82%08/1108/1208/13

FC Midtjylland 77%Draw 15%Bohemians 8%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Midtjylland vs Bohemians?

Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.43, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 64%.

Who is the favourite for FC Midtjylland vs Bohemians?

Our model makes a FC Midtjylland win the most likely result at 56%. It projects an expected 2.9-1.3 scoreline for FC Midtjylland vs Bohemians.

What is the predicted score for FC Midtjylland vs Bohemians?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.86 for FC Midtjylland and 1.29 for Bohemians. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC Midtjylland and Bohemians play?

Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.