FC Midtjylland

Thu 20 Aug2-0Finished

HNK Rijeka

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 20 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: FC Midtjylland 2-0 HNK Rijeka

FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka finished 2-0. FC Midtjylland won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

FC Midtjylland face HNK Rijeka in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 20 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, FC Midtjylland won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Midtjylland win the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 2.1-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

HNK Rijeka +2 @ 1.25

84%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.15 – 1.19 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.5%	4.2%	2.5%	1.0%	0.3%
1	7.6%	9.1%	5.4%	2.1%	0.6%
2	8.2%	9.7%	5.8%	2.3%	0.7%
3	5.9%	7.0%	4.2%	1.6%	0.5%
4	3.2%	3.8%	2.2%	0.9%	0.3%

Projected score: 2-1

FC Midtjylland winDrawHNK Rijeka win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is HNK Rijeka with a +2 start at odds 1.25, with a 84% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FC Midtjylland win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points yes (61%).

📊 Key numbers

FC Midtjylland 45%Draw 28%HNK Rijeka 28%

45%28%28%

45%

FC Midtjylland Win

65%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between FC Midtjylland and HNK Rijeka. Wins shown from FC Midtjylland’s perspective: FC Midtjylland 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-27	HNK Rijeka	1 – 4	FC Midtjylland	W
2026-08-20	FC Midtjylland	2 – 0	HNK Rijeka	W

📈 Recent form

FC Midtjylland

FC Midtjylland come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 16 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 7-0 at Sundby. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

DOdense 1-1 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
WFC Midtjylland 4-1 BrondbySuperliga
WSundby 0-7 FC MidtjyllandDBU Pokalen
DFC Midtjylland 2-2 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
WAarhus 0-2 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga

HNK Rijeka

HNK Rijeka come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to NK Osijek. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at home to FC Midtjylland.

DNK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HNK RijekaHNL
WHNK Rijeka 4-1 NK OsijekHNL
LHNK Rijeka 1-4 FC MidtjyllandUEFA Europa Conference
WHNK Rijeka 3-2 Istra 1961HNL
LFC Midtjylland 2-0 HNK RijekaUEFA Europa Conference

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC Midtjylland at 45% to win and HNK Rijeka at 28%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a FC Midtjylland win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC Midtjylland Win	45%	61%	@ 1.52
Draw	28%	23%	@ 4.10
HNK Rijeka Win	28%	17%	@ 5.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Midtjylland or Draw at 1.11 (71% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC Midtjylland or Draw	71%	83%	@ 1.11
HNK Rijeka or Draw	54%	39%	@ 2.30

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	85%	77%	@ 1.19
Over 2.5	65%	56%	@ 1.63
Under 3.5	57%	65%	@ 1.42
Over 3.5	43%	35%	@ 2.60
Under 2.5	35%	44%	@ 2.08
Under 1.5	15%	23%	@ 3.95

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	61%	53%	@ 1.72
BTTS No	39%	47%	@ 1.97

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when FC Midtjylland or HNK Rijeka is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
HNK Rijeka +2	84%	75%	@ 1.25
HNK Rijeka +1.75	81%	68%	@ 1.38
HNK Rijeka +1.5	77%	62%	@ 1.51
FC Midtjylland +0.75	76%	86%	1.10
HNK Rijeka +1.25	72%	58%	@ 1.65
FC Midtjylland +0.5	71%	–	1.15
HNK Rijeka +1	66%	50%	@ 1.89
FC Midtjylland +0.25	65%	79%	1.19
HNK Rijeka +0.75	60%	44%	@ 2.16
FC Midtjylland 0	58%	–	1.28
HNK Rijeka +0.5	54%	39%	@ 2.36
FC Midtjylland -0.25	52%	68%	1.38
HNK Rijeka +0.25	48%	32%	@ 2.99
FC Midtjylland -0.5	46%	61%	1.54
FC Midtjylland -0.75	40%	56%	1.69
HNK Rijeka -0.25	35%	21%	@ 4.50
FC Midtjylland -1	34%	50%	1.91
FC Midtjylland -1.25	28%	42%	2.23
HNK Rijeka -0.75	24%	14%	@ 7.00
FC Midtjylland -1.5	23%	38%	2.44
FC Midtjylland -1.75	19%	32%	2.96
FC Midtjylland -2	16%	25%	3.80

📈 How the market moved

FC Midtjylland 61%Draw 22%HNK Rijeka 17%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka?

Our model's main pick is HNK Rijeka with a +2 start at odds 1.25, with a 84% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka?

Our model makes a FC Midtjylland win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 2.1-1.2 scoreline for FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka.

What is the predicted score for FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.15 for FC Midtjylland and 1.19 for HNK Rijeka. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC Midtjylland and HNK Rijeka play?

Kick-off is Thursday 20 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.