FC Sion

Thu 20 Aug2-4Finished

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Sion vs Ajax Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Sion vs Ajax in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 20 August 2026, 18:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: FC Sion 2-4 Ajax

FC Sion vs Ajax finished 2-4. Ajax won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

FC Sion face Ajax in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 20 August 2026, 18:15 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Ajax won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Sion win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 2.2-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Sion vs Ajax with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

FC Sion +1.75 @ 1.34

89%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.16 – 1.75 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.0%	3.5%	3.1%	1.8%	0.8%
1	4.3%	7.6%	6.6%	3.9%	1.7%
2	4.7%	8.2%	7.2%	4.2%	1.8%
3	3.4%	5.9%	5.2%	3.0%	1.3%
4	1.8%	3.2%	2.8%	1.6%	0.7%

Projected score: 2-1

FC Sion winDrawAjax win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC Sion vs Ajax comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is FC Sion with a +1.75 start at odds 1.34, with a 89% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FC Sion win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (75%), both teams to score points yes (73%).

📊 Key numbers

FC Sion 40%Draw 30%Ajax 30%

40%30%30%

40%

FC Sion Win

75%

Over 2.5 goals

73%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between FC Sion and Ajax. Wins shown from FC Sion’s perspective: Ajax 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-27	Ajax	5 – 3	FC Sion	L
2026-08-20	FC Sion	2 – 4	Ajax	L

📈 Recent form

FC Sion

FC Sion come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at Grasshoppers. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

DFC Sion 1-1 FC ZurichSuper League
WGrasshoppers 2-5 FC SionSuper League
WFC St. Gallen 0-3 FC SionSuper League
WFC Sion 3-2 FC ThunSuper League
WFC Basel 1893 1-2 FC SionSuper League

Ajax

Ajax come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 17 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to Willem II. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at home to PSV Eindhoven.

DAjax 2-2 ExcelsiorEredivisie
WAjax 5-1 Willem IIEredivisie
WFortuna Sittard 1-5 AjaxEredivisie
LAjax 1-3 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
WTelstar 0-4 AjaxEredivisie

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC Sion at 40% to win and Ajax at 30%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a FC Sion win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC Sion Win	40%	23%	@ 4.10
Draw	30%	23%	@ 4.10
Ajax Win	30%	55%	@ 1.68

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Sion or Draw at 2.08 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC Sion or Draw	68%	45%	@ 2.08
Ajax or Draw	58%	77%	@ 1.20

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.2-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 75% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	90%	80%	@ 1.15
Over 2.5	75%	60%	@ 1.53
Over 3.5	55%	38%	@ 2.40
Under 3.5	45%	62%	@ 1.49
Under 2.5	25%	40%	@ 2.32
Under 1.5	10%	20%	@ 4.70

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 73%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	73%	60%	@ 1.55
BTTS No	27%	40%	@ 2.28

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when FC Sion or Ajax is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC Sion +2	91%	79%	@ 1.19
FC Sion +1.75	89%	–	@ 1.34
FC Sion +1.5	87%	67%	@ 1.39
FC Sion +1.25	82%	63%	@ 1.49
FC Sion +1	78%	58%	@ 1.62
FC Sion +0.75	73%	52%	@ 1.85
FC Sion +0.5	68%	45%	@ 2.08
Ajax +0.75	63%	81%	1.17
FC Sion +0.25	62%	39%	@ 2.39
Ajax +0.5	58%	75%	1.23
FC Sion 0	55%	31%	@ 3.00
Ajax +0.25	51%	71%	1.32
FC Sion -0.25	49%	29%	@ 3.29
Ajax 0	45%	69%	1.38
FC Sion -0.5	42%	25%	@ 3.77
Ajax -0.25	38%	61%	1.54
FC Sion -0.75	37%	19%	@ 5.00
Ajax -0.5	32%	55%	1.71
Ajax -0.75	27%	48%	1.97
Ajax -1	22%	42%	2.27
Ajax -1.25	18%	37%	2.57
Ajax -1.5	13%	33%	2.80
Ajax -2	9%	21%	4.50

📈 How the market moved

FC Sion 24%Draw 23%Ajax 53%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Sion vs Ajax?

Our model's main pick is FC Sion with a +1.75 start at odds 1.34, with a 89% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for FC Sion vs Ajax?

Our model makes a FC Sion win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 2.2-1.8 scoreline for FC Sion vs Ajax.

What is the predicted score for FC Sion vs Ajax?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.16 for FC Sion and 1.75 for Ajax. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC Sion and Ajax play?

Kick-off is Thursday 20 August 2026, 18:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.