⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Sion vs Ajax Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Sion vs Ajax in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 20 August 2026, 18:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

FC Sion face Ajax in the UEFA Europa Conference League, kicking off Thursday 20 August 2026, 18:15 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Sion win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 2.2-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Sion vs Ajax with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

FC Sion or Draw @ 2.05

68%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.16 – 1.75 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.0%	3.5%	3.1%	1.8%	0.8%
1	4.3%	7.6%	6.6%	3.9%	1.7%
2	4.7%	8.2%	7.2%	4.2%	1.8%
3	3.4%	5.9%	5.2%	3.0%	1.3%
4	1.8%	3.2%	2.8%	1.6%	0.7%

Projected score: 2-1

FC Sion winDrawAjax win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC Sion vs Ajax is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is FC Sion or Draw at odds 2.05, the selection our model is most confident in at 68%. On the match result, the model rates a FC Sion win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (75%), both teams to score points yes (73%).

Best value

FC Sion or Draw at odds 2.05, 68% model probability, +40.1% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

FC Sion 40%Draw 30%Ajax 30%

40%30%30%

40%

FC Sion Win

75%

Over 2.5 goals

73%

BTTS yes

+40.1%

Best value: FC Sion or Draw

📈 Recent form

FC Sion

FC Sion come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 16 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 6-1 at Kerzers. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WKerzers 1-6 FC SionSchweizer Cup
WFC Sion 2-1 FC NoahUEFA Europa Conference
WFC Sion 3-2 FC VaduzSuper League
DFC Noah 2-2 FC SionUEFA Europa Conference
WFC Sion 3-0 FC LuzernSuper League

Ajax

Ajax come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at PEC Zwolle. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

DAjax 2-2 HeerenveenEredivisie
DShelbourne 2-2 AjaxUEFA Europa Conference
WPEC Zwolle 0-2 AjaxEredivisie
WAjax 3-1 ShelbourneUEFA Europa Conference
WFC Volendam 1-3 AjaxFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC Sion at 40% to win and Ajax at 30%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a FC Sion win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
FC Sion Win	40%	@ 4.20	+68.8%
Draw	30%	@ 4.00	+20.4%
Ajax Win	30%	@ 1.72	-48.9%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Sion or Draw at 2.05 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
FC Sion or Draw	68%	@ 2.05	+40.1%
Ajax or Draw	58%	@ 1.20	-30.6%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.2-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 75% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	55%	@ 2.55	+39.9%
Over 2.5	75%	@ 1.62	+21.2%
Over 1.5	90%	@ 1.20	+8.2%
Under 3.5	45%	@ 1.50	-32.3%
Under 2.5	25%	@ 2.25	-43.4%
Under 1.5	10%	@ 4.50	-55.7%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 73%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	73%	@ 1.57	+14.8%
BTTS No	27%	@ 2.20	-40.9%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	48%
GradientBoosting	Home	38%

Both models that could assess this match agree. Our Dixon-Coles model has no reliable team ratings for this competition and was left out, so this rests on two models rather than three.

Expected goals: 1.41 for the home side, 1.19 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Sion vs Ajax?

Our main pick is FC Sion or Draw at odds 2.05, with 68% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for FC Sion vs Ajax?

Our model makes a FC Sion win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 2.2-1.8 scoreline for FC Sion vs Ajax.

What is the predicted score for FC Sion vs Ajax?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.16 for FC Sion and 1.75 for Ajax. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC Sion and Ajax play?

Kick-off is Thursday 20 August 2026, 18:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.