⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Sion vs FC Noah Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Sion vs FC Noah in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 18:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers All markets FAQ

FC Sion face FC Noah in the UEFA Europa Conference League, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 18:15 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Sion win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 2.0-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Sion vs FC Noah with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.42

63%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.03 – 1.06 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.6%	4.8%	2.6%	0.9%	0.2%
1	9.2%	9.8%	5.2%	1.8%	0.5%
2	9.4%	9.9%	5.3%	1.9%	0.5%
3	6.3%	6.7%	3.6%	1.3%	0.3%
4	3.2%	3.4%	1.8%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 2-1

FC Sion winDrawFC Noah win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC Sion vs FC Noah is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.42, the selection our model is most confident in at 63%. On the match result, the model rates a FC Sion win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points yes (57%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is FC Noah or Draw at odds 2.70 (+45.7% model value).

Best value

FC Noah or Draw at odds 2.70, 54% model probability, +45.7% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

FC Sion 46%Draw 25%FC Noah 29%

46%25%29%

46%

FC Sion Win

60%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

BTTS yes

+45.7%

Best value: FC Noah or Draw

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC Sion at 46% to win and FC Noah at 29%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a FC Sion win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
FC Noah Win	29%	6.75	+93.6%
Draw	25%	4.20	+4.2%
FC Sion Win	46%	1.43	-33.5%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Noah or Draw at 2.70 (54% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
FC Noah or Draw	54%	2.70	+45.7%
FC Sion or Draw	72%	1.05	-24.7%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	37%	2.75	+2.5%
Over 2.5	60%	1.70	+1.4%
Over 1.5	81%	1.22	-0.7%
Under 3.5	63%	1.42	-10.9%
Under 2.5	40%	2.10	-15.3%
Under 1.5	19%	3.95	-26.5%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	57%	1.80	+2.0%
BTTS No	43%	1.83	-20.7%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	60%
GradientBoosting	Home	42%

Both models that could assess this match agree. Our Dixon-Coles model has no reliable team ratings for this competition and was left out, so this rests on two models rather than three.

Expected goals: 1.50 for the home side, 1.12 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Sion vs FC Noah?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.42, with 63% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is FC Noah or Draw at 2.70 (+45.7% value).

Who is the favourite for FC Sion vs FC Noah?

Our model makes a FC Sion win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.1 scoreline for FC Sion vs FC Noah.

What is the predicted score for FC Sion vs FC Noah?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.03 for FC Sion and 1.06 for FC Noah. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC Sion and FC Noah play?

Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 18:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.