FC St. GallenFC St. Gallen
Thu 13 Aug5-1Finished
Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

FC St. Gallen vs Sheriff Tiraspol Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC St. Gallen vs Sheriff Tiraspol in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Result: FC St. Gallen 5-1 Sheriff Tiraspol

FC St. Gallen vs Sheriff Tiraspol finished 5-1. FC St. Gallen won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

FC St. Gallen face Sheriff Tiraspol in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 18:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, FC St. Gallen won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC St. Gallen win the most likely result at 51%, projecting a 1.8-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC St. Gallen vs Sheriff Tiraspol with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
BTTS Yes @ 1.95
67%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.80 – 1.65 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 3.2% 5.2% 4.3% 2.4% 1.0%
1 5.7% 9.4% 7.8% 4.3% 1.8%
2 5.1% 8.5% 7.0% 3.9% 1.6%
3 3.1% 5.1% 4.2% 2.3% 1.0%
4 1.4% 2.3% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
Projected score: 1-1
FC St. Gallen winDrawSheriff Tiraspol win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC St. Gallen vs Sheriff Tiraspol comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is both teams to score at odds 1.95, with a 67% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FC St. Gallen win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 51%. Goals lean over 2.5 (67%), both teams to score points yes (67%).

📊 Key numbers

FC St. Gallen 51%Draw 26%Sheriff Tiraspol 24%
51%26%24%
51%
FC St. Gallen Win
67%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between FC St. Gallen and Sheriff Tiraspol. Wins shown from FC St. Gallen’s perspective: FC St. Gallen 2.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-08-13 FC St. Gallen 5 – 1 Sheriff Tiraspol W
2026-08-06 Sheriff Tiraspol 1 – 3 FC St. Gallen W

📈 Recent form

FC St. Gallen

FC St. Gallen come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at FC Basel 1893. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at FC Lugano.

  • WFC Basel 1893 1-3 FC St. GallenSuper League
  • LFC Lugano 4-1 FC St. GallenSuper League
  • LFC St. Gallen 0-3 FC SionSuper League
  • WServette FC 0-2 FC St. GallenSuper League
  • LGrasshoppers 2-0 FC St. GallenSuper League
Sheriff Tiraspol

Sheriff Tiraspol come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 15 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 7-0 at home to CSF Bălți. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Zimbru.

  • WSheriff Tiraspol 7-0 CSF BălțiSuper Liga
  • WMilsami Orhei 0-1 Sheriff TiraspolSuper Liga
  • DSheriff Tiraspol 2-2 PetrocubSuper Liga
  • LZimbru 2-1 Sheriff TiraspolSuper Liga
  • WSheriff Tiraspol 4-0 Politehnica UTMSuper Liga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC St. Gallen at 51% to win and Sheriff Tiraspol at 24%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a FC St. Gallen win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
FC St. Gallen Win 51% 71% @ 1.30
Draw 26% 19% @ 5.00
Sheriff Tiraspol Win 24% 10% @ 9.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC St. Gallen or Draw at 1.04 (76% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
FC St. Gallen or Draw 76% 90% @ 1.04
Sheriff Tiraspol or Draw 49% 29% @ 3.05

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 86% 78% @ 1.18
Over 2.5 67% 57% @ 1.60
Under 3.5 55% 63% @ 1.45
Over 3.5 45% 37% @ 2.50
Under 2.5 33% 43% @ 2.14
Under 1.5 14% 22% @ 4.20

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 67%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 67% 47% @ 1.95
BTTS No 33% 53% @ 1.73

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC St. Gallen vs Sheriff Tiraspol?

Our model's main pick is both teams to score at odds 1.95, with a 67% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 47%.

Who is the favourite for FC St. Gallen vs Sheriff Tiraspol?

Our model makes a FC St. Gallen win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.6 scoreline for FC St. Gallen vs Sheriff Tiraspol.

What is the predicted score for FC St. Gallen vs Sheriff Tiraspol?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.80 for FC St. Gallen and 1.65 for Sheriff Tiraspol. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC St. Gallen and Sheriff Tiraspol play?

Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.