FK Crvena Zvezda

Thu 20 Aug3-0Finished

Plzen

⚽ UEFA Europa League

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 20 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: FK Crvena Zvezda 3-0 Plzen

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen finished 3-0. FK Crvena Zvezda won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

FK Crvena Zvezda face Plzen in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 20 August 2026, 18:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, FK Crvena Zvezda won 1, Plzen won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 35%, projecting a 0.7-0.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.46

94%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.74 – 0.73 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	23.0%	16.8%	6.1%	1.5%	0.3%
1	17.0%	12.4%	4.5%	1.1%	0.2%
2	6.3%	4.6%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
3	1.6%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
4	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Projected score: 0-0

FK Crvena Zvezda winDrawPlzen win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.46, with a 94% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 35%. Goals lean under 2.5 (82%), both teams to score points no (74%).

📊 Key numbers

FK Crvena Zvezda 34%Draw 35%Plzen 31%

34%35%31%

35%

Draw

82%

Under 2.5 goals

74%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between FK Crvena Zvezda and Plzen. Wins shown from FK Crvena Zvezda’s perspective: FK Crvena Zvezda 1 · Plzen 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-27	Plzen	4 – 1	FK Crvena Zvezda	L
2026-08-20	FK Crvena Zvezda	3 – 0	Plzen	W

📈 Recent form

FK Crvena Zvezda

FK Crvena Zvezda come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Cukaricki. Their only defeat in that run was 1-4 at Plzen.

DRadnik Surdulica 0-0 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga
WFK Crvena Zvezda 2-1 FK PartizanSuper Liga
LPlzen 4-1 FK Crvena ZvezdaUEFA Europa League
WFK Crvena Zvezda 4-0 CukarickiSuper Liga
WFK Crvena Zvezda 3-0 PlzenUEFA Europa League

Plzen

Plzen come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Artis. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Slavia Praha.

LSlavia Praha 2-1 PlzenCzech Liga
LPlzen 0-3 Union St. GilloiseUEFA Europa League
LPlzen 2-3 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
DHradec Králové 0-0 PlzenCzech Liga
WArtis 0-3 PlzenCzech Liga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FK Crvena Zvezda at 34% to win and Plzen at 31%, with the draw at 35%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Draw	35%	24%	@ 3.85
FK Crvena Zvezda Win	34%	56%	@ 1.63
Plzen Win	31%	20%	@ 4.60

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FK Crvena Zvezda or Draw at 1.15 (65% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FK Crvena Zvezda or Draw	65%	80%	@ 1.15
Plzen or Draw	62%	44%	@ 2.08

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.7-0.7 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 82% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	94%	63%	@ 1.46
Under 2.5	82%	42%	@ 2.17
Under 1.5	57%	22%	@ 4.20
Over 1.5	43%	78%	@ 1.17
Over 2.5	18%	58%	@ 1.58
Over 3.5	6%	37%	@ 2.45

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 74%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	74%	44%	@ 2.10
BTTS Yes	26%	56%	@ 1.62

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when FK Crvena Zvezda or Plzen is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Plzen +2	88%	79%	@ 1.19
Plzen +1.75	85%	74%	@ 1.28
Plzen +1.5	82%	–	@ 1.40
Plzen +1.25	77%	64%	@ 1.49
Plzen +1	72%	58%	@ 1.62
FK Crvena Zvezda +0.75	70%	83%	1.15
Plzen +0.75	67%	51%	@ 1.87
FK Crvena Zvezda +0.5	65%	–	1.21
Plzen +0.5	62%	44%	@ 2.11
FK Crvena Zvezda +0.25	58%	75%	1.26
Plzen +0.25	55%	38%	@ 2.50
FK Crvena Zvezda 0	52%	71%	1.32
Plzen 0	48%	29%	@ 3.28
FK Crvena Zvezda -0.25	45%	62%	1.51
Plzen -0.25	42%	25%	@ 3.71
FK Crvena Zvezda -0.5	38%	56%	1.69
FK Crvena Zvezda -0.75	33%	49%	1.95
Plzen -0.75	30%	17%	@ 5.50
FK Crvena Zvezda -1	28%	42%	2.27
FK Crvena Zvezda -1.25	23%	36%	2.60
FK Crvena Zvezda -1.75	15%	26%	3.62
FK Crvena Zvezda -2	12%	21%	4.50

📈 How the market moved

FK Crvena Zvezda 55%Draw 24%Plzen 21%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.46, with a 94% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 63%.

Who is the favourite for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen?

Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 35%. It projects an expected 0.7-0.7 scoreline for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen.

What is the predicted score for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-0, based on expected goals of 0.74 for FK Crvena Zvezda and 0.73 for Plzen. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FK Crvena Zvezda and Plzen play?

Kick-off is Thursday 20 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.