FK Tobol Kostanay
FK Partizan⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League
FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.
Result: FK Tobol Kostanay 1-2 FK Partizan
FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan finished 1-2. FK Partizan won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
FK Tobol Kostanay face FK Partizan in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 15:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, FK Partizan won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FK Partizan win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 0.7-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.3% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| 2 | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FK Partizan win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean under 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points no (71%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between FK Tobol Kostanay and FK Partizan. Wins shown from FK Tobol Kostanay’s perspective: FK Partizan 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | FK Tobol Kostanay | 1 – 2 | FK Partizan | L |
| 2026-08-06 | FK Partizan | 3 – 0 | FK Tobol Kostanay | L |
📈 Recent form
FK Tobol Kostanay come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at Kairat Almaty. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Yelimay Semey.
- LFK Tobol Kostanay 0-2 Yelimay SemeyPremier League
- WKairat Almaty 1-4 FK Tobol KostanayPremier League
- WFK Tobol Kostanay 3-1 UlytauPremier League
- LKaspiy 1-0 FK Tobol KostanayPremier League
- WIrtysh 0-2 FK Tobol KostanayPremier League
FK Partizan come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Getafe. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at FK Crvena Zvezda.
- DRadnik Surdulica 4-4 FK PartizanSuper Liga
- LFK Crvena Zvezda 2-1 FK PartizanSuper Liga
- WFK Partizan 2-1 GetafeUEFA Europa Conference
- LMladost Lucani 3-1 FK PartizanSuper Liga
- LGetafe 3-1 FK PartizanUEFA Europa Conference
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices FK Tobol Kostanay at 30% to win and FK Partizan at 46%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a FK Partizan win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| FK Partizan Win | 46% | 43% | @ 2.12 |
| FK Tobol Kostanay Win | 30% | 31% | @ 3.00 |
| Draw | 24% | 26% | @ 3.55 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FK Partizan or Draw at 1.32 (71% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| FK Partizan or Draw | 71% | 69% | @ 1.32 |
| FK Tobol Kostanay or Draw | 55% | 57% | @ 1.62 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.7-1.7 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 58% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 78% | 65% | @ 1.40 |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 76% | @ 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 | 58% | 45% | @ 2.02 |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 55% | @ 1.67 |
| Under 1.5 | 31% | 24% | @ 3.85 |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 35% | @ 2.65 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 71%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 71% | 42% | @ 2.20 |
| BTTS Yes | 29% | 58% | @ 1.57 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when FK Tobol Kostanay or FK Partizan is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| FK Partizan +1.5 | 88% | – | 1.11 |
| FK Tobol Kostanay +2 | 85% | 86% | 1.10 |
| FK Partizan +1.25 | 84% | 83% | 1.15 |
| FK Tobol Kostanay +1.75 | 81% | 83% | 1.15 |
| FK Partizan +1 | 80% | 81% | 1.17 |
| FK Tobol Kostanay +1.5 | 78% | – | 1.22 |
| FK Partizan +0.75 | 75% | 74% | 1.27 |
| FK Tobol Kostanay +1.25 | 72% | 75% | 1.26 |
| FK Partizan +0.5 | 71% | 68% | 1.37 |
| FK Tobol Kostanay +1 | 67% | 72% | 1.30 |
| FK Partizan +0.25 | 64% | 63% | 1.48 |
| FK Tobol Kostanay +0.75 | 61% | 63% | 1.48 |
| FK Partizan 0 | 58% | 57% | 1.64 |
| FK Tobol Kostanay +0.5 | 55% | 57% | 1.64 |
| FK Partizan -0.25 | 51% | 49% | 1.95 |
| FK Tobol Kostanay +0.25 | 49% | 51% | 1.85 |
| FK Partizan -0.5 | 45% | 43% | 2.16 |
| FK Tobol Kostanay 0 | 42% | 43% | 2.18 |
| FK Partizan -0.75 | 39% | 37% | 2.56 |
| FK Tobol Kostanay -0.25 | 36% | 37% | 2.56 |
| FK Partizan -1 | 33% | 28% | @ 3.33 |
| FK Tobol Kostanay -0.5 | 29% | 32% | 2.89 |
| FK Partizan -1.25 | 28% | 25% | @ 3.70 |
| FK Tobol Kostanay -0.75 | 25% | 26% | 3.55 |
| FK Tobol Kostanay -1 | 20% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
| FK Partizan -1.75 | 19% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| FK Tobol Kostanay -1.25 | 16% | 17% | 5.50 |
| FK Partizan -2 | 15% | 14% | @ 6.80 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan?
Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 65%.
Who is the favourite for FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan?
Our model makes a FK Partizan win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 0.7-1.7 scoreline for FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan.
What is the predicted score for FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.71 for FK Tobol Kostanay and 1.67 for FK Partizan. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do FK Tobol Kostanay and FK Partizan play?
Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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