vs
⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League
FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.
FK Tobol Kostanay face FK Partizan in the UEFA Europa Conference League, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 15:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FK Partizan win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 0.7-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.3% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| 2 | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is both teams not to score at odds 2.17, the selection our model is most confident in at 71%. On the match result, the model rates a FK Partizan win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean under 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points no (71%).
📊 Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices FK Tobol Kostanay at 30% to win and FK Partizan at 46%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a FK Partizan win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| FK Partizan Win | 46% | 2.19 | +0.5% |
| FK Tobol Kostanay Win | 30% | 2.93 | -10.6% |
| Draw | 24% | 3.37 | -20.2% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FK Partizan or Draw at 1.34 (71% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| FK Partizan or Draw | 71% | 1.34 | -5.0% |
| FK Tobol Kostanay or Draw | 55% | 1.60 | -11.7% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.7-1.7 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 58% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 | 31% | 3.88 | +21.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 58% | 2.02 | +16.1% |
| Under 3.5 | 78% | 1.39 | +9.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 1.23 | -15.7% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 1.74 | -26.0% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 2.77 | -39.8% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 71%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 71% | 2.17 | +55.0% |
| BTTS Yes | 29% | 1.61 | -53.8% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when FK Tobol Kostanay or FK Partizan is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| FK Partizan -1 | 33% | 3.33 | +11.1% |
| FK Partizan -2 | 15% | 6.80 | +3.8% |
| FK Tobol Kostanay -1 | 20% | 5.00 | +2.6% |
| FK Partizan -1.25 | 28% | 3.70 | +2.4% |
| FK Partizan -1.75 | 19% | 5.50 | +2.4% |
| FK Partizan -0.75 | 39% | 2.56 | +-0.0% |
| FK Partizan -0.25 | 51% | 1.95 | -0.4% |
| FK Partizan +1.5 | 88% | 1.11 | -1.5% |
| FK Partizan +0.5 | 71% | 1.37 | -3.2% |
| FK Partizan +1.25 | 84% | 1.15 | -3.5% |
| FK Partizan -0.5 | 45% | 2.16 | -3.5% |
| FK Partizan +0.75 | 75% | 1.27 | -4.7% |
| FK Tobol Kostanay +1.5 | 78% | 1.22 | -4.8% |
| FK Partizan +0.25 | 64% | 1.48 | -5.3% |
| FK Partizan 0 | 58% | 1.64 | -5.5% |
| FK Tobol Kostanay +1.75 | 81% | 1.15 | -6.4% |
| FK Tobol Kostanay +2 | 85% | 1.10 | -6.8% |
| FK Partizan +1 | 80% | 1.17 | -7.0% |
| FK Tobol Kostanay 0 | 42% | 2.18 | -7.7% |
| FK Tobol Kostanay -0.25 | 36% | 2.56 | -8.5% |
| FK Tobol Kostanay +1.25 | 72% | 1.26 | -8.9% |
| FK Tobol Kostanay +0.5 | 55% | 1.64 | -9.2% |
| FK Tobol Kostanay +0.25 | 49% | 1.85 | -9.8% |
| FK Tobol Kostanay +0.75 | 61% | 1.48 | -9.8% |
| FK Tobol Kostanay -1.25 | 16% | 5.50 | -11.4% |
| FK Tobol Kostanay -0.75 | 25% | 3.55 | -11.5% |
| FK Tobol Kostanay +1 | 67% | 1.30 | -13.0% |
| FK Tobol Kostanay -0.5 | 29% | 2.89 | -15.2% |
🔬 How our AI model reached this pick
| Model | Match result | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Poisson | Home | 45% |
| Dixon-Coles | Away | 87% |
| GradientBoosting | Away | 39% |
Two of our three models agree; the third sees it differently. A reasonable but not maximal signal.
Expected goals: 1.14 for the home side, 1.47 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 0-2 (20%), 0-3 (17%), 0-1 (16%).
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan?
Our main pick is both teams not to score at odds 2.17, with 71% model confidence.
Who is the favourite for FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan?
Our model makes a FK Partizan win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 0.7-1.7 scoreline for FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan.
What is the predicted score for FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.71 for FK Tobol Kostanay and 1.67 for FK Partizan. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do FK Tobol Kostanay and FK Partizan play?
Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
