Sun 30 Aug3-0Finished

⚽ Brazilian Série A

Flamengo vs Botafogo Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Flamengo vs Botafogo in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Flamengo 3-0 Botafogo

Flamengo vs Botafogo finished 3-0. Flamengo won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Flamengo face Botafogo in the upcoming Brazilian Série A tips, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Flamengo have 2 wins from their last 5, while Botafogo have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Flamengo won 2, Botafogo won 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Flamengo win the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 1.7-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Flamengo vs Botafogo with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Botafogo +2 @ 1.35

84%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.69 – 1.24 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.3%	6.6%	4.1%	1.7%	0.5%
1	9.0%	11.2%	6.9%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.6%	9.5%	5.9%	2.4%	0.8%
3	4.3%	5.3%	3.3%	1.4%	0.4%
4	1.8%	2.3%	1.4%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Flamengo winDrawBotafogo win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Flamengo vs Botafogo comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Botafogo with a +2 start at odds 1.35, with a 84% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Flamengo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (57%).

📊 Key numbers

Flamengo 45%Draw 28%Botafogo 27%

45%28%27%

45%

Flamengo Win

56%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Flamengo and Botafogo. Wins shown from Flamengo’s perspective: Flamengo 2 · Botafogo 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-30	Flamengo	3 – 0	Botafogo	W
2024-08-18	Botafogo	4 – 1	Flamengo	L
2024-04-28	Flamengo	0 – 2	Botafogo	L
2023-09-03	Botafogo	1 – 2	Flamengo	W
2023-04-30	Flamengo	2 – 3	Botafogo	L

📈 Recent form

Flamengo

Flamengo come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Independiente del Valle. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WFlamengo 2-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
DFlamengo 1-1 Independiente del ValleCONMEBOL Libertadores
WFlamengo 2-1 CorinthiansBrazilian Série A
WIndependiente del Valle 0-2 FlamengoCONMEBOL Libertadores
WRemo 0-1 FlamengoBrazilian Série A

Botafogo

Botafogo come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Grêmio. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Mirassol.

LMirassol 2-0 BotafogoBrazilian Série A
WBotafogo 3-2 GrêmioBrazilian Série A
DBotafogo 1-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
DBotafogo 0-0 PalmeirasBrazilian Série A
LFlamengo 3-0 BotafogoBrazilian Série A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Flamengo

Alex SandroCalf Injury
Bruno HenriqueSuspended (cards)
EvertonIllness
VitaoMuscle Injury
N. de la CruzMuscle Injury

Botafogo

Kaio PantaleaoKnee Injury
J. BarreraInjury
PaulinhoInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Flamengo at 45% to win and Botafogo at 27%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Flamengo win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Flamengo Win	45%	65%	@ 1.43
Draw	28%	21%	@ 4.35
Botafogo Win	27%	13%	@ 7.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Flamengo or Draw at 1.09 (72% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Flamengo or Draw	72%	87%	@ 1.09
Botafogo or Draw	54%	35%	@ 2.75

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	79%	78%	@ 1.21
Under 3.5	66%	66%	@ 1.42
Over 2.5	56%	55%	@ 1.73
Under 2.5	44%	45%	@ 2.10
Over 3.5	34%	34%	@ 2.80
Under 1.5	21%	22%	@ 4.25

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	57%	50%	@ 1.86
BTTS No	43%	50%	@ 1.84

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Flamengo or Botafogo is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Botafogo +2	84%	70%	@ 1.35
Botafogo +1.75	80%	62%	@ 1.52
Botafogo +1.5	77%	56%	@ 1.67
Flamengo +0.5	72%	86%	1.10
Botafogo +1.25	71%	50%	@ 1.93
Flamengo +0.25	66%	85%	1.12
Botafogo +1	65%	42%	@ 2.23
Botafogo +0.75	59%	37%	@ 2.58
Flamengo 0	59%	83%	1.14
Botafogo +0.5	54%	33%	@ 2.84
Flamengo -0.25	53%	74%	1.27
Botafogo +0.25	47%	26%	@ 3.69
Flamengo -0.5	46%	67%	1.40
Flamengo -0.75	41%	63%	1.50
Botafogo 0	41%	17%	@ 5.75
Flamengo -1	35%	58%	1.64
Botafogo -0.25	34%	15%	@ 6.40
Flamengo -1.25	29%	50%	1.93
Botafogo -0.5	28%	14%	@ 7.00
Flamengo -1.5	23%	44%	2.14
Flamengo -1.75	20%	38%	2.50
Flamengo -2	16%	30%	3.19

📈 How the market moved

Flamengo 66%Draw 21%Botafogo 13%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Flamengo vs Botafogo?

Our model's main pick is Botafogo with a +2 start at odds 1.35, with a 84% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

Who is the favourite for Flamengo vs Botafogo?

Our model makes a Flamengo win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline for Flamengo vs Botafogo.

What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Botafogo?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.69 for Flamengo and 1.24 for Botafogo. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Flamengo and Botafogo play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.