Sun 23 Aug0-1Finished

⚽ Serie A

Frosinone vs Juventus Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Frosinone vs Juventus in the Serie A. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Frosinone 0-1 Juventus

Frosinone vs Juventus finished 0-1. Juventus won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Frosinone face Juventus in the upcoming Serie A tips, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 16:30 UTC. In their last 3 meetings, Juventus won 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Juventus win the most likely result at 59%, projecting a 1.3-2.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Frosinone vs Juventus with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Frosinone +2 @ 1.32

74%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.27 – 2.42 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.5%	6.0%	7.3%	5.9%	3.6%
1	3.2%	7.7%	9.3%	7.5%	4.5%
2	2.0%	4.9%	5.9%	4.8%	2.9%
3	0.9%	2.1%	2.5%	2.0%	1.2%
4	0.3%	0.7%	0.8%	0.6%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-2

Frosinone winDrawJuventus win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Frosinone vs Juventus comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Frosinone with a +2 start at odds 1.32, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Juventus win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 59%. Goals lean over 2.5 (71%), both teams to score points yes (64%).

📊 Key numbers

Frosinone 17%Draw 24%Juventus 59%

17%24%59%

59%

Juventus Win

71%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Frosinone and Juventus. Wins shown from Frosinone’s perspective: Juventus 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-23	Frosinone	0 – 1	Juventus	L
2024-02-25	Juventus	3 – 2	Frosinone	L
2023-12-23	Frosinone	1 – 2	Juventus	L

📈 Recent form

Frosinone

Frosinone come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Fiorentina. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WFrosinone 2-0 ComoSerie A
DGenoa 1-1 FrosinoneSerie A
WFrosinone 3-2 VeneziaSerie A
DSassuolo 1-1 FrosinoneCoppa Italia
WFiorentina 0-3 FrosinoneSerie A

Juventus

Juventus come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to NEC Nijmegen. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Sassuolo.

WJuventus 2-0 AtalantaSerie A
WJuventus 5-0 NEC NijmegenUEFA Europa League
LSassuolo 3-2 JuventusSerie A
DJuventus 1-1 AC MilanSerie A
WJuventus 2-0 ParmaSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Frosinone

F. GrillitschLacking Match Fitness

Juventus

J. EkhatorMuscle Injury
F. GattiInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Frosinone at 17% to win and Juventus at 59%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Juventus win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Juventus Win	59%	66%	@ 1.41
Draw	24%	21%	@ 4.35
Frosinone Win	17%	12%	@ 7.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Juventus or Draw at 1.08 (82% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Juventus or Draw	82%	88%	@ 1.08
Frosinone or Draw	40%	34%	@ 2.80

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-2.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 71% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	88%	76%	@ 1.23
Over 2.5	71%	53%	@ 1.79
Over 3.5	50%	32%	@ 2.95
Under 3.5	50%	68%	@ 1.38
Under 2.5	29%	47%	@ 2.02
Under 1.5	12%	24%	@ 3.95

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	64%	47%	@ 1.98
BTTS No	36%	53%	@ 1.77

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Frosinone or Juventus is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Juventus +0.5	82%	86%	1.09
Juventus +0.25	77%	84%	1.12
Frosinone +2	74%	72%	1.32
Juventus 0	71%	83%	1.15
Frosinone +1.75	69%	64%	@ 1.49
Juventus -0.25	66%	73%	1.31
Frosinone +1.5	65%	57%	@ 1.65
Juventus -0.5	60%	66%	1.43
Frosinone +1.25	58%	53%	@ 1.83
Juventus -0.75	54%	61%	1.57
Frosinone +1	52%	45%	@ 2.12
Juventus -1	48%	55%	1.74
Frosinone +0.75	46%	39%	@ 2.44
Juventus -1.25	42%	47%	2.04
Frosinone +0.5	40%	34%	@ 2.78
Juventus -1.5	35%	43%	2.23
Frosinone +0.25	34%	27%	@ 3.53
Juventus -1.75	31%	36%	2.68
Frosinone 0	29%	17%	@ 5.50
Juventus -2	26%	28%	3.42
Frosinone -0.25	23%	16%	@ 6.00
Frosinone -0.5	18%	14%	@ 6.55

📈 How the market moved

Frosinone 13%Draw 22%Juventus 66%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Frosinone vs Juventus?

Our model's main pick is Frosinone with a +2 start at odds 1.32, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.

Who is the favourite for Frosinone vs Juventus?

Our model makes a Juventus win the most likely result at 59%. It projects an expected 1.3-2.4 scoreline for Frosinone vs Juventus.

What is the predicted score for Frosinone vs Juventus?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.27 for Frosinone and 2.42 for Juventus. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Frosinone and Juventus play?

Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.