Sat 29 Aug0-0Finished

⚽ Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 13:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: FSV Mainz 05 0-0 SC Paderborn 07

FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, SC Paderborn 07 Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at 1.33, landed.

FSV Mainz 05 face SC Paderborn 07 in the upcoming Bundesliga tips, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 13:30 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a SC Paderborn 07 win the most likely result at 43%, projecting a 1.5-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

SC Paderborn 07 Asian Handicap +1.75 @ 1.33

91%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.49 – 1.31 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	8.0%	5.2%	2.3%	0.7%
1	9.1%	11.9%	7.8%	3.4%	1.1%
2	6.8%	8.8%	5.8%	2.5%	0.8%
3	3.4%	4.4%	2.9%	1.3%	0.4%
4	1.2%	1.6%	1.1%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

FSV Mainz 05 winDrawSC Paderborn 07 win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is SC Paderborn 07 Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.33, with a 91% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a SC Paderborn 07 win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 43%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (57%).

📊 Key numbers

FSV Mainz 05 24%Draw 33%SC Paderborn 07 43%

24%33%43%

43%

SC Paderborn 07 Win

53%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 19 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 9-0 at Krieschow. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at home to Eintracht Frankfurt.

WBorussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
LFSV Mainz 05 1-3 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
WHamburger SV 0-5 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
DFSV Mainz 05 0-0 SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga
WKrieschow 0-9 FSV Mainz 05DFB Pokal

SC Paderborn 07

SC Paderborn 07 come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Hoffenheim. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Borussia Dortmund.

WSC Paderborn 07 3-1 HoffenheimBundesliga
LBorussia Dortmund 3-0 SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga
LSC Paderborn 07 0-1 SC FreiburgBundesliga
DFSV Mainz 05 0-0 SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga
WPhönix Lübeck 2-4 SC Paderborn 07DFB Pokal

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

FSV Mainz 05

B. HollerbachLacking Match Fitness
E. MartelKnee Injury
P. NebelMuscle Injury
SilasBroken shinbone

SC Paderborn 07

N. Awortwie-GrantKnee Injury
L. EickelNot in squad
T. GayretKnee Injury
S. MichelMuscle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FSV Mainz 05 at 24% to win and SC Paderborn 07 at 43%, with the draw at 33%. Our model makes a SC Paderborn 07 win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
SC Paderborn 07 Win	43%	20%	@ 4.75
Draw	33%	25%	@ 3.80
FSV Mainz 05 Win	24%	56%	@ 1.67

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is SC Paderborn 07 or Draw at 2.14 (72% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
SC Paderborn 07 or Draw	72%	44%	@ 2.14
FSV Mainz 05 or Draw	53%	80%	@ 1.17

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	77%	78%	@ 1.20
Under 3.5	69%	65%	@ 1.45
Over 2.5	53%	55%	@ 1.70
Under 2.5	47%	45%	@ 2.12
Over 3.5	31%	35%	@ 2.75
Under 1.5	23%	22%	@ 4.35

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	57%	56%	@ 1.67
BTTS No	43%	44%	@ 2.10

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when FSV Mainz 05 or SC Paderborn 07 is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
SC Paderborn 07 +2	93%	78%	@ 1.21
SC Paderborn 07 +1.75	91%	71%	@ 1.33
SC Paderborn 07 +1.5	89%	65%	@ 1.45
SC Paderborn 07 +1.25	85%	60%	@ 1.59
SC Paderborn 07 +1	81%	55%	@ 1.72
SC Paderborn 07 +0.75	77%	47%	@ 2.04
SC Paderborn 07 +0.5	72%	42%	@ 2.23
SC Paderborn 07 +0.25	66%	35%	@ 2.75
SC Paderborn 07 0	60%	25%	@ 3.79
FSV Mainz 05 +0.75	59%	85%	1.12
SC Paderborn 07 -0.25	53%	22%	@ 4.33
FSV Mainz 05 +0.5	53%	80%	1.18
SC Paderborn 07 -0.5	47%	20%	@ 4.58
FSV Mainz 05 +0.25	47%	78%	1.23
SC Paderborn 07 -0.75	41%	15%	@ 6.40
FSV Mainz 05 0	40%	75%	1.27
FSV Mainz 05 -0.25	34%	65%	1.47
FSV Mainz 05 -0.5	28%	58%	1.64
FSV Mainz 05 -0.75	23%	53%	1.83
FSV Mainz 05 -1	19%	45%	2.12
FSV Mainz 05 -1.25	15%	40%	2.41
FSV Mainz 05 -1.5	11%	35%	2.72
FSV Mainz 05 -1.75	9%	29%	3.35
FSV Mainz 05 -2	7%	22%	4.25

📈 How the market moved

FSV Mainz 05 57%Draw 24%SC Paderborn 07 19%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07?

Our model's main pick is SC Paderborn 07 Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.33, with a 91% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07?

Our model makes a SC Paderborn 07 win the most likely result at 43%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline for FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07.

What is the predicted score for FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.49 for FSV Mainz 05 and 1.31 for SC Paderborn 07. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FSV Mainz 05 and SC Paderborn 07 play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 13:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.