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⚽ Jupiler Pro League

Genk vs Kortrijk Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Genk vs Kortrijk in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Saturday 10 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Genk face Kortrijk in the Jupiler Pro League, kicking off Saturday 10 October 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Genk have 1 win from their last 5, while Kortrijk have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Genk won 3, Kortrijk won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Genk win the most likely result at 70%, projecting a 2.1-0.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Genk vs Kortrijk with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.53

70%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.07 – 0.67 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.5%	4.3%	1.4%	0.3%	0.1%
1	13.4%	9.0%	3.0%	0.7%	0.1%
2	13.8%	9.3%	3.1%	0.7%	0.1%
3	9.5%	6.4%	2.1%	0.5%	0.1%
4	4.9%	3.3%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%

Projected score: 2-0

Genk winDrawKortrijk win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Genk vs Kortrijk comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 70% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Genk win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 70%. Goals lean over 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points no (58%).

📊 Key numbers

Genk 70%Draw 19%Kortrijk 11%

70%19%11%

70%

Genk Win

52%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Genk and Kortrijk. Wins shown from Genk’s perspective: Genk 3 · Kortrijk 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2024-12-07	Genk	3 – 2	Kortrijk	W
2024-10-05	Kortrijk	2 – 1	Genk	L
2023-12-17	Genk	4 – 0	Kortrijk	W
2023-10-29	Kortrijk	0 – 3	Genk	W

📈 Recent form

Genk

Genk come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to SK Beveren. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Fortuna Sittard.

LGenk 1-2 Fortuna SittardFriendlies Clubs
LClub Brugge KV 3-0 GenkJupiler Pro League
DGenk 1-1 GentJupiler Pro League
DAnderlecht 0-0 GenkJupiler Pro League
WGenk 4-0 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League

Kortrijk

Kortrijk come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to SK Beveren. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at RAAL La Louvière.

DHeist 2-2 KortrijkCup
WKortrijk 1-0 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
LRAAL La Louvière 3-0 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
LKortrijk 0-2 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
LAnderlecht 1-0 KortrijkJupiler Pro League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Genk at 70% to win and Kortrijk at 11%, with the draw at 19%. Our model makes a Genk win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Genk Win	70%	64%	@ 1.42
Draw	19%	20%	@ 4.50
Kortrijk Win	11%	15%	@ 6.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Genk or Draw at 1.12 (88% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Genk or Draw	88%	85%	@ 1.12
Kortrijk or Draw	30%	36%	@ 2.75

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-0.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	76%	81%	@ 1.17
Under 3.5	70%	61%	@ 1.53
Over 2.5	52%	60%	@ 1.57
Under 2.5	48%	40%	@ 2.35
Over 3.5	30%	39%	@ 2.38
Under 1.5	24%	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 58%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	58%	47%	@ 2.00
BTTS Yes	42%	53%	@ 1.75

📈 How the market moved

Genk 65%Draw 21%Kortrijk 14%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Genk vs Kortrijk?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 70% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 61%.

Who is the favourite for Genk vs Kortrijk?

Our model makes a Genk win the most likely result at 70%. It projects an expected 2.1-0.7 scoreline for Genk vs Kortrijk.

What is the predicted score for Genk vs Kortrijk?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.07 for Genk and 0.67 for Kortrijk. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Genk and Kortrijk play?

Kick-off is Saturday 10 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.