⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

Gent vs Hibernian Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Gent vs Hibernian in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 20 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Gent face Hibernian in the UEFA Europa Conference League, kicking off Thursday 20 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Gent win the most likely result at 57%, projecting a 1.8-0.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Gent vs Hibernian with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.45

75%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.82 – 0.72 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.9%	5.7%	2.0%	0.5%	0.1%
1	14.4%	10.3%	3.7%	0.9%	0.2%
2	13.1%	9.4%	3.4%	0.8%	0.1%
3	7.9%	5.7%	2.1%	0.5%	0.1%
4	3.6%	2.6%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Gent winDrawHibernian win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Gent vs Hibernian is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.45, the selection our model is most confident in at 75%. On the match result, the model rates a Gent win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 57%. Goals lean under 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points no (58%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is both teams not to score at odds 2.00 (+15.5% model value).

Best value

BTTS No at odds 2.00, 58% model probability, +15.5% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Gent 57%Draw 30%Hibernian 14%

57%30%14%

57%

Gent Win

53%

Under 2.5 goals

58%

BTTS no

+15.5%

Best value: BTTS No

📈 Recent form

Gent

Gent come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to KV Mechelen.

WRAAL La Louvière 1-2 GentJupiler Pro League
DGent 1-1 IFK GoteborgUEFA Europa Conference
WGent 2-0 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
WIFK Goteborg 0-1 GentUEFA Europa Conference
DGent 0-0 LNZ CherkasyUEFA Europa Conference

Hibernian

Hibernian come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Partick. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Motherwell.

WHibernian 1-0 PartickLeague Cup
DShkendija 0-0 HibernianUEFA Europa Conference
WRangers 1-2 HibernianPremiership
WHibernian 2-1 ShkendijaUEFA Europa Conference
LHibernian 1-2 MotherwellPremiership

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Gent at 57% to win and Hibernian at 14%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Gent win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	30%	@ 4.00	+18.9%
Gent Win	57%	@ 1.53	-13.1%
Hibernian Win	14%	@ 5.90	-20.6%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Hibernian or Draw at 2.40 (39% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Hibernian or Draw	39%	@ 2.40	-5.4%
Gent or Draw	83%	@ 1.12	-7.5%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-0.7 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	28%	@ 4.20	+17.3%
Under 2.5	53%	@ 2.15	+14.7%
Under 3.5	75%	@ 1.45	+8.6%
Over 1.5	72%	@ 1.22	-12.1%
Over 2.5	47%	@ 1.67	-22.1%
Over 3.5	25%	@ 2.70	-32.2%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 58%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	58%	@ 2.00	+15.5%
BTTS Yes	42%	@ 1.70	-28.2%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	71%
Dixon-Coles	Home	55%
GradientBoosting	Home	52%

All three of our models point the same way. This is our strongest confidence signal.

Expected goals: 1.88 for the home side, 0.89 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (11%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gent vs Hibernian?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.45, with 75% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is both teams not to score at 2.00 (+15.5% value).

Who is the favourite for Gent vs Hibernian?

Our model makes a Gent win the most likely result at 57%. It projects an expected 1.8-0.7 scoreline for Gent vs Hibernian.

What is the predicted score for Gent vs Hibernian?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.82 for Gent and 0.72 for Hibernian. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Gent and Hibernian play?

Kick-off is Thursday 20 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.