⚽ La Liga

Getafe vs Racing Santander Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Getafe vs Racing Santander in the La Liga. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 17:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Getafe face Racing Santander in the La Liga, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 17:30 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Racing Santander win the most likely result at 43%, projecting a 1.1-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Getafe vs Racing Santander with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Racing Santander or Draw @ 1.77

73%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.10 – 1.04 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.8%	12.2%	6.4%	2.2%	0.6%
1	12.9%	13.5%	7.0%	2.4%	0.6%
2	7.1%	7.4%	3.8%	1.3%	0.3%
3	2.6%	2.7%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%
4	0.7%	0.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-1

Getafe winDrawRacing Santander win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Getafe vs Racing Santander is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Racing Santander or Draw at odds 1.77, the selection our model is most confident in at 73%. On the match result, the model rates a Racing Santander win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 43%. Goals lean under 2.5 (64%), both teams to score points no (57%).

Best value

Racing Santander or Draw at odds 1.77, 73% model probability, +30.0% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Getafe 21%Draw 36%Racing Santander 43%

21%36%43%

43%

Racing Santander Win

64%

Under 2.5 goals

57%

BTTS no

+30.0%

Best value: Racing Santander or Draw

📈 Recent form

Getafe

Getafe come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to FK Partizan. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Alaves.

WGetafe 3-1 FK PartizanUEFA Europa Conference
LAlaves 3-0 GetafeLa Liga
DTottenham 1-1 GetafeFriendlies Clubs
LMonaco 1-0 GetafeFriendlies Clubs
LAtletico Madrid 4-1 GetafeFriendlies Clubs

Racing Santander

Racing Santander come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Sporting Gijon. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Wolves.

DRacing Santander 2-2 VillarrealLa Liga
WRacing Santander 4-1 Sporting GijonFriendlies Clubs
LWolves 3-0 Racing SantanderFriendlies Clubs
LRacing Santander 0-3 Athletic ClubFriendlies Clubs
LOsasuna 2-0 Racing SantanderFriendlies Clubs

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Getafe

JuanmiInjury
Kiko FemeniaSuspended (red card)
C. UcheKnee Injury

Racing Santander

Pedro FelipeHamstring Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Getafe at 21% to win and Racing Santander at 43%, with the draw at 36%. Our model makes a Racing Santander win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Racing Santander Win	43%	@ 4.30	+84.4%
Draw	36%	@ 2.94	+5.0%
Getafe Win	21%	@ 2.00	-57.2%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Racing Santander or Draw at 1.77 (73% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Racing Santander or Draw	73%	@ 1.77	+30.0%
Getafe or Draw	52%	@ 1.20	-37.7%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 64% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 2.5	36%	@ 2.90	+4.7%
Over 1.5	63%	@ 1.62	+2.2%
Over 3.5	17%	@ 6.00	+1.4%
Under 3.5	83%	@ 1.12	-6.9%
Under 2.5	64%	@ 1.40	-10.6%
Under 1.5	37%	@ 2.25	-16.9%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 57%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	43%	@ 2.38	+3.0%
BTTS No	57%	@ 1.53	-13.2%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	37%
GradientBoosting	Away	46%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.08 for the home side, 1.55 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 0-1 (12%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Getafe vs Racing Santander?

Our main pick is Racing Santander or Draw at odds 1.77, with 73% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Getafe vs Racing Santander?

Our model makes a Racing Santander win the most likely result at 43%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.0 scoreline for Getafe vs Racing Santander.

What is the predicted score for Getafe vs Racing Santander?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.10 for Getafe and 1.04 for Racing Santander. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Getafe and Racing Santander play?

Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 17:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.