Gornik Zabrze
Ferencváros⚽ UEFA Europa League
Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencváros Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencváros in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Result: Gornik Zabrze 1-1 Ferencváros
Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencváros finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Gornik Zabrze face Ferencváros in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Ferencváros won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.9-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencváros with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 8.6% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencváros comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Gornik Zabrze with a +0.75 start at odds 1.27, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (58%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Gornik Zabrze and Ferencváros. Wins shown from Gornik Zabrze’s perspective: 1 drawn · Ferencváros 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Gornik Zabrze | 1 – 1 | Ferencváros | D |
| 2026-08-05 | Ferencváros | 1 – 0 | Gornik Zabrze | L |
📈 Recent form
Gornik Zabrze come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Korona Kielce.
- DMotor Lublin 0-0 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
- WKorona Kielce 0-2 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
- WGornik Zabrze 2-1 Lech PoznanEkstraklasa
- WCracovia Krakow 0-1 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
- WRaków Częstochowa 1-2 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
Ferencváros come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 16 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 7-0 at DEAC. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- DNyiregyhaza 1-1 FerencvárosNB I
- WCeltic 1-3 FerencvárosUEFA Europa League
- WDEAC 0-7 FerencvárosMagyar Kupa
- DFerencváros 2-2 UjpestNB I
- WGyőri ETO 0-3 FerencvárosNB I
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Gornik Zabrze at 37% to win and Ferencváros at 23%, with the draw at 40%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 40% | 28% | @ 3.30 |
| Gornik Zabrze Win | 37% | 41% | @ 2.23 |
| Ferencváros Win | 23% | 31% | @ 3.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Gornik Zabrze or Draw at 1.32 (70% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gornik Zabrze or Draw | 70% | 69% | @ 1.32 |
| Ferencváros or Draw | 56% | 59% | @ 1.56 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 74% | @ 1.24 |
| Under 3.5 | 63% | 69% | @ 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 51% | @ 1.78 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 49% | @ 1.89 |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 31% | @ 2.95 |
| Under 1.5 | 19% | 26% | @ 3.55 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 57% | @ 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 42% | 43% | @ 2.12 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Gornik Zabrze or Ferencváros is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gornik Zabrze +1.75 | 90% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Gornik Zabrze +1.5 | 88% | – | 1.10 |
| Gornik Zabrze +1.25 | 83% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Ferencváros +1.75 | 82% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Gornik Zabrze +1 | 79% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Ferencváros +1.5 | 79% | – | 1.21 |
| Gornik Zabrze +0.75 | 74% | 74% | 1.27 |
| Ferencváros +1.25 | 73% | 77% | 1.24 |
| Gornik Zabrze +0.5 | 70% | 68% | 1.38 |
| Ferencváros +1 | 67% | 74% | 1.28 |
| Gornik Zabrze +0.25 | 63% | 63% | 1.50 |
| Ferencváros +0.75 | 62% | 65% | 1.46 |
| Gornik Zabrze 0 | 57% | 57% | 1.66 |
| Ferencváros +0.5 | 56% | 58% | 1.63 |
| Gornik Zabrze -0.25 | 50% | 48% | 1.99 |
| Ferencváros +0.25 | 50% | 52% | 1.83 |
| Gornik Zabrze -0.5 | 44% | 42% | 2.21 |
| Ferencváros 0 | 43% | 43% | 2.20 |
| Gornik Zabrze -0.75 | 38% | 35% | @ 2.68 |
| Ferencváros -0.25 | 37% | 37% | 2.58 |
| Gornik Zabrze -1 | 33% | 26% | @ 3.60 |
| Ferencváros -0.5 | 30% | 32% | 2.90 |
| Gornik Zabrze -1.25 | 27% | 23% | @ 4.04 |
| Ferencváros -0.75 | 26% | 26% | 3.65 |
| Ferencváros -1 | 21% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| Gornik Zabrze -1.75 | 18% | 15% | @ 6.25 |
| Ferencváros -1.25 | 17% | 16% | 5.90 |
| Ferencváros -1.75 | 10% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencváros?
Our model's main pick is Gornik Zabrze with a +0.75 start at odds 1.27, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.
Who is the favourite for Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencváros?
Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.1 scoreline for Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencváros.
What is the predicted score for Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencváros?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.92 for Gornik Zabrze and 1.15 for Ferencváros. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Gornik Zabrze and Ferencváros play?
Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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