Győri ETO

Thu 13 Aug1-1Finished

Riga

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

Győri ETO vs Riga Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Győri ETO vs Riga in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Győri ETO 1-1 Riga

Győri ETO vs Riga finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Győri ETO face Riga in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Riga won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Győri ETO win the most likely result at 43%, projecting a 1.6-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Győri ETO vs Riga with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.37

71%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.61 – 1.10 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.7%	7.3%	4.0%	1.5%	0.4%
1	10.7%	11.8%	6.5%	2.4%	0.7%
2	8.6%	9.5%	5.2%	1.9%	0.5%
3	4.6%	5.1%	2.8%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.9%	2.0%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Győri ETO winDrawRiga win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Győri ETO vs Riga comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.37, with a 71% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Győri ETO win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 43%. Goals lean over 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points no (53%).

📊 Key numbers

Győri ETO 43%Draw 29%Riga 28%

43%29%28%

43%

Győri ETO Win

51%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Győri ETO and Riga. Wins shown from Győri ETO’s perspective: 1 drawn · Riga 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-13	Győri ETO	1 – 1	Riga	D
2026-08-06	Riga	1 – 0	Győri ETO	L

📈 Recent form

Győri ETO

Győri ETO come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 8. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at Karcag SE. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at home to Ferencváros.

WMTK Budapest 1-2 Győri ETONB I
WKarcag SE 1-5 Győri ETOMagyar Kupa
WGyőri ETO 3-2 Budapest HonvedNB I
LGyőri ETO 0-3 FerencvárosNB I
DKisvarda FC 1-1 Győri ETONB I

Riga

Riga come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at FS Jelgava. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WFS Jelgava 0-1 RigaVirsliga
WSuper Nova 0-1 RigaVirsliga
DRiga 2-2 AudaVirsliga
DRiga 1-1 BFC DaugavpilsVirsliga
WRīgas FS 2-3 RigaCup

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Győri ETO at 43% to win and Riga at 28%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Győri ETO win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Győri ETO Win	43%	43%	@ 2.14
Draw	29%	27%	@ 3.40
Riga Win	28%	30%	@ 3.10

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Győri ETO or Draw at 1.30 (70% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Győri ETO or Draw	70%	70%	@ 1.30
Riga or Draw	56%	57%	@ 1.61

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	75%	@ 1.22
Under 3.5	71%	67%	@ 1.37
Over 2.5	51%	53%	@ 1.73
Under 2.5	49%	47%	@ 1.96
Over 3.5	29%	33%	@ 2.80
Under 1.5	25%	25%	@ 3.65

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	53%	43%	@ 2.15
BTTS Yes	47%	57%	@ 1.60

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Győri ETO vs Riga?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.37, with a 71% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 67%.

Who is the favourite for Győri ETO vs Riga?

Our model makes a Győri ETO win the most likely result at 43%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline for Győri ETO vs Riga.

What is the predicted score for Győri ETO vs Riga?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.61 for Győri ETO and 1.10 for Riga. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Győri ETO and Riga play?

Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.