vs
⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League
Hammarby FF vs Raków Częstochowa Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Hammarby FF vs Raków Częstochowa in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Result: Hammarby FF 0-1 Raków Częstochowa
Hammarby FF vs Raków Częstochowa finished 0-1. Raków Częstochowa won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Raków Częstochowa Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at 1.30, landed.
Hammarby FF face Raków Częstochowa in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Raków Częstochowa won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Raków Częstochowa win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 0.9-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Hammarby FF vs Raków Częstochowa with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.0% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| 2 | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Hammarby FF vs Raków Częstochowa is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Raków Częstochowa Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.30, the selection our model is most confident in at 85%. On the match result, the model rates a Raków Częstochowa win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points no (51%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Raków Częstochowa with a +0.25 start at odds 2.46 (+70.6% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Hammarby FF and Raków Częstochowa. Wins shown from Hammarby FF’s perspective: 1 drawn · Raków Częstochowa 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Hammarby FF | 0 – 1 | Raków Częstochowa | L |
| 2026-08-06 | Raków Częstochowa | 0 – 0 | Hammarby FF | D |
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Hammarby FF at 20% to win and Raków Częstochowa at 46%, with the draw at 34%. Our model makes a Raków Częstochowa win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raków Częstochowa Win | 46% | 4.35 | +101.8% |
| Draw | 34% | 3.75 | +26.9% |
| Hammarby FF Win | 20% | 1.68 | -66.8% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Raków Częstochowa or Draw at 2.10 (76% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raków Częstochowa or Draw | 76% | 2.10 | +58.9% |
| Hammarby FF or Draw | 49% | 1.14 | -44.0% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-1.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 | 28% | 4.20 | +18.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 2.20 | +18.0% |
| Under 3.5 | 75% | 1.48 | +11.2% |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 1.20 | -13.7% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 1.62 | -24.9% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 2.55 | -36.5% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 51%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 51% | 2.15 | +10.5% |
| BTTS Yes | 49% | 1.57 | -23.7% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Hammarby FF or Raków Częstochowa is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raków Częstochowa -0.75 | 45% | 5.75 | +158.2% |
| Raków Częstochowa 0 | 63% | 3.43 | +117.1% |
| Raków Częstochowa -0.5 | 51% | 4.22 | +115.1% |
| Raków Częstochowa -0.25 | 57% | 3.77 | +115.0% |
| Raków Częstochowa -1.5 | 27% | 7.00 | +88.4% |
| Raków Częstochowa +0.25 | 70% | 2.46 | +70.6% |
| Raków Częstochowa +0.5 | 76% | 2.08 | +57.4% |
| Raków Częstochowa +0.75 | 80% | 1.85 | +47.1% |
| Raków Częstochowa +1 | 83% | 1.59 | +33.0% |
| Raków Częstochowa +1.25 | 87% | 1.47 | +27.8% |
| Raków Częstochowa +1.5 | 91% | 1.38 | +25.4% |
| Raków Częstochowa +1.75 | 93% | 1.30 | +20.5% |
| Raków Częstochowa +2 | 94% | 1.18 | +11.2% |
| Hammarby FF +1.5 | 73% | 1.06 | -22.5% |
| Hammarby FF +0.75 | 55% | 1.14 | -37.2% |
| Hammarby FF +0.5 | 49% | 1.19 | -41.6% |
| Hammarby FF +0.25 | 43% | 1.25 | -46.2% |
| Hammarby FF 0 | 37% | 1.30 | -52.3% |
| Hammarby FF -0.25 | 30% | 1.52 | -53.6% |
| Hammarby FF -0.5 | 24% | 1.70 | -58.7% |
| Hammarby FF -0.75 | 20% | 1.97 | -59.7% |
| Hammarby FF -1 | 17% | 2.33 | -61.3% |
| Hammarby FF -1.25 | 13% | 2.63 | -66.4% |
| Hammarby FF -2 | 6% | 4.65 | -73.3% |
| Hammarby FF -1.75 | 7% | 3.45 | -74.7% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Hammarby FF vs Raków Częstochowa?
Our main pick is Raków Częstochowa Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.30, with 85% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Raków Częstochowa with a +0.25 start at 2.46 (+70.6% value).
Who is the favourite for Hammarby FF vs Raków Częstochowa?
Our model makes a Raków Częstochowa win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 0.9-1.6 scoreline for Hammarby FF vs Raków Częstochowa.
What is the predicted score for Hammarby FF vs Raków Częstochowa?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.94 for Hammarby FF and 1.59 for Raków Częstochowa. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Hammarby FF and Raków Częstochowa play?
Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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