Hammarby FF
Raków Częstochowa⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League
Hammarby FF vs Raków Częstochowa Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Hammarby FF vs Raków Częstochowa in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Result: Hammarby FF 0-1 Raków Częstochowa
Hammarby FF vs Raków Częstochowa finished 0-1. Raków Częstochowa won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Raków Częstochowa Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at 1.30, landed.
Hammarby FF face Raków Częstochowa in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Raków Częstochowa won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Raków Częstochowa win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 0.9-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Hammarby FF vs Raków Częstochowa with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.0% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| 2 | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Hammarby FF vs Raków Częstochowa comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Raków Częstochowa Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.30, with a 85% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Raków Częstochowa win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points no (51%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Hammarby FF and Raków Częstochowa. Wins shown from Hammarby FF’s perspective: 1 drawn · Raków Częstochowa 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Hammarby FF | 0 – 1 | Raków Częstochowa | L |
| 2026-08-06 | Raków Częstochowa | 0 – 0 | Hammarby FF | D |
📈 Recent form
Hammarby FF come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Stockholm Internazionale. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at AIK Stockholm.
- WDegerfors IF 0-1 Hammarby FFAllsvenskan
- WHammarby FF 3-1 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
- DOrgryte IS 1-1 Hammarby FFAllsvenskan
- LAIK Stockholm 3-2 Hammarby FFAllsvenskan
- WStockholm Internazionale 0-3 Hammarby FFSvenska Cupen
Raków Częstochowa come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Motor Lublin. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Korona Kielce.
- LKorona Kielce 3-2 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
- LRaków Częstochowa 2-3 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
- WRaków Częstochowa 2-1 Motor LublinEkstraklasa
- LLech Poznan 1-0 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
- LRaków Częstochowa 1-2 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Hammarby FF at 20% to win and Raków Częstochowa at 46%, with the draw at 34%. Our model makes a Raków Częstochowa win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raków Częstochowa Win | 46% | 20% | @ 4.70 |
| Draw | 34% | 25% | @ 3.70 |
| Hammarby FF Win | 20% | 55% | @ 1.67 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Raków Częstochowa or Draw at 2.04 (76% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raków Częstochowa or Draw | 76% | 45% | @ 2.04 |
| Hammarby FF or Draw | 49% | 80% | @ 1.15 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-1.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 75% | 68% | @ 1.35 |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 75% | @ 1.23 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 48% | @ 1.91 |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 52% | @ 1.76 |
| Under 1.5 | 28% | 25% | @ 3.60 |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 32% | @ 2.88 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 51%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 51% | 47% | @ 1.93 |
| BTTS Yes | 49% | 53% | @ 1.74 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Hammarby FF or Raków Częstochowa is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raków Częstochowa +2 | 94% | 80% | @ 1.18 |
| Raków Częstochowa +1.75 | 93% | 73% | @ 1.30 |
| Raków Częstochowa +1.5 | 91% | – | @ 1.38 |
| Raków Częstochowa +1.25 | 87% | 64% | @ 1.47 |
| Raków Częstochowa +1 | 83% | 59% | @ 1.59 |
| Raków Częstochowa +0.75 | 80% | 52% | @ 1.85 |
| Raków Częstochowa +0.5 | 76% | 45% | @ 2.08 |
| Hammarby FF +1.5 | 73% | 87% | 1.06 |
| Raków Częstochowa +0.25 | 70% | 38% | @ 2.46 |
| Raków Częstochowa 0 | 63% | 27% | @ 3.43 |
| Raków Częstochowa -0.25 | 57% | 25% | @ 3.77 |
| Hammarby FF +0.75 | 55% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Raków Częstochowa -0.5 | 51% | 22% | @ 4.22 |
| Hammarby FF +0.5 | 49% | 78% | 1.19 |
| Raków Częstochowa -0.75 | 45% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| Hammarby FF +0.25 | 43% | 75% | 1.25 |
| Hammarby FF 0 | 37% | 73% | 1.30 |
| Hammarby FF -0.25 | 30% | 62% | 1.52 |
| Raków Częstochowa -1.5 | 27% | 13% | @ 7.00 |
| Hammarby FF -0.5 | 24% | 55% | 1.70 |
| Hammarby FF -0.75 | 20% | 48% | 1.97 |
| Hammarby FF -1 | 17% | 41% | 2.33 |
| Hammarby FF -1.25 | 13% | 36% | 2.63 |
| Hammarby FF -1.75 | 7% | 27% | 3.45 |
| Hammarby FF -2 | 6% | 20% | 4.65 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Hammarby FF vs Raków Częstochowa?
Our model's main pick is Raków Częstochowa Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.30, with a 85% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 77%.
Who is the favourite for Hammarby FF vs Raków Częstochowa?
Our model makes a Raków Częstochowa win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 0.9-1.6 scoreline for Hammarby FF vs Raków Częstochowa.
What is the predicted score for Hammarby FF vs Raków Częstochowa?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.94 for Hammarby FF and 1.59 for Raków Częstochowa. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Hammarby FF and Raków Częstochowa play?
Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Sabah FAvs
Slavia PrahaUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct16:45
Lensvs
Sporting CPUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct16:45
Arsenalvs
LilleUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct19:00
Villarrealvs
NapoliUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct19:00
Vikingvs
Bayern MünchenUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct19:00
RB Leipzigvs
PSV EindhovenUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct19:00Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.